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Everything posted by Sam
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My bad lol. How much is that in dollars? Y’all mentioned ticket prices were pretty high for some formats.
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So close to 1M but no cigar. Still huge though for a Tuesday.
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I thought you updated with OD number, Olive. You psyched me out lol. A few more minutes.
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Thanks @sfran43 for always being so quick and diligent in daily numbers reporting.
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AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
If it can manage $170-180M for OW in China, I can’t imagine WOM could be that bad to the point it can’t make a minimum of $250M total. OS-China opening let’s say $260M (about the middle of DHD predicted range). Worst case scenario IMO is 2.5x for a 650M total. For me, I think over 900M is a pretty safe bet at the moment. -
Awaiting some WOM indication from HK and Taiwan, could be a good predictor for how it’s gonna be in mainland China. 95% market share is absolutely ridiculous.
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Ratings gonna fall but that’s a good start. I think that’s a higher rating off the bat than Ultron or Civil War, IIRC?
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That is very generous of you, Matt. I somehow always missed these contests for other blockbusters before so imma try my hand at this one. Thurs: 43,655,919 Fri: 63,616,199 Sat: 69,557,990 Sun: 56,914,300 Think it’s gonna do closer to $220M for OW instead of whatever the total is from above. But for the sake of this thread, I just threw Fri-Sun numbers together off of how Ultron and TA1 did. And couple that with a ridiculous preview number (by Marvel standard) and see how it’ll go.
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@Proxima Olive Any potentially big local releases that could be competition for IW in the upcoming weeks?
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AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
That would be around what we’ve been predicting too. And to think it would completely obliterate the WW record had China also get date-and-day release. Crazy. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Sam replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Ew. -
BLACK PANTHER | 646.8 M overseas ● 1346.9 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Even better. Will easily pass TLJ then. I think 17.5M more WW to get over DH2 still not very probable. Its run OS is almost done, don’t think IW can help much there, maybe in the UK but that’s about it. Domestic can go either way. Spillover effect could help, but then if it loses lots of theaters, it’s moot. Still though, to think Black Panther will end WW within 70M of Ultron. That’s just nuts. -
BLACK PANTHER | 646.8 M overseas ● 1346.9 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
12M away from beating TLJ for #9 WW. OS should get to 645M at least. So needs about 10M or so from domestic. Gonna be bit of a slow crawl. Don’t think its chances at #8 is viable. -
AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Very strong chance at #4 WW opening. But without China, I’m hard pressed to say it can get to #3 or higher. -
AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide
Sam replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Predictions on second weekend drop in the OS markets? Labor Day May 1st falling on Tuesday will help weekdays numbers but gonna make the 2nd weekend drop look worse. -
South Korea loves the Avengers team and RDJ Iron Man most especially. Will be interesting to see how future MCU big team up movies will perform once most of the original Avengers are gone. The BO performance of Strange, Homecoming and Black Panther show the potential for big numbers of new Avengers team, though I don’t see any solo MCU ever reach the heights of Iron Man 3 again.