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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. Beyond would have never opened to 60m in October. Gravity and Martian opened so high in October because of all the buzz, but that's far from a normal occurrence for an October OW. Also Girl on the Train, Jack Reacher, Inferno, The Accountant. The month is definitely stacked with adult skewing films, and at least two of those will do well.
  2. There are ties to Xmen with Deadpool and it's in the same expanded universe, but they certainly weren't prominent in the marketing and as such I would never use the X-men franchise to justify Deadpool's success. It's the exact same scenario here. The ties to DCEU were incredibly slight in the marketing. I mean for one thing it's only a 2 film franchise so far, a huge chunk of the GA has no idea it even exists yet. Especially when you put zero of the characters in MoS and BvS in the film. Again, we're not talking about MCU and TA, where all the lead characters had their blockbuster film setting up TA prior to its release. Just like Deadpool and Guardians of the Galaxy before it, SS did most of this on its own merit. Not because of its loose franchise ties.
  3. Um, who said anything about all of that? Of course it had fantastic marketing, just like SLOP did. That's why both were able to open like an established sequel despite not being one. All I said was look at ODs over 50m and you can see how easily SS and THG stand out in that group.
  4. Lol, "mentioned?" I'm talking about a franchise film like TA, where all the characters that already had their own hit movie were banding together for a huge "it's all been leading to this" type of film? SS is most certainly not even close to that same type of film. It's far closer to a non-sequel than anything else. Take out the Joker, and there's really no way the GA could have been expected to make any kind of connection to an expanded universe involving MoS and BvS. Even with that, a ton of people probably had to be told by their movie buff/nerd culture friend that it's an expanded universe film. Remember, all of us on this forum more of less fall into that category, so we're rarely a good sample size to use for the casual GA member.
  5. Bourne and Beyond were so disappointing. Both had the perfect chance to be leggy adult driven blockbusters in a barren landscape for that this summer, but then both had to go and be so underwhelming.
  6. If you look at every other OD over 50m, it's either a sequel or part of an established franchise except the first Hunger Games. While SS is part of a franchise, the connection to BvS was extremely hard to tell just going off the marketing since all of the characters had yet to be introduced in DCEU. I doubt that many of the casual GA even realized it's part of a cinematic universe. Unlike say TA, which of course was kind impossible not to tell was connected to several movies that had come out prior. So my point being, SS is essentially among company with only the first Hunger Games for non-sequel ODs. Impressive.
  7. 1000 Will Suicide Squad outgross Green Lantern? YES 2000 Will Suicide Squad outgross Batman Begins? YES 4000 Will Suicide Squad outgross Batman Vs Superman? YES CUT SHORT 8000 Will Suicide Squad have 3 or more weeks at number 1? YES 12000 Will Suicide Squad drop more than 55% on week 2? YES 16000 Will Suicide Squad gross more between August 19th and the end of the game than Ben Hur makes? YES 20000 Will Suicide Squad gross more than $400M? NO LIFESAVER 24000 How many new releases on August 26th will have a larger weekend gross than Suicide Squad? VOID 28000 How many days will Suicide Squad make more than $20M (1 day margin for error allowed)? 5
  8. So these may be the only live action movies to hit 3x this summer, out of the ones opening to at least 10m: Central Intelligence - 3.6x Tarzan - 3.4x The Shallows - 3.3x The Nice Guys - 3.3x Maybes: Bad Moms Lights Out Pete's Dragon Florence Foster Jenkins War Dogs
  9. Maybe, but tons have been 3 years apart which is essentially the same for this if it was started nearly a year ago already.
  10. Lol, I read this thread title as "Satan's Power Rangers" every damn time without fail.
  11. Well those early test screening certainly weren't inaccurate. When all is said and done SLOP is going to be nipping not too far at the heels of Frozen and be the third biggest original animated grosser ever.
  12. SLOP becomes 12th animated film to hit 300m DOM, and a little over a year ago there were just 7. A little over a year from now there could be as many as 16.
  13. 1. Will Suicide Squad make more than $100M OW? YES 2. Will Suicide Squad make more than $125M OW? 2000 YES 3. Will Suicide Squad make more than $150M OW? YES 4. Will Nine Lives make less than $12M OW? YES 5. Will Nine Lives make less than $9M OW? 3000 YES 6. Will Nine Lives make less than $6M OW? YES 7. Will Suicide Squad make more in Thursday preview than Nine Lives does the whole weekend? YES 8. Will Bourne drop more than 58.2%? YES 9. Will Star Trek stay above Bad Moms? 2000 NO 10. WIll Ice Age stay above Lights Out AND Ghostbusters? NO 11. Will SLOP remain in the top 5? 3000 YES 12. Will Dory increase more than 36% on Saturday? YES 13. Will Mike and Dave have a higher percentage drop than Central Intelligence? YES 14. Will the Purge make more than $250k this weekend? YES 15. Will Nerve make $5M this weekend? NO 16. Will Ice Age have a PTA above $1,850? 2000 NO 17. Will Tarzan stay above the Hilary thing? NO 18. Will any film in the top 15 increase? NO 19. Will Cafe Society stay in the top 12? 3000 YES 20. Am I going to mistakenly lock this thread far too early because UK time confuses me? What are you talking about, there's only one time everywhere 14/20 - 2000 15/20 - 3000 16/20 - 5000 17/20 - 7000 18/20 - 9000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2: 1. What will Suicide Squad make OW? 5000 170.450 2. What will Lights Out Sunday be? 5000 menocurr 3. Divide Suicide Squad's OW total by Nine Lives' OW total. (so if SS makes $50M and 9L makes $25M, the answer is 2). 5000 33.225 Part 3. 3. Pets 5. Trek 7. Ice Age 9. Nerve 12. Cafe Society 15. Captain Fantastic
  14. I liked Max and think he made a solid lead. Duke should have a much smaller role I agree. Hopefully Snowball's role is decreased too cause Hart is just so grating most of the time to me. Gidget, Pops, and Chloe were the best and all the minor characters were enjoyable.
  15. Makes sense considering the upcoming theme park attraction based on it at Universal Studios was supposedly given the go ahead nearly a year ago already.
  16. You know, I actually quite enjoyed the characters of the pets themselves in SLOP. With a better plot I would honestly really look forward to this. But the very short production time isn't too promising. Pops better be back though. That's honestly the best thing to come out of Carvey in probably decades, sad as that may be.
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