peludo

Spanish opening is very good too.

That opening is surprisingly high in Spain. Just compare with numbers from bigger markets. It is at the same level than France and way bigger than Australia, for example. It should reach €10m.

As far as I know, 1 Euro = 2 Marks (more or less)

I was wrong. Even more when I had asumed there is 22 minutes gap between IW and EG, when it really is 33. We will finally see what is the limit of the markets for so long films, since it is the longest blockbuster since LOTR.

235 in 5-day opening, not 3-day.

Well, Endgame (182 minutes) is 22 minutes longer than IW (160). It could have some effect, but not as big as one could think at first.

I forgot to post this last week. The last 2 weekends are: March 15th-17th March 22th-24th "Dolor y gloria" is the latest Almodóvar's film. It has opened a bit lower than expected, but the critics are amazing (I still have not seen it). It could have very good legs. We'll see. Decent start for "Us", similar to Get Out. It should try €4m. Captain Marvel's run is great. It will be this Sunday the best solo MCU film (over IM3 which did nearly €10m). It should finish close to €12m. The Mule keeps having great drops, always under 30%. With a €1.2m OW, it is already at €3.7m (x3 multiplier), and with enough boost to reach €5m, probably more. Let's say €5.5m. Green Book's run is even more impressive. It has already reached a x7.7 multiplier. Heading to €9.5m. I do not if it will have enough fuel to €10m but, anyway, amazing performance. Bohemian Rhapsody ranks #14 after 21 weeks. Nothing has ranked so high after so many weeks probably since Titanic. It is €190k behind Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (#12) in all time ranking. It seems hard but who knows...

$2222m for the 22th MCU film

x2 multiplier from a massive 5-day OW? Unless it has stellar scores on webs and great WOM I do not see it possible. If it opens to $250m during the 5-day it should try $400m and challenge F7 and F8. To go beyond that is a bit unrealistic, IMO.

It is not unusual to open in a different day than Friday. Ultron opened on Tuesday, Jurassic World on Wednesday and F7 on Sunday. Said this, yes, Disney is undoubtedly trying $1b OW. But with films opening 1 or 2 days before Friday in more and more countries it is becoming more an opening week than a simple opening weekend.

There is a lot of info about European admissions, but not so much about local grosses. You could take the release's ER to get a local gross and then apply the today's ER. Of course, it is not exact, but it could be a good approximation. Anyway, I will look at my data and see if I have something beyond Spain and these from Germany (insidekino.com) GERMANY Avatar: €114,540,786 The Force Awakens: €102,576,103 Infinity War: €37,919,879 Titanic: There is data just for the 3D re-release - €7,521,301

Forget it. I have already been able to open it.

Thank you for starting this, @Charlie Jatinder I love this kind of exercises. I tried to do something similar some years ago. But I am too lazy to mantain it: https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/18043-adjusting-exchange-rates-first-post-updated-with-jasons-new-list/ Concerning the data you have asked for: SPAIN Avatar: €77,032,767 (includes Special edition released in September 2010) Titanic: €41,615,692 (includes 3D re-release) The Force Awakens: €33,274,236 Infinity War: €20,503,973 I can not open the link. What kind of data would you need to check?

nvm

Polish people love their own cinema. It is not usual to see it. Good for you

Close race for top spot. We should have seen better numbers for "Pain and glory". But I guess we can expect a long run. Critics are excellen. Iit is considered one of the best Almodóvar's films, maybe the best next to All about my mother and Volver (the first one won the foreign language film Oscar and the second one was nominated to best actress for Penélope Cruz). Both did about 9-10 million euros. We'll see how are the legs for this one. Unpredictable right now. Captain Marvel drop is in line with DOM, about 47%. Heading to 12 million, great for a solo film. Not bad for Us, similar to Get Out. It should finish with about 4 million.

Even considering those holidays, it just needs to drop 46% or better week-to-week. I find hard it does not get stabilized and starts to drop a bit better. I agree that it is not locked, but I think it is more likely to get there that not. Anyway, it is going to be close.

Maybe each dollar is needed to try to reach Aquaman/Civil War WW, although I do not see it possible yet (thinking in 410/710/1.12b)

People ask and I try to answer. That's all

Let's make some quick numbers: 18-24th March week: China has done $14m, so OS-China week has been 93-14=79m. 11-17th March week: China did $43m, so OS-China was: 192-43=149m. So, OS-China drop week-to-week has been about 47% (whole week, not just weekend).

It did $192m during the second week. And now it has done $93m during these last 7 days, what means a 51% drop. If it drops every week from now: -50%, it would finish with $681m OS -45%: $702m -40%: $727m -35%: $761m Even considering that China will be done within 1 week, and upcoming competition, I find hard it can not reach $700m OS. I am thinking in 710-720.

Sure, domestically Disney is the story of the year. But with monsters I meant both $700m DOM and $2b WW contenders. It sounds crazy but who knows...

I am not a Frozen fan. Not even close. But I recogznize that the sky is the limit for this sequel. I do not rule out any scenario. I was convinced that the year crown would be a battle between TLK and Endgame, but the more I think about it, the more convinced I am about F2 being part of that battle, both DOM and WW. Disney has 3 monsters this year.

Sure, ER is another detail to have into account. But in the same way IW has had 2 years and half of inflation and expansion in certain markets relative to TFA... We can adjust this in so many ways that we would never finish.

That is a very interesting data: IW OS-China: $1.010b TFA OS-China: $1.007b Just a $3m difference. We could say: DOM: TFA China: IW OS-China: Draw Now we can discuss that IW was bigger in Asia and LA, where prices are lower and it is needed more admissions to make the same amount of money, but since I do not usually see in these forums too much concern about admissions but mainly about money grossed, I think it is fair to make this split.