Potiki

The White population actually under index compared to every other demographic in terms of streaming. source: https://www.nielsen.com/insights/2022/lets-talk-about-streaming-and-engaging-the-latino-audience/

To paraphrase you "this isn't a matter of opinion the lists of highest grossing films adjusted for inflation are heavily stacked to films released before 1980 if not earlier." I see where you are coming from but if I was a stickler for inflation adjusted grosses nothing in the last 30 years outside of Titanic, Avengers: Endgame, Avatar and The Force Awakens would have been impressive and even then they would have been way less impressive than they are. For example using only the original release of Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs at $66.6m in todays numbers (according to an inflation calculator I found online so grain of salt) is $1.4B, The Force Awakens is $1.17B and Snow White isn't even the most impressive film from the era and made plenty more money on rereleases. None of this takes into account the change of market conditions in the 80 or so years between the 2 releases. There is probably a middle ground somewhere but adjusted for inflation isn't everything for me, if it is for you that's awesome don't let me try and change your mind

This happens every now and again, there is a major change in society/technology and film attendance declines. COVID/shortening of windows/streaming has had an impact which has been partially offset by raising prices both through inflation and more PLF both in terms of higher % of blockbusters and more movies making use of those formats. Cinema has always been a changing medium, before TV people used to go to the cinema to see news footage rather than just read (newspapers) or listen (radio) and back then attendance was weekly for a large portion of the population, in 2019 people went on average I think 3 times a year (might be off a little) If inflation is bothering you just what until you see what Titanic, Star Wars or Gone with the Wind would have made in 2022 numbers, inflation is a fine tool to compare things but doesn't take into account changing consumer habits which for me personally the 2 offset each other for the most part.

We don't know yet (although don't know if they have threatened to not show Avatar the way they have BP yet), I believe Disney and CNC are having talks but probably depends on if any major changes are made to windowing for SVOD to make it more attractive for Disney to guarantee a release.

It got extended in New Zealand as well until at least next Tuesday. However it loses PLF screens on Thursday and goes down to one 3D regular screen showing a day so don't expect it to make nearly as much as in the first 2 weeks. edit: just looked up the theatre I used to go to fairly regularly in Australia and it has been extended there as well through at least Wednesday 12th of October, 2 screenings a day in 4DX.

Avatar 1 seems to have been extended here in NZ as well now has listing through the next week (Tuesday) although they lost PLF at least at my local, now only 1 showing of standard 3D from Thursday onwards.

Damn a year already, very much looking forward to season 2!

Avatar Sep 22 9,772 admissions/ 24,081 total $112,377/$276,519 total 9.11% market revenue share. source: http://kobiz.or.kr/eng/news/boxOffice_Daily.jsp?mode=BOXOFFICE_DAILY&startYMD=20220922&endYMD=20220922&searchFrom=Sep-22-2022&searchTo=Sep-22-2022&category=ALL&country=ALL Sorry I can’t do a screenshot on my phone and the Kobiz website makes it difficult to take a screenshot of what I want on mobile.

Interview with the GOAT. Around the 17:30 minute mark if you want to hear about what Iger thinks about the challenges of theatrical going forward.

I think a lot of box office success recently is from sequels (which both the successes you mention are) as they are a known quantity that people are willing to part money with to see, a lot of original films are not doing nearly as well. I imagine Inside Out 2 will do significantly better than any of the other Pixar/WDAS films released in the next 2 or so years but that will take some time to see.

