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peludo

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Everything posted by peludo

  1. Top 5 provisional: 1. Creed 2: €1.8m (OW. Creed opened to about €1.5m) 2. Glass: €0.9m (barely under 50% drop) 3. The favourite: €0.6m (increases relative to OW) 4. Bohemian Rhapsody: €0.4m (about 20% drop. We'll see with definitive numbers. It should be close to €26m cume) 5. Aquaman: €0.4m (about 30-35% drop. Great holds for a SH film)
  2. January 18th-20th: Glass could reach €6m and bordering 1 million admissions, very similar to Multiple, but far from Unbreakable. The numbers for both were: Unbreakable: €9.8m (2.35m admissions) Multiple: €5.5m (907k admissions) Aquaman continues having great drops for a film of this genre. €13.5m-€14m probable range. Very good run. I do not dare to give a prediction for The favourite. The nominees films are unpredictable, but a x5 or higher multiplier is possible. Bohemian Rhapsody adds nominations to its unprecedent kind of run. To reach €30m? who knows. Bigger drop than I expected for Vice. I guess it will recover thanks to nominations, but I did not expect this 50% drop.
  3. Sure. Operation Red Sea, the winner of the CNY last year, opened 4th with 129m Yuan. Monster Hunt 2 did a 546m OD but finished 3rd among CNY openers, making 1.4b less than Operation Red Sea.
  4. Right now these are the presales for OD on Maoyan: Crazy Alien: 54.6m Yuan Pegasus: 52.9m The new king of comedy: 41.6m The Wandering Earth: 17.0m The knight of shadows: 12.0m Integrity: 10.9m Peppa Pig: 8.0m Boonie Bears: 6.1m
  5. That is the key. I do not see Disney making THIS Deadpool. It will be something called Deadpool too, which will make tons of money, but it will not probably be what we have already seen.
  6. It would be great to have another leggy run (next to current The big shot and White snake). They are the most fun runs to follow. Although I guess that CNY would cut its late legs within 18 days... or is there enough room for a holdover during CNY?
  7. January 11th-13th: Drops in general are better than usual since the previous weekend was low because of low Sunday (Cabalgata de los Reyes Magos). The cume of Aquaman is not correct. The figure reported has just added the weekend gross, avoiding the Monday 7th-Thursday 10th gross. In the Aquaman OS thread it was reported that it was at $13.1m, what with current ER, it means it was at about €11.5m on Sunday, instead the €10.9m reported. After €1m weekend, it should make another 1.5-2m, reaching maybe €13.5m (9th biggest SH film ever). SH genre in Spain: 1. Spider-man: €22.7m 2. Incredibles 2: €21.5m 3. Infinity War: €20.5m 4. The Incredibles: €19.5m 5. Spider-man 3: €18.3m 6. Hancock: €16.5m 7. The Avengers: €16.2m 8. Spider-man 2: €14.8m 9. Fantastic Four: €13.1m 10. Avengers: Age of Ultron: €12.1m Mary Poppins should reach €9m. We'll see if it can make €10m at the end. The awarded films like Vice usually have very good legs. We'll see how it evolves. Ralph heading to €12.5m Spider-man should reach €5m Bumblebee barely over €2m BR heading to... who knows. Its 11th weekend is better than what 8 apellidos vascos did ($575k). I have just found Avatar and 8 apellidos vascos ranking #2 after 11 weeks. Maybe Titanic was, but there are not available data.
  8. We can look in other sense. Aquaman will end #20 WW and one of the 24 films which have done $1.1b, a not very exclusive club... but how many of the 19 films which are over Aquaman are not sequels/remakes? Avatar, Titanic, Black Panther and Frozen. Just 4 original films. So Aquaman will be the 5th biggest original film ever. Not bad I guess...
  9. And what about this: OS-China: 1. Infinity War: $1.01b 2. Bohemian Rhapsody: 630-640? 3. Jurassic World 2: $630m 4. Incredibles 2: $575m 5. Aquaman: $500m? Edit: Every film of this list has 3D excepting Bohemian Rhapsody. Each data makes it even more superb.
  10. I guess that presales mean nothing for Wandering Earth and the previsions are still enormous. I say this because right now it ranks 6th among the 9 new releases of CNY and well behind of the 3 first.
  11. If I am not wrong, the title can only be changed by the thread's creator, which is @BCN
  12. Bohemian Rhapsody should get into top 15 all time. Who knows if it will be able to reach top 10. Right now it is at about €24.3m-€24.4m. ... 9. The Two Towers: €29.80m 10. Pirates of the Caribbean 2: €28.27m 11. Shrek 2: €28.21m 12. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone: €27.69m 13. The Others: €27.25m 14. The Da Vinci Code: €26.78m 15. The Sixth Sense: €26.56m 16. A Monster Calls: €26.15m 17. The Orphanage: €25.06m ...
  13. In Spain, last weekend (January 4-6), it did €532k. This weekend is being reported, as provisional data, €700k. It means, as minimum (we'll see with definitive numbers), a 34% increase
  14. So an unknown character of SH genre for general audiences making +$1.1b is not impressive? It is the second biggest beginning for a SH ever, just behind Black Panther, and bordering what Civil War did (yes, the same amount than what Captain America did with the help of other 11 avengers). And just to point that it seems that what The Dark Knight did was just because of it was very lucky to be re-released and make the incredible amount of... $6m more. Well, let's remember than in 2008, just 3 films had done 1 billion: Titanic, ROTK and POTC2 (2 legendary films and a huge blockbuster. That's all). The Dark Knight was the 4th film making it ever. I guess that to rank #4 WW is not an easy task... Infinity War ranks #4 WW today. (Talking about re-releases, let's remember too that Titanic needed it to reach $2b, and both Jurassic Park and Phantom Menace to reach $1b. I do not think there is nothing to be ashamed because of it).
  15. January 4th-6th: Not very good drops because what we said some days ago: January 5th is not a good day for BO in Spain. Children are thinking in presents, not in movies. Among the top 10, the biggest drops come from family films. Poppins, Ralph, Spider-man and Grinch (next to Bumblebee) are the films which drop over 50% in top 10. The others have had better drops. With these numbers films seem headed to: Aquaman: 12 million euros Mary Poppins: 8-8.5 million Ralph: 11.5-12 million Spider-man: 4.5 million Superlópez: 12-12.5 million Bohemian Rhapsody should clear €25m. But of course, it can go higher. It is winning 2018, over Jurassic World 2. It means that this is the first time that a Bayona's film do not win the year in Spain.
  16. My bad. I had seen this in iMDB: https://m.imdb.com/title/tt8032814/
  17. Yes. I thought that this last weekend, being holidays would be big, but when I said that I did not remember that January 5th (last Saturday) is celebrated the "Cabalgata de los Reyes Magos" (Ride of the Wise Men or Biblical Magi, as I read in wikipedia they are named in English). EVERY children go with their parents to that ride, celebrated in every town of the country, to see those "magic men" who bring presents to them during the night of January 6th (Santa Claus is celebrated at Christmas, but it is not so important as this event. Not even close). If we had data about each day we would probably see a dramatic drop in gross during Saturday. I guess this is the reason of these drops.
  18. I am optimistic with TLK to win the year. But to reach Avatar is really hard IMO (unless China turns crazy for Simba and makes 700-800 million)
  19. Beyond BR is a monster, I guess that children are not precisely thinking in movies on January 5th... MPR, Spidey and Ralph are the movies for them and those are precisely the movies that BR has outgrossed. Today we should see a bump of those 3.
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