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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I am tired to make the full post with comps like normal but NTTD #s Wed: 6050/15714 (+618), 71 shows (+10), $96381 (+9679) Thu: 26740/398588 (+5033), 2817 shows (+804), $375603 (+70615) Fri: 40837/651460 (+10037), 4563 shows (+1386), $520878 (+126404) Solid bumps, though it was starting from a low-ish base for a blockbuster. -
Dune Part 2 is happening, the numbers are definitely fairly strong and so there will be a convincing argument to give this another shot with a (near) simultaneous worldwide release and theatrical exclusive run, especially with the strong WOM could see some good sequel growth. There is a bit of leeway wrt profits given that Covid isn't over, and especially given that this is an HBO Max release.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
A bit late but Dune after 26 hrs at MTC2 was 5239/171706 on 1026 shows for Thursday and 5356/362218 on 2053 shows for Friday. Slowed down a lot after my first 2 hours update yesterday. Will check back in in a week as I don't think MTC2 will be doing that big numbers for Dune until later in the run. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I think that Dune's audience would be more likely to prebuy than something like F&F, which probably draws more general audiences. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
No Time to Die MTC2 Wed+Thurs: Showtimes: 2074 (+39) Seats Sold: 27139/334844 (+2999) Total $ sales: 391690 (+42903)* TSS comp: 9.10 million F9 comp: 5.31 million Around 23-23.5 hours of data compared to 21.5 for F9, but the comp still dropped. I think at this point this just won't do that well at MTC2. Will need other chains and regions to carry it. Friday: Showtimes: 3177 (+11) Seats Sold: 30800/510141 (+4947) Total $ sales: 394474 (+61319)* F9 comp: 17.30 million It managed to increase the comp here but that had a lot to do with the missing time amount for F9. Pace ratio was probably stable at around 75% of F9 pace. *same caveat on $ sales as yesterday, I didn't have time to fix -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Regal seems to be matching AMC then. That makes things very interesting if it's just Cinemark that's underperforming. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don't see it at 100. I think it's an overreaction to Venom. Today's data will give a better idea of the final week ramp up to see if it can have a crazy breakout. -
What kind of comparison is that? OG Avenger vs unknown character, obviously one will have more hype. BW was a triple digit opener without PA. And lest we forget SC was projected by many on this very site to do in the 30-40 range and opened to 75. Also how can 75 be fine but 90 is "mind-blowing", 15 million really counts that much for you?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Dune is way weaker at MTC2. I took run about an hour ago and it was 2701 seats sold for Thurs and 3118 for Fri. Now that is not bad at all, Thurs is about 2/3 of SC at the same point and Friday is par SC, but it's nowhere close to BW. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Dune has a fanbase for sure. They will buy on the first day. Let's give it a few days and see if it sustains momentum. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don't love that number, but at the same time, the F9 comp did increase, so... -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It was like a 5-minute fix on my end No Time to Die MTC2 Wed+Thurs: Showtimes: 2035 Seats Sold: 24140/530585 Total $ sales: at least 348787* TSS comp: 9.43 million F9 comp: 5.33 million Friday: Showtimes: 3166 Seats Sold: 25853/511789 Total $ sales: at least 333155* F9 comp: 17 million Numbers are kinda meh, though take the comps with a big grain of salt, I have nothing good to comp it with. This won't be a huge player at MTC2 given its audience demos, and ATP will likely be higher than F9 as well. That said F9 Friday was weirdly strong at MTC1 (I think Thurs was deflated by some capacity limits) so the Friday comp won't be as skewed as Thurs. *DBOX ticket price is still giving me trouble but the overall numbers are high enough that the ATP should be sort of accurate. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
In any case I am also having issues with MTC2. It seems that they've implemented some sort of anti-scraping block software that will shoot down requests that don't have JS enabled. Will look into ways to get around that. On the point about preview to OW ratios, I think it can be misleading. If you just looked at Venom's internal multi, it wouldn't really stand out, but we all know how great the walkups were. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I'm not sure that adult-skewing movies would necessarily have better walkups. Venom 2 had exceptional walkups and skews youngish. Think it's more related to fanbase and I think Bond has a comparable fanbase to Furious. Though I have been wondering if F9 walkups had some capacity limitations at MTC1. I don't remember exactly but I think a few areas still had limits.