“The amount of ancillary value a movie makes is almost twice what it was five years ago,” said Blum in an interview excerpted on the latest episode of the Variety podcast “Strictly Business” (at the 28:36 mark), which also features a Summit interview with Disney’s Kareem Daniel. “So if I have a movie that makes $100 million, the amount of money I’m going to make from all the ancillaries is almost equivalent to a movie that five years ago would have been $200 million.” The rearrangement of release windows also helps producers by not requiring that studios do separate promotional campaigns for theatrical release and home video anymore. “We have not increased or the studios haven’t increased how much they spend on marketing,” said Prakash, who knows the studio side well from his days at Universal Pictures. “So not only you’re getting that return, you’ve added windows that are earlier, that don’t require extra marketing. And so you’ve got no real increase in the cost side, you’ve got much more revenue coming in.” Blum noted that those who focus only on the box office returns are missing the point. “Even though what gets written about is, ‘This movie only did $30 [million], it would have done $60 [million].’ But actually, the movie that just did $30 will ultimately make us more money than the one that did $60 five years ago.” Blum and Prakash also discuss on the podcast their ambitions to move the streaming business away from the cost-plus model in order to share in the upside on content they produce, as well as Blumhouse’s efforts to match the success it has experienced with films like “The Black Phone” and “Get Out” on the budding TV side of its business. Source: https://variety.com/2022/biz/news/jason-blum-films-profitable-streaming-1235378422/amp/

source: http://kobiz.or.kr/eng/news/boxOffice_Daily.jsp?mode=BOXOFFICE_DAILY Yesterday (the 21st) it had 14.3K admissions and 11% market revenue share which seems solid.

Possible inadvertent call back to the prequels Episode 3 really heats up, seems like a strong episode to finish with both in terms of action and setting up where the series is headed.

First episode was solid, nothing super enticing but seems like it will be a slow burn and can understand why they released a few episodes as it seems like it will take a bit to get into everything that is happening. Loved the music and Cassian's Droid Edit: Episode 2 starts off with a bang

Episodes are live! The Rebellion starts again.

Surprised no one has posted in a while, Confidential Assignment 2 is another local sequel that is doing great it really is the year of the sequel but even more so for Korea. Here are the latest weekly numbers: Source: http://kobiz.or.kr/eng/news/boxOffice_Weekly.jsp?mode=BOXOFFICE_WEEKLY&startYMD=20220828&endYMD=20220918&searchFrom=34th&searchTo=37th&week=Weekly&category=ALL&country=ALL Top Gun Maverick continues to make money and Aladdin had a rerelease locally that said they only had about a 1% market revenue share for the week.

It is crazy to me that after Titanic and selling the domestic rights to Paramount, they didn't learn their mistake and almost let Cameron shop Avatar to another studio (Disney was the forerunner funnily enough if I remember correctly) only for those 2 films to be the highest grossing films of their time. Luckily and it seems like everyone is just staying out of the way and letting Cameron do what he wants here in NZ for the sequels.

I could be very very wrong but I feel like 900m China, 500m Domestic would be more likely than the inverse.

Maybe they are pushing it off if they have a buyer for the studio lined up as they alluded to being possible last month: source: https://www.axios.com/pro/media-deals/2022/08/05/lionsgate-sell-studio-starz They are meant to be announcing the Starz spinoff/sale this month, so we might get more info within the next couple of weeks if they have someone who is buying the whole company. Either than that maybe debt is preventing them from funding the marketing spend and so they are pushing it back for now, which is also very possible given their financial situation hasn’t been the greatest.

Free Guy

October 28th release for the UK apparently source: https://www.digitalspy.com/movies/a41215467/barbarian-bill-skarsga-rd-horror-movie-uk-release-date/

I don't disagree but clear now they are treating streaming like cable over the internet. With little to no international programming, selling international rights in key markets, less prominence for film etc.

The Emmy's ratings are awful, all time low of 6m viewers. Once you include the ESPN and ESPN2 numbers of MNF, 8m and 1.5m respectively added to the 10.3m for ABC more than 3x as many people watched MNF over the Emmy's. source: https://showbuzzdaily.com/articles/showbuzzdailys-monday-9-12-2022-top-150-cable-originals-network-finals.html

If I had to guess this is most likely the UK, parts of Western Europe, Canada, Australia, NZ and India as they are markets that they would avoid as they likely get a nice payday from local distributors.

Not as good as the first 3 episodes but the last 5 minutes set up some interesting elements going forward. Looking forward to next week, crazy that we will be half way through the season come next week.