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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
May be 25-30mn was possible in absence of HBO Max. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
What a shame. This seems like will reach 20% occupancy. I estimate $400k atleast by now. 13 days out, that's really nice. -
Tried to project DS holidays numbers. Bold Gold is Weekend. Bold Black is Specific Holiday. Bold Grey is Holiday. Normal is normal day. <iframe width="100%" height="500" src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTGi1Ry0NQtaAN0mRJl6eWXY4TfH_cvl9bo3t8Uq8vchc7p4L0-OrMBpJkT9M6_Vlccv67hTPqQHADw/pubhtml?gid=1507986304&single=true&widget=true&headers=false"></iframe>
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The Mandalorian | March 2023 for S3
charlie Jatinder replied to Fullbuster's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
Mayfield. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Possible but Gavin said its only previews on Thursday, so not sure. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
WW84 numbers too small to track. T-6 days par what was expected yesterday at 1.79mn. Will look on Monday or Wednesday. Little Red Flower extraordinary. 9.6mn 19 days out. -
Obi-Wan Kenobi | Disney+
charlie Jatinder replied to CJohn's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
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The Mandalorian | March 2023 for S3
charlie Jatinder replied to Fullbuster's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
If S01 is a reference and how almost every episode standalones kinda, I think S02 will have a definite end, either in Mando meeting Grogu or something more definite. -
Obi-Wan Kenobi | Disney+
charlie Jatinder replied to CJohn's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
Indulge me a casual fan. 1. What exactly will Hayden do? Just physical performance? That's too much of money paid for something. I hope he don't do the voice. James Earl Jones is just unmatchable. More so when they used him in RoTS. 2. Didn't Obi-Wan met Anakin first time after RoTS? So I googled it, and one of comment was that may be they met and Vader tell Obi to give his lightsaber to his son. I know that's stupid. That open up stuff like why didn't Vader try to reach Luke before then if he knew about him. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Yep. That's exactly what I said. And what you said is absolutely true. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Gotta repeat myself. @Gavin Feng overall pre-sales don't matter much, if not at all. OD is only one which matters after that its WoM. -
The Mandalorian | March 2023 for S3
charlie Jatinder replied to Fullbuster's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
Noob question -
The Mandalorian | March 2023 for S3
charlie Jatinder replied to Fullbuster's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
Best episode. Also Next one is directed by Lord Taika right? -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Imagine you are trailing behind Dark Phoenix. That bad. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Ok A Little Red Flower pre-sales are insane. Endgame level insane for 20 days out. EG was 37mn OD 11 days out. Jiang Ziya was 7mn on 56k shows 8 days out. That Valentines day film Love You Forever which opened 278mn with 50% capacity limit was 5.3mn on 23k shows 14 days out. Looking at some CNY films. Crazy Alien was 29mn on 38k shows 20 days out after 6 days of sale. After 2 days it was 7.45mn on 20k shows. This was 6mn on 24k shows 20 days out and now 7.5mn with 10 hours of 2nd day to go. I don't see how it don't open to 400mn. Edit: Not Endgame level 😛 Edit 2: But wait, @Gavin Feng told that Thursday are only 6 hour previews. So this will most likely just reach its capacity on Thursday. 400mn might not be logistically possible on 31st. @Gavin Feng are the 6 hours you mean are from 6PM or 12AM to 6AM Friday which is technically counted in Thursday. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Seems like day will end around 1.75-1.8mn. -
@jimisawesome that's exactly the problem WB has. They suck so badly in executions. HBO Max has the best content there is as far as streamers are concerned and yet you see what is happening. Releasing Tenet was a huge blessing. Releasing TENET is blessing even 3 months later in India with many Bollywood films now thinking to release because TENET opening was nice. Yet, WB is bad guy because the executed it terribly. They should have waited till WW84 release to announce their 2021 slate day and date on HBO Max.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Come on fam. No numbers for Wondy? @keysersoze123 ? @Menor ? @Eric Karga ? -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Wonder Woman 1984 T-7 Days Midnight - ¥0.35mn (+¥0.11mn) on 2.9k shows Friday - ¥1.28mn (+¥0.48mn) on 39k shows Saturday - ¥0.49mn (+¥0.25mn) on 17k shows Sunday - ¥0.13mn (+0.07mn) on 14k shows Total - ¥2.25mn (+¥0.91mn) Average ordinary day. Could have shown bigger growth. Let's see how it pick on Monday. Friday and Saturday before release are usually low days, Sunday starts the boost and Monday we see first major boost to sales which built up till Thursday blow up. Looking more and more like 50-70mn OD than 100mn, which was least to expect. First film OD was 74mn from final pre-sale of 18.5mn. Comps They don't mean much this far out. May start making some sense by T-4 days perhaps. 18% of Spider-man: Far From Home T-7 Days (4 days of Sale) - ¥40mn Opening Day 20% of Venom T-7 Days (6 days of Sale) - ¥45mn OD 59% of Dark Phoenix T-7 Days (6 days of Sale) - ¥47mn OD (Holiday boosted Thursday) 83% of Shazam T-7 Days (3 days of Sale) - ¥80mn OD (Holiday boosted OD) 129% of TENET T-7 Days (1 days of Sale) - ¥72mn OD 58% of TENET T-6 Days (2 days of Sale) - ¥33mn OD Projections Take with huge grain of salt. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
It wouldn't have been a surprise if it did 150-180 tho. WW has grown as Superhero in India unlike the first film, and I believe that will be the case throughout Asia. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
2019 was worst year for Hollywood if you remove MCU. MCU is the only brand growing some growth. We saw many sequels doing same or barely growing. Local cinema growing every year. If Hollywood go streaming, they are killing/writing off Asia. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
It's not really hard if film has buzz and WoM is good. New Year Eve Previews. New Year Day Saturday Sunday They should have gone for full release on 31st I guess. Last year New Year Eve grossed 336mn, followed by 290mn on New Year Day. Pre-sales are much higher than Adoring. Adoring was 5.8mn on 26k shows 8 days out, this will touch 5mn on 22k shows 21 days out.