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Sam

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Everything posted by Sam

  1. Sam
    Why would it follow Ragnarok? Different season for once. And Ragnarok has close to a huge 38% Sat jump from true Friday. Don’t see how DP2 can match that. If anything, GOTG2 would be a more apt comparison.
  2. Sam
    Well, there it is. 15M would be a bit low. I think it’ll rise closer to 18M.
  3. Sam
    Tone it down a bit. That’s trying too hard. You can do better.
  4. Sam
    Deadline seems uncharacteristically quiet today.
  5. Sam
    50.4M should be real easy for DP2. The first one got almost 35M true Friday already. So if DP2 simply match that, it only needs 15M in Thu previews.
  6. Sam
    I don’t think we can say there’s absolutely no chance it could miss 1B OS-China. The upcoming drops from this point on, against Deadpool and Solo could be all 60%+ It’s just extremely unlikely as drops will stabilize and summer weekdays are coming. Deadpool could hit it harder, but Solo’s subdued presence in Asia and many Latin American countries will give IW an edge.
  7. Sam
    I think 52-55% is a good range. I’m hoping for just over 30M weekend.
  8. Sam
    I think anyone with sufficient BO knowledge would not expect it too. DP had not only Valentine but also President’s Day boost, so most of the daily trajectory was useless to draw any comparison. Sat bump from true Friday for DP was about 27%, and I agree with you about heavily skewed previews/Friday (as it is for most sequel) so I’m thinking the jump this time will be around 20%, which is still very good.
  9. Sam
    I can see Thu: 19M Fri: 38M Sat: 46M (+20%) Sun: 35M (-24%) Total: 138M Basically playing pretty close to GOTG2 for all weekend except Sat jump.
  10. Sam
    Yup. Previews are looking great near me too. I would not be surprised with ~20M Thursday. It’s the Sat-Sun that look pretty muted, but that could change, and walk-ups will fill in the blanks if GA reaction mirror our members’ here thus far.
  11. Sam
    IW Friday jumps so far have been on the lower side of MCU (albeit coming from bigger weekdays than most) so I think if anything, DP2 gonna hit it hardest on Friday. But Marvel is a Sat player so it’ll balance out.
  12. Sam
    Should get roughly 30M for the Mon-Thu frame. Not sure how hard DP2 will hit it over the weekend, but I think it’s far enough into its run that drops will start to stabilize. 35M+ Fri-Sun IMO.
  13. Sam
    600M by Sunday would require 33-34M weekend. That’s 45-47% drops. So I doubt it.
  14. Sam
    @Proxima OliveWhat’s the significant of 520 in China? I read that it’s like a mini Valentine, but what brought on the occasion, does it have to do with how 520 is pronounced?
  15. Sam
    That seems like a good drop for DP2
  16. Sam
    Lmao, Marvel is like half of the Top 10. Brazil is definitely the most SH-friendly country atm.
  17. Sam
    Not sure if that’s good enough for some people lol. Wonder what’s gonna be a meltdown range.
  18. Sam
    Great number. -26.7% from Tuesday and -37.6% weekly drop. Its best Wed hold yet. That will help cushion the expected bigger drop on Thursday. Thanks for all the daily updates.
  19. Sam
    So far, per Rth, ODs in Australia, New Zealand and UK look to be on par to minimal decrease from Deadpool. Increase in South Korea and Italy.
  20. Sam
    1.5M+ OW?
  21. Sam
    7.6M OS-China. -10% from Monday. Pretty good.
  22. Sam
    I agree. That’s why I’m not predicting a big increase from the first. I figure the upfront demand and walk-ups potential will overcome the holiday advantage the first movie has. Pre-sales at theaters near me still trailing behind GOTG2 at the moment. Though I could see Thu previews beating out GOTG2’s 17M.
  23. Sam
    Well, the first Deadpool was big on walk ups so no reason for this one not to do the same. I think 130M is a pretty safe bet. It’s 150M+ I’m not sure about
  24. Sam
    That would be a +29% bump, in line with last week’s increase. And -44% weekly drop. Still on track for the expected 18M Mon-Thu.
  25. Sam
    Understandably harsher drop for IW in lieu of DP2. Pretty good OD for DP2, that’s +47% from DP, and about 74% of Kingsman 2’s OD. 5-day OW probably gonna land in the middle of @Fish&chips range of 10-15M.
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