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peludo

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Everything posted by peludo

  1. Being enormous, I think it is a step behind TFA and IW. And not just because it did $500m than the these 2, but because beyond China and 2 or 3 LA countries, it was not a record breaker in any other country. If you take out China, then Minions, for example, would be in the same level, being more massive in more countries. Of course, it is just my personal feeling.
  2. If Avatar is the 10s event, I think that Harry Potter 1 would be the biggest event of 00s. Even FOTR is on par or slightly over in terms of admissions than ROTK in many countries. But ERs in 2001 were the worst ever. Said this, if I have to choose: 90s (and ever): Titanic 00s: Avatar 10s: TFA (DOM+Europe) / IW (Asia+Latin America) We'll see if Endgame or The Lion King can change it.
  3. It is reaching it. What a monster. Maoyan is already projecting 1.344b for it, what today means, exactly, $200m...
  4. I had not realized about Mule. With actuals the drop should be just a 30% from OW. It seems that it will have a great run.
  5. Similar drop to USA for CM (about 51%). If I am not wrong it is at 7.5 or 7.6 million euros right now. Heading to about 11.5-12.
  6. IMO, this is the story of the weekend. It is nearly doubling presales of CM for Sunday. On Thursday, Maoyan was projecting for it a bit more than 100m Yuan. Right now it is already targeting 782m....
  7. @VenomXXR I would not rule out more than $30m in Spain. It is the biggest animated film ever (by far) in Spain. And the musical version is still solding out every showtime. TLK potential is gigantic here.
  8. March 8th-10th: Great opening for Captain Marvel. Biggest solo MCU opening and 4th biggest opening for whole MCU, just behind Avengers films. I do not have the data for every film, but this is the list with biggest openers among MCU: MCU OWs 1. Infinity War: €6.8m (€7.2m with previews) 2. The Avengers: €5.5m 3. Age of Ultron: €4.3m 4. Captain Marvel: €4.1m 5. Thor: €3.8m 6. Civil War: 3.7m And this is the total MCU ranking: Concerning what can we expect at the end, I think that a 11 million are probable and 12 million could be the final target. It would mean to be the biggest MCU solo film. With good legs, it could even try to beat Ultron. We'll see. Good opening for The Mule in spite of CM. €4m are likely and €5m possible for Eastwood. HTTYD3 keeps its path to make similar numbers to previous 2 parts. Green Book continues its great run. It drops a 34% after rising last week because of Oscar winning. IMO, €9m are locked and it should try €10m, who knows if more. After 19 weekends: Bohemian Rhapsody ranks #10 8 apellidos vascos was #19 Avatar ranked #24
  9. No. According Maoyan, it is heading to 374m Yuan, what means about $56m. It is dropping about a 75% relative last week, so it could even not reach that amount. Edit: Maoyan forecasts now 355m Yuan ($52.7m)
  10. What do you prefer, $50m OW / $135m total or $88m OW / $135m total? The total is the same but it does not mean the same. $135m total is a good result, but the way it is being made is very disappointing.
  11. It is really hard that something can be liked everywhere in the same way. If each MCU could do everywhere what it does in Asia or Latin America then we would have 3 Titanics or 3 Avatar per year... Let's wait and see what happens with Endgame. Maybe it surprises and jump into a higher level like IW already did last year.
  12. Film which was released 20 months ago and before the jump that the genre has done with 3 out 4 last films (IW, Venom or Aquaman). The other one was Ant-Man which 2 did better numbers than usual SH films too.
  13. But Avengers films have always done very good numbers considering the size of the market in each moment: Avengers ranked #7 in 2012 (4th among HLW films and the one which began the usual SH figures. Before TA, MCU was irrelevant in China) Age of Ultron was #5 in 2015 (2nd among HLW, just behind F7) Infinity War have ranked #5 in 2018 (biggest HLW film) And if you consider Civil War as an Avengers film, it ranked #4 in 2016 just behind The Mermaid (local hit), Zootopia and Warcraft. And in fact, IW is already at the same level than biggest HLW franchise in China (Furious). Another debate is if HLW films can break that barrier and jump to biggest local hits level.
  14. I like it precisely for that reason. It is unpredictable what can happen. Today CM disappoints (if we can consider disappointment to make a 50% higher than usual solo MCU films), and tomorrow Endgame makes 375? 400? more? It is so entertaining to follow...
  15. There were 2 films over $100m: Dangal (May 2017): 1.291b Yuan ($192.6m with today ER) Secret superstar (January 2018): 746.7m Yuan ($111.3m)
  16. BOM used to report DOM actuals on Monday at 21-22PM (Greenwich time zone)
  17. You are right (and some other poster who quoted me). I gave a low DOM prediction (375). I change it to 410-420.
  18. Spain: €4.1m OW. If it makes a normal run, it should be able to make about 12 million.
  19. It just dropped over 50% on its second weekend, something I think normal considering it was the 3rd biggest opening ever by that time. The rest of the run was pretty remarkable, IMO.
  20. Shazam seems to be a very different SH film, but the genre has done sistematically 600-800 million Yuan since 2014 (until Venom). Who knows... It is China. Unpredictable.
  21. 425 million DOM would mean better legs than Hunger Games (similar opening, same month, starred by a woman) and it already had great legs. I have serious doubts about reaching $400m.
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