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JJ-8

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5 hours ago, Rth said:

I will come in just over Mon, biggest Tues ever (Avatar has #2-4 record tuesday, tues wk2,wk1,wk3) and it will easily have biggest non-opening Wed (current #1 Avatar) over 35m now

 

just wow.... I have no words.....  I had hoped for about 3.5 yesterday and about 3m... to be at or over 4m both Monday and Tuesday is just ......wow..

 

come on Australia..... can we get a 40m first week ? (I actually thinking it will be more like 39m or just under but it's nice to dream...)

 

oh and ... avatar took 14 days to reach the same height  (38.7m after 14 days that is) that Star Wars is doing in 7 days.... 

 

It has to start easing off sooner or later... otherwise 200m here we come :ph34r:

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ok some quick projections:

 

OW = 27.3m

mon = 3.9m+

tues = 4m+ ~ 35m+ total

 

projected...

wed = 3.5m

thurs = 3m

fri = 3m

Sat = 6m

Sun = 5.5m (2nd weekend = 17.5m :wub: )

Total after 10 days = 56m and only a whisker away from passing titanic....

 

3rd week :

Mon (is public holiday also thanks to boxing day being on the sat) = 5m

Tues = 4m

Wed = 3.6m

thurs = 4m

Fri = 4.5m

Sat = 5m

Sun = 4.5m (3rd weekend = 18m ) ok I'm now being a little crazy....

 

total after 17 days = 86.6m 

:ohmyzod::ohmyzod::ohmyzod:

 

is that even possible ?  nah... it's got drop off at some point here.....

 

No ... just no....

 

I'm think about 52 to 53m after 10 days and about 70m after 17 days is more realistic.. but quite simply the numbers I put up above are kinda how avatar travelled through the Christmas period.  PS that would be 3 out of the 4 highest weekend totals ever.

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8 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

ok some quick projections:

 

OW = 27.3m

mon = 3.9m+

tues = 4m+ ~ 35m+ total

 

projected...

wed = 3.5m

thurs = 3m

fri = 3m

Sat = 6m

Sun = 5.5m (2nd weekend = 17.5m :wub: )

Total after 10 days = 56m and only a whisker away from passing titanic....

 

3rd week :

Mon (is public holiday also thanks to boxing day being on the sat) = 5m

Tues = 4m

Wed = 3.6m

thurs = 4m

Fri = 4.5m

Sat = 5m

Sun = 4.5m (3rd weekend = 18m ) ok I'm now being a little crazy....

 

total after 17 days = 86.6m 

:ohmyzod::ohmyzod::ohmyzod:

 

is that even possible ?  nah... it's got drop off at some point here.....

 

No ... just no....

 

I'm think about 52 to 53m after 10 days and about 70m after 17 days is more realistic.. but quite simply the numbers I put up above are kinda how avatar travelled through the Christmas period.  PS that would be 3 out of the 4 highest weekend totals ever.

100M would be locked. How high can it go in your scenario? 120M? 150M? 

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On 22/12/2015, 1:33:31, Ball Lightning said:
18 minutes ago, druv10 Maul said:

100M would be locked. How high can it go in your scenario? 120M? 150M? 

Last night was definitely insane! Still, just below $4m is mind boggling! I'd think a lot of that would have been spillover, so I can't see it being higher until Boxing Day. But I'd expect today to be around $3.5m, with tomorrow around $3m. 

 

$37.5m week

$40m Christmas Eve

$42.5m Christmas Day

$48.5m Boxing Day

$52.5m by end of second weekend

 

It could get to $50m by the end of boxing day but it would have to continue to exceed it's expectations!

 

$8m weekdays

$2m Thursday

$4m Friday

$4m Saturday

$3.5m Sunday

$74m coming out into the new year!

 

Yeah it should continue to play well past the new years as well thanks to university's and schools being out until at least Mid-February. So definitely monstrous potential here.

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8 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

ok some quick projections:

 

OW = 27.3m

mon = 3.9m+

tues = 4m+ ~ 35m+ total

 

projected...

wed = 3.5m

thurs = 3m

fri = 3m

Sat = 6m

Sun = 5.5m (2nd weekend = 17.5m :wub: )

Total after 10 days = 56m and only a whisker away from passing titanic....

 

3rd week :

Mon (is public holiday also thanks to boxing day being on the sat) = 5m

Tues = 4m

Wed = 3.6m

thurs = 4m

Fri = 4.5m

Sat = 5m

Sun = 4.5m (3rd weekend = 18m ) ok I'm now being a little crazy....

 

total after 17 days = 86.6m 

:ohmyzod::ohmyzod::ohmyzod:

 

is that even possible ?  nah... it's got drop off at some point here.....

 

No ... just no....

 

I'm think about 52 to 53m after 10 days and about 70m after 17 days is more realistic.. but quite simply the numbers I put up above are kinda how avatar travelled through the Christmas period.  PS that would be 3 out of the 4 highest weekend totals ever.

100M would be locked. How high can it go in your scenario? 120M? 150M? 

Yeah in my scenario, both 100m and 120m (including avatar)would be toast. I think 150m would well within reach at that point. The only question is whether there is a point where it does just start to drop.

U could say Star Wars would have out titatanic'd avatar...... In this scenario

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I'm not sure about other chains but at Event/GU/BC etc TFA seems to be keeping every single VMAX/Gold Class session this weekend. 

Wells it's a bit hard to remove sessions when your still getting sellouts.

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8 hours ago, Ball Lightning said:

Today was a pretty decent drop at my work from yesterday. I wouldn't be surprised with a $3m-$3.3m day today.

looking at least 3.3 :), biggest non OD wed by like 25+% (prev record Avatar)

Was never touching the overall Wednesday record ..... ;) considering it was the record single day only a week ago

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Week reported 

38,537,569, record week beats DH2 1st 7 days by 9m

Fantastic start.

DH2 had the lopsided / front loaded start meaning it dropped off quicker.

Avatar had a slower start but a lot stronger weekdays.

Star Wars took the best of both worlds mashed it together and began shattering as many records as it can.

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Week reported 

38,537,569, record week beats DH2 1st 7 days by 9m

The scary part is Star Wars 2nd week could still outdo DH2's 1st week. It's a stretch and I suspect it will be barely short but is simply how amazing this run is.

Wk1= 38.5m

Wk2 - 26m - 32m

Wk3 - 20m - 28m

So in summary after 3 wks I see a running total between 84m and 99m. Yeah 100m is pretty much toast at this point. Not a lock but not far from it.

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So $100m would put it at sixth on the all time admissions chart? I'd say that's almost certain now with two more weeks of peak holidays coming up. 

 

How much does it need to beat Star Wars admissions?

At a glance I think it will need about 110m to beat Star Wars TOTAL lifetime admissions. (This is taking 3D into account. )

EDIT I should note that I'm not sure of the 3D share here. I some further calcs using a 15/ticket average. To beat avatar it will need not much more than the 115m avatar got (due to its high 3D share) to get the all time champ since 1985 (at least the records we have), it should need about 135m.

Of course if the 3d share higher than this and raises that average then it may need like 120m to beat avatar.

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