MovieMan89

Bryan Cogman is supposed to write it and he's done some mighty fine Game of Thrones work. So I have some hope. Besides Disney will for sure play up the fantasy, which already makes it more interesting to me than this film.

I'm kind of excited for the live action adaptation of Disney's The Sword in the Stone. Could be the big budget fantasy take on it I'm hoping for. Would be cool if they even went POTC and make it PG-13 and aimed at an older audience.

It'd be nice if we actually got a big budget mythological fantasy fueled take on Arthurian legend, aka the one people actually find interesting. These History Channel more "realistic" takes of the past two Arthur movies are boring as fuck.

This movie will continue to disappoint the haters/lovers when it opens to a respectable, but nothing particularly noteworthy, 50m or so.

Hopes of a breakout on OW seem next to none at this point, but hopefully it's leggy. Though Bourne competing with a similar audience could be problematic there.

1. Will Ghostbusters open below $60M? NO 2. Will Ghostbusters open below $50M? 2000 YES 3. Will Ghostbusters open below $40M? 3000 YES 4. Will Ghostbusters open below $30M? NO 5. Will the Infiltrator reach $6M by the end of the weekend? YES 6. Will the Infiltrator reach $9M by the end of the weekend? NO 7. Will the Infiltrator reach $12M by the end of the weekend? NO 8. Will Secret Life of pets make more than $50M this weekend? YES 9. Will SLOP's weekend gross make more than both openers combined Sunday cumulative totals? 3000 NO 10. Will Purge stay above Central Intelligence? 2000 YES 11. Will Tarzan pass $100M by Saturday? YES 12. Will BFG finish above Independence Day? YES 13. Will The Shallows cross $50M domestic total? YES 14. Will Tarzan overtake Conjuring 2's Domestic total by the end of the weekend? YES 15. Will the Hilary Clinton documentary thing have a PTA above $4,500? YES 16. Will Our Kind of Traitor finish in the top 12? NO 17. Will Sultan drop more than 55% this weekend? YES 18. Will NYSM2 have a PTA above $1,000? YES 19. Will Mike and Dave have a larger percentage drop than Free State of Jones NO 20. How many shits is Bill Murray going to give I his Ghostbusters cameo? 1,587,232,459,398,864.356 14/20 - 2000 15/20 - 4000 16/20 - 6000 17/20 - 8000 18/20 - 10000 19/20 - 15000 20-20 - 20000 Part 2 1. What will Ghostbusters OW be? 5000 51.050 2. What will SLOP percentage drop be? 49.075% 3. What will be the PTA of BFG? Part 3 3. Dory 6. Infiltrator 8. Central Intelligence 10. IDR 13. Sultan 16. Free Mconaughey 3/6 - 2000 4/6 - 5000 5/6 - 8000 6/6 - 12000

Yes, actually. It was a cultural phenomenon. Those don't happen in this day and age and Hollywood not make a sequel. People knew one was coming by early 2014. Zootopia was a big box office hit, but not the kind that permeated pop culture and again it just doesn't seem like the kind of movie that would have a sequel anymore than Nemo did. And Zoo2 isn't a good comparison with Dory for many reasons. If Nemo 2 had hit a few years after Nemo I bet it would have decreased (I mean technically it still will admissions-wise).

The framework might be there, but I still hold it's simply not a movie any of the GA saw and expected a sequel in a few years. And I think the exact same thing is what happened with Dragon 2 (and KFP2). An admissions decrease at least seems inevitable.

Zootopia 2 will decrease unless inflation is already high enough to give it a small increase. As liked as it is, it just isn't the type of movie that seems like it would have a sequel, and I can't imagine the GA will be waiting for it. And it won't be a long gap like Dory where you can have nostalgia come in. I could absolutely see Zoo2 having a similar drop to Dragon 2, especially since Zootopia played like a bigger OW version of the first HTTYD. Frozen on the other hand draws very big parallels between Shrek 1 and TS1. An original animated cultural phenomenon, that sold a very similar amount of tickets. Everyone has been expecting a sequel for a couple years already. The door is completely open for Frozen 2 to be the Shrek 2/TS2 and sell a buttload of admissions. Only slight downside is the wait will be 2 years longer than TS2. However I think the first is still just as big of a phenomenon with today's toddler girls, and they won't be that old when the second hits. The kids that will be teens when it hits could be old enough for nostalgia to already be a factor as well. Add in 6 years of inflation, and unless WOM sucks Frozen 2 should absolutely hit 500+.

IA5 is doing BFG business. Dory will be fine.

I find it shocking that a whopping 9 people didn't even include Pets in their top 7 OWs at all. Really?

Bingo. This is the only reason Tarzan didn't crash and burn. It's the only truly adult skewing blockbuster film out there right now besides IDR. Hopefully that bodes well for Bourne too.

Could that subtitle be any duller? Why not just Legend of Excaliber instead?

Dammit, didn't think anyone else would be above my 100m prediction!

Factoring inflation and 3d in, looks like ID4 might slightly beat Pets to still hold the record in admissions. Which makes IDR's floppage all the more epic.

^That poster is creepy as fuck.

The only big studio original animated movies I can find below a 3x multi are Corpse Bride, The Book of Life, and Titan A.E. Two of those are Halloween themed, the other was a highly unconventional film for the medium. Otherwise, The Good Dinosaur is the lowest with a 3.15x multi. Almost every single other original animated movie is over 3.3x. Granted this could play a little differently given it opened so incredibly high, but the other highest original OWs like Nemo, Incredibles, Up, Inside Out, Frozen, and Zootopia sure weren't strangers to great multis.

Especially this year, since NO ONE had a very good DOM or WW top 15/10 from the looks of it.

4. Ice Age fails to make $400M Worldwide 5. Suicide Squad makes $300M Domestic

Yeah, the chances of SLOP going below a 3.3x multi are slim to none. It's an original animated film with no big new competition for the next month. WOM will have to suck to do a lower multi than that.

Hard to consider a 200m film a success when it's down to 20m in its second weekend already.

Pixar would have made a PG-13 film already if they had ended up getting out from Disney. They could definitely pull it off to success with their adult skewing fanbase as it is, but I can't imagine Disney execs would ever let it happen because of the brand name of Disney and animation.

Yeah it was not an easy sell, but that said I wonder how much the title alone cost it? Ambiguity in a title for a children's flick is a horrid, horrid idea. Movies change their title from the book all the time, so I really don't see why it wasn't just called The Big Friendly Giant. I am saddened though that WOM seems to be non-existent judging by that drop this weekend, but I do also attribute a lot of that to Pets and Dory leaving it no room.

The hate among Trekkies for STID is so real and ferocious it is both comical and highly illogical.

Ironically enough, you should be thrilled for animation's success when you think about it. After all your main complaint is that original ideas never get any money thrown their way these days and the original blockbuster is dead, but animation is the one exception in Hollywood where big budget original ideas can still get the easy greenlight.