MovieMan89

Na TE2 would need a New Moon bad multi to do that. Dex did get too much crap for his TE2 predicts though. But he shoulda made an under TE1 club. That could happen.

Except this isnt really an early report. Usually we get numbers long before this from Nikki and such. By now there should be a good idea for what it's doing today.

Oh shit!!! MTC/RS rule strikes again! Poor Baumers gonna implode when he sees this.

Yeah, it needs at least 50m OW to have a shot to beat MM by labor day,

Terrible non-existent marketing is also a good enough reason for it to open 10m or less...

I'm sure TE2 will open well above tracking. However I think it will be a close race between it and MM for #11. I could see it doing something like this: OW: $52m 2nd weekend: $22m (-58%) Labor day 4 day weekend: $12m (-45%) 8 day weekday cume: $32m Total: $118m So if it follows that trajectory it should just barely win.

It's Midnight In Paris 2012. :PHa, just realized Moonrise was even released on the same weekend as MIP last year!

IA has been having excellent holds. I see no reason for that to change, and if it doesn't it should eek out Snow White by labor day. ParaNorman is weak competition and shouldn't hurt it anymore than Wimpy Kid.

So looks like the summer top 11 will end up roughly like this:1. Avengers - $620m2. TDKR - $425m3. TASM - $260m4. Brave - $235m5. Ted - $220m6. Madagascar 3 - $215m7. MIB3 - $180m8. Ice Age 4 - $160m9. Snow White - $155m10. Prometheus - $125m11. Magic Mike - $115m (unless Expendables opens big enough to beat it with less than 3 weeks)

All answers are for the three day weekend UOSAll answers are worth 1000 UOS.All answers pertain to the top 12.Due by Thurs 11:59 pm.1) Will The Expendables 2 open to more than 42 mill? 3000 No2) Will The Expendables 2 make more than 15.5 mill on Friday? 3000 Yes3) Will The Expendables 2 drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 Yes4) If you add the %drops for TE2 for Saturday and Sunday, will it total up to more than 35%? Yes5) Will there be a midnight number reported for TE2? Yes6) Will TE2 open to more than 40 mill internationally? Yes7) Will TE2 open to more than 80 mill WW? Yes8) Will Sparkle open to more than 10 mill? Yes9) Will Sparkle have one of the two best theater averages? Yes10) Will Paranorman open to more than 12.5 mill? Yes11) Will The Odd Life of Timothy Green have a 5 day of more than 14 mill? Yes12) Will The Odd Life of Timothy Green drop more than 25% on Thurs? No13) Will TE2 gross more on it's 3 day weekend than the rest of the openers combined (including Wed and Thurs for Timothy Green)? No14) Will Bourne fall more than 55%? Yes15) Will Total Recall fall more than 55%? Yes16) Will TDKR fall more than 45%? No17) Will any film have a Saturday increase of more than 50%? Yes18) Will Bourne finish second? No19) Will the Campaign fall less than The Other Guys did in it's second weekend? Yes20) Will Hope Springs Thursday be within 500K of it's first Thursday? Yes16/20 500017/20 600018/20 700019/20 800020/20 10,000Bonus 1: What will Expendables 2 weekend number be? 40.550Bonus 2: What will Hope Springs total be after the weekend? 35.398Bonus 3: What will the combined weekend gross be of Total Recall, Brave and ASM? 5.766Bonus 4: What finishes in slots:3 Bourne5 TDKR9 Wimpy Kid11 Total Recall12 Ted2000 each 4000 bonus if all 5 correctGood luck!!

Question 3 for set B about drove me insane trying to find! I tried everything with the net to find it, but I finally had to (illegally) find the movie online and skim through it till I saw an 80's poster. Oy!

I don't see TDKR hitting 450m now. Probably 440m or so is where it's headed.

Knew TBL was coming down to around 38m. Happy it should miss 100 now since I doubt its multi will be over 2.6. It doesn't deserve 100.

I too think a Scrat movie would ruin the character, and considering what an awesome character he is that would be a shame.

I've found all of the IA movies enjoyable aside from the 2nd . Honestly this one didn't even deserve close to as low as a 39% on RT and I don't know what the critics and some people expect from them. They are very entertaining for kids and even adults if you take them for what they are. It's not even remotely surprising to me that IA4 is having such good legs. It was fun and funny entertainment for kids and the family. In fact it could have the best multi of any animated movie this year so far.

Book of Eli is the only movie he ever did where I thought the movie itself looked like it had a lot of box office potential. Usually the films he's in would be lucky to gross a quarter of what they do without him.

It's possible. Perhaps he doesn't wanna get wrapped up in anything for that long. It's very impressive though that he's made himself the box office star he has without ever doing a movie like that. Really he's never done a big budget or event movie at all.

Not surprising Denzel hasn't done a sequel considering he's never done a movie that could really become a franchise. His films are always one shot stories.

But the whole ending for BI felt like it wrapped up the movie's story. BL didn't do it as well. That's because there isn't much story to speak of in TBL. Honestly I could easily sum up the whole movie's plot in a sentence or two, and not leave anything important out.

Bourne definitely had an effect on TR. I can't imagine it being the type of movie anyone would hate and tell others to avoid at all costs. It's too generic and inoffensive for that. So something besides just WOM caused it to drop 70% this weekend. The 3 openers, especially Bourne.

Ice Age is doing fantastic in its later legs. I knew it would after that underwhelming OW. Only trailing the first one by $6m through the same point now.

Wow, that is tragic for TR. I guess having 3 new openers this weekend that were all fairly appealing on top of the mediocre WOM just caused it to fall into the abyss.

Yeah I don't think that weekend is staying anywhere near $40m either with actuals. That's way too soft of a Sunday hold. They're obviously just playing that number for media purposes. With a $38m OW or so it definitely could miss 100.