MovieMan89

Some popular conspiracy theories out there may get carried away, but make no mistake: the elite few truly in power care nothing about the rest of us. I don't know how much more obvious that can really be. Btw, the Dr. Strangelove one is a perfect comparison. Bitingly funny social commentary that makes you a bit horrified too.

If Carol and Room aren't nominated at the Oscars this really is going to be strange. I can't understand how stuff like Ex Machina, Sicario, and SOC could make it over those two? Such a bizarre year. Though I'm more convinced now then ever BoS will end up getting in. I was always hesitant to exclude and now I for sure am not excluding it in my predictions.

Goosebumps, Peanuts, Creed, and Alvin are probably the only movies so far that more than 3 people will end up at least in the green for (BoS probably won't make top 15 now).

Haven't seen this yet, but otherwise agreed. Basterds has gotten fairly overrated these days it seems.

Rth stands for Rentrak Human. Makes sense.

That sounds exactly like what Cameron would actually mean by that comment too.

Until Episode VIII is announced for that date soon.

Figuring out admissions as best as possible is still our best measure of box office success though. Context is great, but also subjective. Just because I argue movie x made what it did because of reasons y doesn't make it factual. Maybe it just made what it did because it was so well liked and would have done so regardless of other factors. Who knows? Grosses of course are highly deceptive given inflation and other factors, so they don't work all that well either. Adjusting for inflation and estimating attendance is still our best bet at measuring what films are the most successful. There's no way to measure what was really the most impressive run given every factor that was an influence on it.

You just described how I feel about Birdman. I guess this guy's films just aren't for me. His pretentiousness crosses over into his films too much and pollutes his ability to make something that feels genuine.

I am getting anxious for the China release. I have had an amazing feeling about it lately.

Anything over 50m is surprising for Alvin. The franchise should be on fumes by this point, especially considering how steep the third one dropped off, yet this one will still challenge 100m and not that harsh of a fall from the third. I don't get it.

Joy, H8, Sisters, and Daddy's Home are gonna screw almost everyone over. Our predictions were terrible on all 4.

The legs really were surprising considering the OW and the fact that it seemed so well received. It should have done at least 120, but I guess too much competition. I never saw Sisters, Alvin, or Daddy's Home doing nearly as well as they are.

They'd be crazy to keep it in that date after what TFA did with a Holiday release. That scheduling never made a lick of sense in the first place since it was a mere 5 months after Rogue One's release, which now has a great shot at being the blockbuster of 2016. RO would probably barely be out of theaters a month when VIII hit. It is just stupid scheduling and they are cutting into VIII's success potential in a big way if they don't change it. It probably has already been moved, just not announced.

December 2017 will be interesting if Cameron really does have Avatar 2 ready for that date. It's only a matter of time before Disney announced VIII for that release, and releasing the two together would be crazy stupid. SW wouldn't budge though and Cameron loves his December releases, so I'd imagine Avatar 2 isn't coming until December 2018 whether its ready or not.

Obviously not happening, but just for fun if it matche Avatar's gross everyday from here on out it would give TFA a 1.139b finish (not counting Avatar's re-release gross). Also TFA officially beats Avatar's first run with that Monday number to become the highest unadjusted first run gross ever!

May 4th is just too perfect to not do something with. SW day has been big in the past, but after TFA it is going to be absolutely massive this year.I think going a heavily marketed limited engagement route that coordinates with SW day is the best way to get people back. They create a frenzied demand to see it one last time on the big screen and to celebrate SW day and again, I can see tons of sellouts for that day. TLK 3D made 21m in its first two days and was also marketed as a limited engagement originally. Add the exclusive first trailer for Rogue One and don't put it on the internet for a week or so and it could really lock another 20m in two days. If it was still a bit shy then they just extend it to the weekend and fudge some of Civil War's OW into TFA's gross. An extended edition with new footage would be nice, but I don't see that happening.

It dropped 63% so I'm not sure how you can say 58% would have been impossible? There was definitely a chance, however small.

I think if it played like that through the 6th weekend then it would be on track to stop around 970 or so. Fortunately, I think all of those drops will be slightly better which could make all the difference. If it does get that close hopefully Disney finds some event way of re-releasing it that could get another 20-30m. My suggestion would be re-release in IMAX for a limited engagement on May 4th (SW day) and 5th and advertise the Rogue One trailer as being exclusive to the screenings. Give it its own marketing campaign and make it seem like a big deal and the last chance to see the movie on big screens. If they played their cards right I could see there being sellouts all over on the 4th.

Decent hold, but 9m or something would have been nice to give it still a chance to beat Avatar's 4th weekend. That is looking pretty unlikely now.

Lol, what a random one. Looks like he did nothing else either. Otherwise, I don't think there are any past 4. PJ kind of, but not really since LOTR and Hobbit were filmed like two movies not six. Miller will get 5 with Mad Max if the next one happens.

Then why is it still such an amazing world on TV? 3D just enhanced. The world itself though is the reason 3D even worked well.

Wow, what a disaster. DOM this will be Howard's least attended film ever of his two dozen. Even unadjusted gross it is his 4th lowest.

Ugh, box office all should have just been admissions tracked from the get go. I know it would make records way less exciting, but then we would at least know where movies really stand in the most successful ever.

Well hate Bay and these movies or not, guess you gotta give him some credit for sticking with his franchise so long. Is there any other director that has done 5? All I can think of is Lucas and Spielberg with 4 for SW and Indy respectively.