catlover

But did HP1 have previews though? I do remember that big movies back then had huge previews that inflated their OWs, like Matrix Reloaded, Revenge of the Sith, Dead Man's Chest. I don't remember about HP1.

Btw WWY is going to be released here in Indonesia too on 21st of August. It will probably a limited release like all Japanese movies before that. Detective Conan is playing right now and it only has like 50-60 theaters.

Just saw it. Enjoyed it a lot. It felt like a Fast & Furious movie, but with different characters. It has the crazy cool action scenes and the family theme, just more heavy on comedy. I'm not sure the critics will love it, but I think the fans and GA will. Latin America and most of Asia will eat this up.

Spirited Away was a summer movie and released in July 2001. I remember when I lived in Japan, I went to the theater to see it in the middle of winter in January 2002 on New Year Holiday. It stayed in the theater forever.

From eiga.com: WWY - ¥1.012B ($9.3M) / ¥3.9B ($35.9M) TS4 - ¥628M ($5.8M) / ¥5.51B ($50.7M) - the fastest Disney and Pixar movie to cross ¥5B SLOP2 - ¥223M ($2.05M) - 47.7% of SLOP's OW Aladdin - ¥10.9B ($100.3M) I used google for the exchange rates. So, grain of salt. That means 14.6% drop for WWY and 26.5% drop for TS4.

I still believe in $100m (which means another $50m). Weekdays will be strong. But, it needs to stabilize like, now. It cannot afford another big drop this weekend. It has to make as much as possible, as close to $100m as possible before One Piece and TLK arrive.

How about countries where it hasn't opened yet? They could help as well.

Aladdin - $101.3M TS4 - $51M FFH - $26.4 Aladdin crossed $100M! It came in a million higher than I thought. TS4 also had slightly higher total than Corpse's prediction.

Not yet, I think. Last week Aladdin made around $2.6m from Mon-Fri. This week it was just slightly below last week every single day, except Monday, when it dropped big since last Monday was a holiday, so let's say it made $2.1m Mon-Fri. That brings its total to $98.1m. So it will cross $100m probably on Sunday.

Gotta love summer weekdays.

Well, that's your choice, and I get that. I'm not trying to change your mind about TLK. I'm just trying to make you understand why people are excited to see it. Since it looks like you understand why people go to the movies because you do it yourself, it shouldn't be a hard concept to grasp. You know what, never mind. I'll make it simple. People go to see TLK because they want to, and they have enough money to do that, so why not.

If that's your argument, then why do you go to the theater at all? You can watch ANY movie at home. It's just a matter of when. For me, I go to the theater, because I will get an experience in the big screen that I will not get at home. Same with TLK. I expect a different experience from the animated version. Whether it will be better or not that's another question. You won't know until you go to the theater. Is that still too hard for you to understand? Also, to watch it at home you need to pay as well. Unless you ilegally download the movie.

I was interested to see it because the visuals looked beautiful. And it's nice to see the same beloved story and to hear the same beloved songs with more realistic visuals. And I believe a lot of people have the same reasons. The fact that they already know the movie/story is irrelevant. I mean, people (and maybe you too) watch a movie that they love over and over again, even though they have already watched it dozens of times. Why is it so hard to understand? Why??? Btw, I enjoyed the movie, but I did not enjoy Spirit at all. It's a mediocre song at best. Speechless is a much much better song.

Seriously?? That's like saying someone gives you 3 bottles of clean water in the middle of the desert, and you say, "Nah, I'm good. It's too much water and it's not the perfect water for me." Like, wow. How very ungrateful. Criticizing is okay for improvement, but your critics are based on nothing. All of us here think all the numbers provided are very useful and accurate. You're not needing it doesn't mean "nobody asked for it". If you think Corpse is useless then good luck finding other sources that can give you better data. Spoiler alert: you won't. Sorry for the rant. I was triggered and needed to say something because Corpse isn't here to defend him/herself.

Of course we all knew it's a typo and he meant TS3. Omni's post was just a harmless joke as a response to the typo. But it looked like you didn't get that and replied it with a serious argument. I mean, what you're saying was true, but Omni wasn't actually talking about TS3. I was pointing that out to you. It was my way of saying, "Hey, he was just joking". I wasn't trying to make a snarky comment. Sorry if it came out wrong.

Like Detective Conan, that was actually very fan base oriented, but in recent years it managed to extend their target audience beyond that, to make close to 10B yen. Although I don't know how they did that.

Corpe's estimates for WWY: Opening Weekend: ¥1.115 billion ($10.4 million) / 820,000 admissions.3-Day Total: ¥1.540 billion ($14.3 million) / 1,125,000 admissions So in yen, that's actually a slightly lower 2-day opening weekend number than Aladdin. To be honest, I expected more, since it had a HUGE release. But legs is what really matters in Japan, especially for big movies like this. I also heard it's well-received, so 15 billion yen ($140m) is still the target.

Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Weekend Admissions Biggest Openers Since 2015: Weekend Results (~70% of Market):Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title 748,438/1,436,072 (52.1% capacity), [258/4,368] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Apr., 2019)703,128/1,299,917 (54.1% capacity), [249/3,625] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)697,121/1,487,446 (46.9% capacity), [263/5,175] - Toy Story 4 (July, 2019)676,886/1,200,412 (56.4% capacity), [240/3,324] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)621,123/1,051,181 (59.1% capacity), [231/3,415] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)583,307/1,626,823 (35.9% capacity), [251/6,355] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)572,042/1,043,666 (54.8% capacity), [230/2,936] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)569,497/1,392,147 (40.9% capacity), [236/5,431] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)564,449/1,416,549 (39.8% capacity), [261/4,673] - Weathering With You (July, 2019)559,049/1,406,597 (39.7% capacity), [261/4,672] - Aladdin (June, 2019)549,579/1,389,766 (39.6% capacity), [247/5,670] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)547,821/1,330,179 (41.2% capacity), [254/5,015] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)530,132/1,116,138 (47.5% capacity), [250/3,838] - Code Blue (July, 2018)526,470/1,302,175 (40.4% capacity), [245/4,570] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)494,190/1,298,579 (38.1% capacity), [231/4,461] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)477,529/1,048,231 (45.6% capacity), [261/4,552] - Avengers: Endgame (Apr., 2019)436,267/x,908,420 (48.0% capacity), [218/2,520] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016)429,097/x,903,746 (47.5% capacity), [221/3,049] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)427,077/x,913,713 (46.8% capacity), [229/2,643] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Apr., 2015)413,446/1,823,898 (22.7% capacity), [258/6,439] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Nov., 2018)408,053/x,969,280 (42.1% capacity), [235/3,141] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)407,419/1,271,559 (32.0% capacity), [252/4,010] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Dec., 2018)398,627/1,101,595 (36.2% capacity), [257/3,337] - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Mar., 2019)385,119/x,998,768 (38.6% capacity), [240/2,966] - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Adventure in the Antarctic (Mar., 2017)371,995/1,021,926 (36.4% capacity), [237/3,331] - Jurassic World (Aug., 2015)370,390/1,515,394 (24.4% capacity), [243/5,111] - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Nov., 2016)344,292/1,394,229 (24.7% capacity), [236/4,683] - Finding Dory (July, 2016)342,594/1,196,457 (28.6% capacity), [259/4,113] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (June, 2019)338,566/1,028,823 (32.9% capacity), [260/3,645] - Spider-Man: Far From Home (June, 2019)336,993/x,969,600 (34.8% capacity), [247/2,836] - Masquerade Hotel (Jan., 2019)327,709/1,025,446 (31.9% capacity), [233/2,903] - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Mar., 2016)313,592/x,790,757 (39.7% capacity), [259/3,559] - Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution (July, 2019)311,497/x,841,015 (37.0% capacity), [252/3,307] - Avengers: Infinity War (Apr., 2018)

But how can TS4 beat TS4? They will end up with the exact same number. 😂

Huh expected more from WWY after that Friday number. As of 7 pm it's still behind TS4's 1st Saturday. Meanwhile, TS4 dropped 30% so far from last Saturday. That's waaay better than what it looked like on Friday. It recovered really well.

No, it opened big enough to ensure that number. Also, it won't drop that big on the weekend and will stabilize after this.

I thought about that too, but I don't know. Still too early. For now ¥2b ($18.5m) in 3 days. Btw, WWY full Friday: 208,996 TS4 first Friday: 146,259 WWY is 43% over TS4 for the full day I'm scared for TS4 though. It dropped more than 50% on Friday at the usual locations, thanks to WWY. I hope it won't drop more than 40% for the 2-day weekend.

Weathering with You on Friday : 148,917 (7 pm update) +53% over TS4's number last week at 7pm Looks like it's gonna have a HUGE OW.

No one agrees on that. Just because one person doubt you doesn't mean we all think like that. I mean it's okay for him to disagree, and he could be right in the end, we don't know that. But you have the data, you know how to read it, so it's your right to share (or not to share) the early numbers you got, whatever they are. And we still very much appreciate it.

Finding Dory wasn't that well received compared to the other Pixar movies, but it still managed more than 9x multiplier. Let's say because of the holiday and discount it had on OW, and harsh competition, TS4 will only get 7x multiplier (which is quite low for a Pixar movie in the summer). Applying that to $12.7m 2-day weekend gets us $88.9m. Adding $3m from OD, it's $91.9m. I would say that's the worst scenario. So $100m is very very likely.