Robertron Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Can Hunger Games and Frozen survive next weekend? I hope for 25M for both.I think both can manage $25m. They're having exceptional % this weekend, regardless of the fact that it's Thanksgiving. I suspect holds will be better than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Can Hunger Games and Frozen survive next weekend? I hope for 25M for both.Both should be somewhere in 25-30m range, but I think Frozen should come out on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic) for Fri, Nov. 29 - Sun, Dec. 1 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $74,000,000 Frozen (2013) $67,000,000 Thor: The Dark World $11,200,000 The top three prove that without a shadow of a doubt, you should not underestimate the power of heroic women at the box office. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Post-Thanksgiving holds for the big boys (> $30mil Thanksgiving weekend grossers)The biggest drop on that list is 54.4%.We're in for a big weekend next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 My one concern is beating THG so that stupid $400m sequel rule can finally be put to rest.Its locked to beat THG and IM3. 430-440M is where this is heading. Maybe it can beat TDKR snd cross 450M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Also, today's the first day that CF's gross beats DH2, and that's without 3D! $240,671,184 vs. $253,206,000 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviefanatic Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I could see both finishing in the 30-35 million range next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Yeah, Frozen is winning next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Killimano3 Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 (edited) Assuming Catching Fire is 75M for this weekend then here are similar comparisions for next weekend: Deathly Hallows Part I (-65.3%) -- -- -- 26M for CF New Moon (-64.0%) -- -- -- 27M for CF Goblet of Fire (-63.7%) -- -- -- 27.2M for CF Breaking Dawn Part I (-60.3%) -- -- -- 29.8M for CF Breaking Dawn Part II (-60.1%) -- -- -- 29.9M for CF Edited November 30, 2013 by Killimano3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Based on the fact that the biggest drop on that post TG weekend list is 54.4%, I could definitely see $30m each as a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Assuming Catching Fire is 75M for this weekend then here are similar comparisions for next weekend: Deathly Hallows Part I (-65.3%) -- -- -- 26M for CFNew Moon (-64.0%) -- -- -- 27M for CFGoblet of Fire (-63.7%) -- -- -- 27.2M for CFBreaking Dawn Part I (-60.3%) -- -- -- 29.8M for CFBreaking Dawn Part II (-60.1%) -- -- -- 29.9M for CFIt's holding better than those films though so far. So a sub 60% drop is very possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Right now, I'm still going conservative and think this will finish at around 415M, just beating IM3. Depending on how next weekend goes, I might raise it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 That's the biggest single day lead yet. A day after it lost ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master Scottb Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I could be wrong, but I think $31.25m makes CF's 2nd Friday the biggest ever. I'm looking at the top non-opening Friday's list on BOM and the only movies with a bigger non-opening Friday were Wednesday and Thursday openers (Friday was day 2 or 3). Top 10 2nd Fridays. 1. Catching Fire - $31.25m (est.) 2. The Avengers - $29.22m 3. Avatar - $25.27m (3rd Friday) 4. The Dark Knight - $23.23m 5. Avatar - $23.09m (2nd Friday) 6. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone - $22.98m 7. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - $22.77m 8. Toy Story 2 - $22.60m 9. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 - $20.83m 10. Shrek 2 - $20.15m 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Who would of ever thought that CF would even be tied with the legs of THG, nevermind potentially beating them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Right now, I'm still going conservative and think this will finish at around 415M, just beating IM3. Depending on how next weekend goes, I might raise it.If it performs like Deathly Hallows Part 1 after this weekend, it'll cross 420. I'd say that's the minimum for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Can Hunger Games and Frozen survive next weekend? I hope for 25M for both. Honestly both are probably going to go over 30 million Catching Fire has had better legs than HP and Twilight Frozen has the winter/Christmas theme plus an A+ CinemaScore and it's been holding better than Tangled every single day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Assuming Catching Fire is 75M for this weekend then here are similar comparisions for next weekend: Deathly Hallows Part I (-65.3%) -- -- -- 26M for CF New Moon (-64.0%) -- -- -- 27M for CF Goblet of Fire (-63.7%) -- -- -- 27.2M for CF Breaking Dawn Part I (-60.3%) -- -- -- 29.8M for CF Breaking Dawn Part II (-60.1%) -- -- -- 29.9M for CF Can we stop using Harry Potter and Twilight as comparisons for Catching Fire? We've seen those models fail literally everyday, with Catching Fire holding much better. There's no reason to assume that it will start behaving like those two franchise for the rest of its run now. "The sun persists in rising so I make myself stand (with good legs)" 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 (edited) If CF matched the biggest drop in post-Thanksgiving history it would fall to $34.2m (assuming $75m weekend). It is certainly possible given how huge this weekend is. No other film has grossed above $70m for the 3day so it might fall harder. We're in unprecedented territory. Stop predicting and just hang on for the ride. IM3 is still safe but BARELY.....for now (I have $420-$430m). We'll see next weekend. Edited November 30, 2013 by lilmac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 If CF matched the biggest drop in post-Thanksgiving history it would fall to $34.2m (assuming $75m weekend). It is certainly possible given how huge this weekend is. No other film has grosses above $70m for the 3day so it might fall harder. IM3 is still safe but barely.....for now (I have $420-$430m). We'll see next weekend. I think Catching Fire will drop around to $34-$36 million Frozen might have a shot at stealing the top spot though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
