Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it

[Sheldon Cr]

1 hour ago, Deep Wang said:

 

Okay.

Wang I love proving you wrong. Doubting Cameron and Avatar 2 wont go well for naysayers. Underestimating walkins and how many people waiting for better formats will be your under 500m club undoing.

Just wait 

 

[Deep Wang]

3 minutes ago, Sheldon Cr said:

Wang I love proving you wrong. Doubting Cameron and Avatar 2 wont go well for naysayers. Underestimating walkins and how many people waiting for better formats will be your under 500m club undoing.

Just wait 

 

 

I don't have an under $500m club.  

[Sheldon Cr]

3 hours ago, XXR It's 2 Damn Cold Out said:

I'm having a hard time seeing A2 make over $550M DOM, and there's even a little doubt as to whether it makes $500M (it should but the math does show that it may miss).

 

A2 will be about $35M below R1 at the end of the 2nd WE.  R1 made just under $155M between December 26 to January 3 then $91M after that to finish its run.  If A2 matches R1 the rest of the way, it comes in at $498M. 

 

 

Rogue 1 doesn't have the replay value of Avatar2. Its a one and done deal. Neither did that sws film have the kind of Wom of Avatar or Oscar and golden globe and must see buzz. Lol come on now.

[Deuce66]

Week #1 is in the books

 

Domestic: $197.68 million - 30%

International: $463.9 million - 70%

Total: $661.4 million 

 

Avg. drawdown per week from worst case to best

60% = $1.102 Billion

50% = $1.322 Billion

40% = $1.655 Billion (most likely imo)

30% = $2.20 Billion  

 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

11 minutes ago, Sheldon Cr said:

Rogue 1 doesn't have the replay value of Avatar2. Its a one and done deal. Neither did that sws film have the kind of Wom of Avatar or Oscar and golden globe and must see buzz. Lol come on now.

 

Nothing so far indicates any kind of substantial or unusual WOM. None of the holds are exceptional. At some point the numbers have to catch up to this idea of awesome WOM or it's just not going to happen. We will see what happens after Saturday but if it's not up to $420M by January 3rd you can forget about $600M. 

 

[IronJimbo]

3 minutes ago, XXR It's 2 Damn Cold Out said:

 

Nothing so far indicates any kind of substantial or unusual WOM. None of the holds are exceptional. At some point the numbers have to catch up to this idea of awesome WOM or it's just not going to happen. We will see what happens after Saturday but if it's not up to $420M by January 3rd you can forget about $600M. 

 

 

easy to say that after two snowstorm numbers, it's had what 2 legit days none-OW days so far.

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Just now, IronJimbo said:

 

easy to say that after two snowstorm numbers, it's had what 2 legit days none-OW days so far.

 

Trends trend no matter what. But like I said, if there's something that's going to happen then it'll start Sunday and be very noticeable next week. Time is running out for a domestic explosion. 

[Saul Goodman]

Oh, we back to it will make 3 billy easy peasy era now?

[StreamBO]

3 BILLION BACK ON THE MAP thanks to OS. 

[IronJimbo]

2 minutes ago, XXR It's 2 Damn Cold Out said:

 

Trends trend no matter what. But like I said, if there's something that's going to happen then it'll start Sunday and be very noticeable next week. Time is running out for a domestic explosion. 

Yeah time is running out, we'll see when the snowstorm ends. Nothing really much more to say

[StreamBO]

Just now, IronJimbo said:

Yeah time is running out, we'll see when the snowstorm ends. Nothing really much more to say

Why you people caring so much about Domestic? OS is where the money is at, plus the weather and everything. 

[Deep Wang]

2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Yeah time is running out, we'll see when the snowstorm ends. Nothing really much more to say

 

Ah, so we should just stop discussing/analyzing Avatar's numbers until next week then?

[Eric Prime]

1 minute ago, StreamBO said:

Why you people caring so much about Domestic? OS is where the money is at, plus the weather and everything. 

Yeah, I know right? It's almost like this is a forum specifically dedicated towards domestic box office or something.

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 minute ago, StreamBO said:

Why you people caring so much about Domestic?

 

Because it's the biggest market for the film by 4x? Without DOM the film isn't cracking the top 20 much less a shot a the top 5.

[IronJimbo]

Just now, Deep Wang said:

Ah, so we should just stop discussing/analyzing Avatar's numbers until next week then?

you can try and workout what the real domestic numbers would have been without the storm, if you like Deep Wang. I'm not in charge of you

[StreamBO]

Just now, Deep Wang said:

 

Ah, so we should just stop discussing/analyzing Avatar's numbers until next week then?

You can keep doing Deep Wang, some take what you are doing as an attack on the movie when is not, But Avatar thanks to OS probably have that 2 Billie Locked. 

[StreamBO]

3 minutes ago, XXR It's 2 Damn Cold Out said:

 

Because it's the biggest market for the film by 4x? Without DOM the film isn't cracking the top 20 much less a shot a the top 5.

Overseas is performing great, it could make it without it or Maybe im putting too much stock on James. 

Edited December 23, 2022 by StreamBO

[Alexdube]

Wednesday to Thursday 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them  +14%
La La land +13.4%
Moana +21.1%

 

Rogue One  +12.1%    

 

 

Wednesday to Thursday 2022

black panther wf:  -1.8%
violent night:  -3.8%
the whale:      -60%
Puss in Boots:  -9.3%

 

Avatar 2: +1.3%

[Deep Wang]

3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

you can try and workout what the real domestic numbers would have been without the storm, if you like Deep Wang. I'm not in charge of you

 

That has nothing to do with what I asked you and that is also not what I am doing or want to do.

[IronJimbo]

Just now, Deep Wang said:

 

That has nothing to do with what I asked you and that is also not what I am doing or want to do.

yeah but the thing about apples and pears is that they're not quite the same