MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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Yeah, but don't you think that's kind of an issue? I mean BvS wasn't exactly a box office behemoth, so if JL isn't getting anywhere near the same hype that doesn't bode all that well. Could struggle to 300, which is bad for DCEU's Avengers film any way you spin it. Unless WW really is the new trend for DCEU and it has a not huge opening, but great legs.
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I also got to thinking that Batman on his own may not be as big of a movie draw as it seems when you break it down. '89 and TDK both had the Joker, Nolan was a draw for TDKR at that point, BvS had Superman and Wonder Woman, and Forever had Jim Carrey at the peak of his box office draw power. So that leaves Returns, Begins, B&R, and LEGO Batman where it was basically just all on Batman with no additional big draw, and none of those movie's box office takes are all that huge.
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2018: Superhero Underperformance/Peak? Or Complete Domination?
MovieMan89 replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
Most of them will be huge, but I could also see most of them underperforming the average predictions. New Mutants, Dark Phoenix, Venom, Animated Spiderman, and Aquaman are the ones in danger of poor performances if marketing/reviews don't go well. Their success hinges on that. Whereas the other 5 are pretty much locked to 200+ no matter what. -
Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018
MovieMan89 replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
The multi isn't going to be that bad. 2.2x at worst, which would still be 500 if it pulls 225 on OW. Think it can match AOU's multi even with a massive OW as long as it delivers. -
Anyone in here predict 400+ for WW? 500+ for BATB?
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Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018
MovieMan89 replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
Agreed. That OW will hit 225m+ if marketing is on point. The hype will be massive. Maybe the multi sucks, but even if it does it will still hit 500. -
WEEKEND THREAD | Weekend actuals (pg. 87 onward) - Dunkirk: 26.6M; The Emoji Movie: 24.5M; Girls Trip: 19.6M; Atomic Blonde: 18.2M; SM Homecoming: 13.2M; War For The POTA: 10.4M; Despicable Me 3: 7.4M; Valerian: 6.3M; Baby Driver: 3.9M; Wonder Woman: 3.3M
MovieMan89 replied to MCKillswitch123's topic in Numbers and Data
This was maybe the last summer where we might not have gotten a 400 grosser, but WW will make it happen now. -
WEEKEND THREAD | Weekend actuals (pg. 87 onward) - Dunkirk: 26.6M; The Emoji Movie: 24.5M; Girls Trip: 19.6M; Atomic Blonde: 18.2M; SM Homecoming: 13.2M; War For The POTA: 10.4M; Despicable Me 3: 7.4M; Valerian: 6.3M; Baby Driver: 3.9M; Wonder Woman: 3.3M
MovieMan89 replied to MCKillswitch123's topic in Numbers and Data
Kind of hilarious to talk about originals owning the summer in a box office sense when the top 8 are all third or further installments in a franchise. -
WEEKEND THREAD | Weekend actuals (pg. 87 onward) - Dunkirk: 26.6M; The Emoji Movie: 24.5M; Girls Trip: 19.6M; Atomic Blonde: 18.2M; SM Homecoming: 13.2M; War For The POTA: 10.4M; Despicable Me 3: 7.4M; Valerian: 6.3M; Baby Driver: 3.9M; Wonder Woman: 3.3M
MovieMan89 replied to MCKillswitch123's topic in Numbers and Data
Like I mentioned recently, I think Emoji actually had some potential to be a fun concept for an animated film in a Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs kind of way. And the opening in spite of the horrendous marketing and disastrous reviews show the premise had some actual appeal too. SPA just clearly were lazy in putting much of any thought into making a decent film. -
WEEKEND THREAD | Weekend actuals (pg. 87 onward) - Dunkirk: 26.6M; The Emoji Movie: 24.5M; Girls Trip: 19.6M; Atomic Blonde: 18.2M; SM Homecoming: 13.2M; War For The POTA: 10.4M; Despicable Me 3: 7.4M; Valerian: 6.3M; Baby Driver: 3.9M; Wonder Woman: 3.3M
MovieMan89 replied to MCKillswitch123's topic in Numbers and Data
The 4x multi may actually happen for WW. -
Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018
MovieMan89 replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
1. Infinity War - $575m 2. Jurassic World 2- $455m 3. Han Solo - $385m 4. The Incredibles 2 - $345m 5. Mary Poppins Returns - $335m 6. The Grinch - $320m 7. Deadpool 2 - $305m 8. Black Panther - $275m 9. Fantastic Beasts 2 - $245m 10. Ant Man and the Wasp - $220m 11. Aquaman - $215m 12. A Wrinkle in Time - $210m 13. Wreck it Ralph 2 - $190m 12. Venom - $180m 15. Mission Impossible 6 - $165m 16. X-Men: Dark Phoenix - $150m 17. Ocean's Eight - $150m 18. Ready Player One - $145m 19. Animated Spider-Man - $135m 20. New Mutants - $125m -
Another re-release seems a bit peculiar, since the 2011 one was already so successful and they didn't do this for any of the other animated classics ahead of their live action releases. Would be cool if they eventually re-released it enough to get it past Snow White adjusted for inflation, though it still trails by nearly 200m.
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It's a miracle the land got built. If plans for it had materialized even just a year later down the pipeline, there's probably no way it would have ever happened. As soon as Disney got LucasFilm, they had their Wizarding World of Harry Potter killer and there was no need for an Avatar land. But thankfully it was already too far along to be worth stopping. I think it's fantastic it did happen because say whatever you want about Avatar but there's just no denying that Pandora is one of the all time best movie worlds ever created, which made it a match made in heaven to bring it to life in a high budget theme park land. It's some rare amazing Disney theme park luck that it actually exists.