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Weekend Estimate #s FF6: 34.5 NYSM 27.8 AE: 27.3 TH3: 15.9

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Ehh... it's going to drop big time from this May, IMO. I'm not convinced next May is going to be that great. Line-up is shaky.

 

Of course it's going to drop. It looks fine in a sense that there won't be much of cannibalization.

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  • Founder / Operator

Fast Six is likely to end up over 230-240 million so the audience did grow and with crazy competition.. 

 

I think he meant post-opening weekend. At this point, F6 has slowed down to F5's daily pace.

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  • Founder / Operator

Of course it's going to drop. It looks fine in a sense that there won't be much of cannibalization.

 

True, but, I just mean in the general sense of a lack of true "event" movies. My gut tells me it'll be one of the least attended Mays ever.

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As it turns out, the same Friday in 2002 saw what look like weak increases to me too, followed by a very strong Saturday. Wishful thinking?

 

To compensate for this kind of Friday jumps, Saturday jumps need to be in the range of 80-100% which is highly unlikely but you never so maybe your wishful thinking might come true.  :D

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True, but, I just mean in the general sense of a lack of true "event" movies. My gut tells me it'll be one of the least attended Mays ever.

I don't think it'll go quite that low, maybe 120m at best, but not worse than 2010.
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filmnerdjamie, on 01 Jun 2013 - 11:17 PM, said:

With few exceptions, lineup next summer looks weak.

I like the fact there aren't many sequels.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MAY

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

02-04

    [*]The Amazing Spider-Man ll

09-11

    [*]Tyler Perry's Single Mom's Club

16-18

    [*]Godzilla

23-25

    [*]Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes

    [*]Blended

30-01

    [*]The Good Dinosaur

    [*]A Million Ways To Die In The West

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JUNE

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

06-08

    [*]Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

    [*]All You Need Is Kill

13-15

    [*]21 Jump Street ll

20-22

    [*]How To Train Your Dragon ll

    [*]Think Like A Man Too

27-29

    [*]Transformers lV

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JULY

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

04-07

    [*]Maleficent

    [*]Sex Tape

    [*]Tammy

11-14

    [*]Fast & Furious Vll

18-21

    [*]X-Men: Days Of Future Past

25-28

    [*]Hercules

    [*]Jupiter Ascending

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUGUST

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

01-03

    [*]Guardians Of The Galaxy

08-10

    [*]Dracula

15-17

22-24

29-31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by kayumanggi
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Is Star Trek Into Darkness technically a box office disappointment?

 

No doubt about it, yes.

 

As long as it crosses $200M domestic (It will), Paramount can save some face and label it a blockbuster. Third Trek movie is gonna face cutbacks and Abrams' writing/producing team will be fired, as a result.

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