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Peeta Tong Karanasios

Maleficent OS Thread

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Maleficent will probably become a huge hit!

Its trailers are wonderful and Maleficent also can transform into a dragon so chinese will watch it...

It will open in Real 3D,Digital 3D and IMAX also..

Why you haven't create any topic yet?

May 30

Maleficent has been a big winner for Disney over its marketing campaign so far and Angelina Jolie has 4 years to star in a film so people will watch it!
Edited by PeetaKara
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350 might be optimistic, but I currently think it could do 175/325 for a 500 WW total.

 

If it does do that, it'll be Jolie's biggest film, OS and WW, outside of the KFP films. She's got success overseas, but hasn't demonstrated the punch that other stars like Depp have. (It's notable that The Tourist, her co-starring venture with Depp, is her second-biggest live-action film to date OS.)

 

It's entirely possible the film performs right at SWATH levels: 150 DOM, 250 OS, for a 400 WW.

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Disclaimer: prediction is based on similar movie chosen by me. Differences are in comparison between the two movies, not absolute guests.Similar: Oz TGaP 235 dom + 260 osKey differencesDisney's "Frozen effect" +10%Jolie boost +20% dom +35% osLesser knows characters -10% (os only)Too much dark for kids -5%No James Franco -10%Supporting role actress - 5%Elle Fanning dislike -5%Maleficent Dom 260 Os 290Other: Disney marketing effect is unpredictable: lacking (like Tangled) -10% or standard + 0% or good + 10% or masterpiece (like Frozen) + 25%I think good, so have a Final prediction to 285 dom and 325 os total 610 ww

Edited by edroger
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Similar: Oz TGaP 235 dom + 260 osKey differencesDisney's "Frozen effect" +10%Jolie boost +20% dom +35% osLesser knows characters -10% (os only)Too much dark for kids -5%No James Franco -10%Supporting role actress - 5%Elle Fanning dislike -5%Maleficent 260 Dom 260 Os 290Other: Disney marketing effect is unpredictable: lacking (like Tangled) -10% or standard + 0% or good + 10% or masterpiece (like Frozen) + 25%I think good, so have a Final prediction to 285 dom and 325 os total 610 ww

I don't think No James Franco would have that much of an effect.  He really isn't a draw, look at Spring Breakers or his other past movies.

 

Or Elle Fanning dislike, she's more of a non-factor than widely disliked IMO.

Edited by Frozen Iceroll
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I don't think No James Franco would have that much of an effect. He really isn't a draw, look at Spring Breakers or his other past movies.Or Elle Fanning dislike, she's more of a non-factor than widely disliked IMO.

Prediction is based on a similar movie chosen by me, (right or wrong) so the comparaison between leading actors give a negative effect for Maleficent. (by me)Excuse me but i dislike both Fanning sisters. As children actress and as joung adult actress.However, you are right, I had not explained it well, so i added a disclaimer in my post. Edited by edroger
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Disclaimer: prediction is based on similar movie chosen by me. Differences are in comparison between the two movies, not absolute guests.

Similar: Oz TGaP 235 dom + 260 os

Key differences

Disney's "Frozen effect" +10%  :) 

Jolie boost +20% dom +35% os

Lesser knows characters -10% (os only) 

Too much dark for kids -5%

No James Franco -10%

Supporting role actress - 5%

Elle Fanning dislike -5%

Maleficent Dom 260 Os 290

Other: Disney marketing effect is unpredictable: lacking (like Tangled) -10% or standard + 0% or good + 10% or masterpiece (like Frozen) + 25%

I think good, so have a Final prediction to 285 dom and 325 os total 610 ww

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Angelina Jolie is a massive draw. And Sleeping Beauty is more iconic and well known by overseas audiences than Oz.

 

$400 million will be possible.

In Europe Sleeping Beauty is far more popular than Oz.

Also Sleeping Beauty is a a French fairy tale and not an american novel like Oz...

I just hope that France will love Maleficent!

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Disclaimer: prediction is based on similar movie chosen by me. Differences are in comparison between the two movies, not absolute guests.Similar: Oz TGaP 235 dom + 260 osKey differencesDisney's "Frozen effect" +10%Jolie boost +20% dom +35% osLesser knows characters -10% (os only)Too much dark for kids -5%No James Franco -10%Supporting role actress - 5%Elle Fanning dislike -5%Maleficent Dom 260 Os 290Other: Disney marketing effect is unpredictable: lacking (like Tangled) -10% or standard + 0% or good + 10% or masterpiece (like Frozen) + 25%I think good, so have a Final prediction to 285 dom and 325 os total 610 ww

Lesser Knowns characters?Here in France maleficent will be far bigger than Oz.

It is a french fairy tale!!!!!

Europe will be big!

 

But i think that the "too dark for kids" won't have only 5%damage i expect at least 10%

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350 might be optimistic, but I currently think it could do 175/325 for a 500 WW total.

 

If it does do that, it'll be Jolie's biggest film, OS and WW, outside of the KFP films. She's got success overseas, but hasn't demonstrated the punch that other stars like Depp have. (It's notable that The Tourist, her co-starring venture with Depp, is her second-biggest live-action film to date OS.)

 

It's entirely possible the film performs right at SWATH levels: 150 DOM, 250 OS, for a 400 WW.

Why so low?

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No Olympics happen every 4 years and there is the World Football Cup but it is next month so it  is ok!

 

Unfortunately it's only two weeks between maleficent release and the World Cup. One week in other countries. 

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