Mattrek Posted July 27, 2014 Share Posted July 27, 2014 For the top 15TF4MaleXmenApesTASM2Godzilla22JSNeighboursDragonFaultare all locked in, Guardians will of course make it too which means there are 4 spots up in the air.Edge is the front runner with 98MTammy is next with a likely 90M ish finishSo i'd say breaking 100M guarantees a top 15 finish, but beating Tammy may also manage it.Lucy is look pretty set to beat EOT which will be enough.Hercules will need a 3-3.2 multiplier I think to overtake Tammy which would mean it comes down to whether there are 2 other films yet to be released that can break 90M. For me I only see Turtles doing it. (Although things like Get on Up and Expendables have a shot.)But overall I see the top 15 turning out like (not in this order:TF4MaleXmenApesTASM2Godzilla22JSNeighboursDragonFaultGuardiansEOTLucyTurtlesTammy/HerculesIf Tammy makes it and not Hercules that would get me 13/15 films I got right (not the order). I would be extremely happy with that. The only obstacles left would be Get On Up (never underestimate an African American drama) and Expendables 3 (can't see it). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 This summer is just all sorts of craziness - Maleficent #2?? Did anyone call that? They deserve to win lol. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 I need Tammy in the top 15 and I need it to make all the $$$$$ it can lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 This summer is just all sorts of craziness - Maleficent #2?? Did anyone call that? They deserve to win lol.I believe I checked I while back and only about 5 people did not have Dragon in their top2 and all of those had spiderman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 I did not have a good week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 No one had a good week.As for the top 15 this is going to be the first year where my top 15 is not good. Lucy will make it...Hercules has a chance. Maleficent is way higher than I thought....Dragon and Transformers much lower. Been a weird summer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 My top 12 in the first year I played (2011) is still my best by far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 My top 12 in the first year I played (2011) is still my best by far. I won the first year I played, so it's all downhill from there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 I won the first year I played, so it's all downhill from there. That said, my top 15 this year is probably going to be better than my top 15 last year. But that's going to be the case for everybody. It's been an extremely predictable summer. At least as far as predicting movies for the top 15 (even though HTTYD2 came in way low, it's still in the top 15). Lucy is probably the biggest surprise, but we were all waiting for it to break out the second we saw the trailer with Captain America. Moving the release date is probably going to be enough to push it from just out of the top 15 to just in the top 15. Unless TMNT is a some sort of huge disappointment, Get On Up is really the only potential surprise left. GOTG looks like a lock, while Expendables 3 doesn't seem to have either the interest or the time to get into the top 15. Let alone everything else. (Now watch Into The Storm or Lets Be Cops blow up. I have been predicting that Lets Be Cops will be a hit. And I'm surprised at how many people have said they are looking forward to Into The Storm.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 Ok, strap in and hang on.....I don't have standings done....yet....but here is a bunch of scoring to whet your appetites 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 Here is the last standings we have: 1) Tele: 290,0001=) cjohn: 290,0001=) Cedar:290,0004) jakegittes: 289,0005) dipper: 288,0006) Fern 280,000: 6=) Alfredstellar: 280,000 8) tylerdurden: 272,0009) Narnia 270,00010) Blankments: 264,00011) Simionski 259,00012) Cmaster255,000 13) Iceroll: 248,000 14) mattrek: 247,00015) Olive: 244,00016) druv: 243,000 17) LAguy 237,00018) Ed 233,00019) Chasmmi 231,00020) Johnny 229,00021) darkelf: 228,00022) 24IsLost 227,00023) clairehol7: 224,00023=) Panda 224,00025) Baumer 220.00025=) Chewy 220,00027) movieman 210,00028) DAR 208,00029) Grim22 205,00029=) Numbers 205,00031) Jajang 201,00032) punishment: 199,00033) JOS 196,00034) Moviegeek: 195,000 35) Empire: 192,00035=) junkshop: 192,00037) Gizmo 188,00038) Mulder 184,00039) Kitik: 181,00040) damienroc: 177,00041) Glassfairy 175,00042) Stingray 161,00043) Za Rukaio 160.00044) bcf26: 158,00045) MeanGirlsFilms 156,00046) grey ghost 150,00047) MGS 144,00048) Winter Soldier 137,00049) Spaghetti 132,00050) Schumacher 106,00051) Andy LL 89,00052=) Jandrew 68,00053=) Gokai Red 68,00054) mahnamahna 61,00055) filmovie: 56,00056) Jay Hollywood: 52,00057=) Kayumanggi 3,00057=) RhyneOH1040 3,00057=) Vanauger 3,00060) nerdygeek: -1,00061) goffe: -31,00062) Neo -43,000 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 (edited) Edited July 30, 2014 by baumer 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 (edited) Edited July 30, 2014 by baumer 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 (edited) Edited July 30, 2014 by baumer 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 SOTM 5 Between Memorial weekend and July 4th holiday releases, I have chosen 10 films that will qualify for this SOTM question. Blended A Million Ways to Die in the West Edge of Tomorrow Maleficient The Fault in Our Stars 22 Jump Street Think Like a Man Too Tammy Deliver Us From Evil Earth to Echo You have 8 possible SOTM questions to choose from. Your choices are: What will have the best OW (this will include any 5 day openings). Maleficent What will have the best total? Maleficent What will have the best opening day? Fault What will have the best midnight/early shows from the day before the official release? Fault What will have the best legs (multiplier...note, multiplier will count from a three day OW only)? What will have the smallest opening weekend?Earth to Echo What will have the smallest opening day? Earth to Echo Name any film that will not have at least a 3 multiplier (note, if you choose to answer this one, and you feel that no film will miss a 3X, you can answer "none")? Million, Blended, Fault, Points: Get any question right, win 7,000 points Get any question wrong, lose 15,000 points You are allowed to go for a maximum of three questions. If you answer all three questions correctly, you get a bonus of 3000 points so the maximum you can earn for this question is 24,000 points. Of course, you can go for all 8 but if you do, you must get at least 7 of the 8 correct. You have a window of one wrong. If you get 7 or 8 right, you will obviously get a massive amount of points (49,000-56,000 points). If you go for all 8 and you do not get at least 7 of the 8 correct, you will lose the same amount of points as the maximum win, yes, 56,000 points. If you want to abstain from answering this question, you get 2000 points. tele: 14,000 films: -56,000 fern: 7000 baumer: 14,000 panda: -56,000 chas: 14,000 kitik: -15,000 Ed: 14,000 MGS: -1000 dipper: -1000 Jake Gittes: -1000 glassfairy 2000 druv: 21,000 darkelf: 2000 punishment: 2000 mattrek -1000 simionski: 21,000 alfred: -1000 chewy 2000 junkshop:nn -23,000 empire: 2000 movieman: -56,000 mulder: 14,000 AndyLL: -1000 Numbers: -1000 jandrew: 7000 narnia: 2000 spaghetti: -23,000 (can only go for three, not 6, so I only scored the first three you put down) stingray: 14,000 grim: 14,000 cjohn 2000 cmaster: -23,000 tylerdurden: -1000 blankments: -56,000 jajang: 21,000 damienroc: 21,000 (you're lucky im counting this...i've asked that you edit your answers, not make two posts for them...it's very diffiult for me to score) rukaioalter: 21,000 johnny: 21,000 olive: 21,000 gizmo: 21,000 bcf26: 2000 Ice: 21,000 24lost: 7000 moviegeek: -1000 JOS: -8000 cedar: -1000 laguy: 7000 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 Week 11 Answers: All questions worth 1000 All questions pertain to top 12 Due normal time 1) Will Apes open to more than 70 million? YES 2) Will Apes open to more than 80 million? NO 3) Will Apes make more than 150 mill WW? (whatever number is reported on Sunday, including any 5 day openings, will count) NO 4) Will Transformers make more than 11 mill in UK (same rule applies...the number was not reported from last weekend, so all that preview money will count) YES 5) Will Transformers make at least 10 mill more than Tammy? NO 6) Will Tammy fall less than 45%? YES 7) Will Tammy's Thursday be less than a 40% drop from it's first Thurs? NO 8) Will Apes receive at least an A- cinemascore? YES 9) Will any film fall less than 35% from last weekend? YES 10) Will any film (not including ETE and DUFE) fall more than 50%? YES 11) Will 22JS make more than HTTYD2? YES 12) Will Transformers make more than 75 mill WW (only Sunday estimates will count)? YES 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 What finishes in spots: 5 HTTYD2 7 MALEF 12 AMERICA 14 FAULT 2000 each 3000 bonus for all 4 correct Bonus 1: What will Transformers make in Mexico this weekend? 5000 8.264 Bonus 2: What will Dawn of the Planet of the Apes make in South Korea this weekend (if Mojo does not report this number, we will useGuru, if Guru does not report it, then we will use the number reported in the SK thread in the International numbers thread.....this is the order. 1) Mojo 2) Guru 3) South Korea thread) 5000 15.880 Bonus 3: What will Fault in our Stars gross this weekend? 5000 1.506 Bonus 4: What will ETE's % increase or decrease by on Thurs? 5000 -3.1% Bonus 5: What will Apes make for midnights/early shows? 5000 4.1m Bonus 6: What will the top 10 cume be? 5000 133.797 Bonus 7: What will Transformers WW gross be on Sunday (only mojo counts) 5000 752.5m Bonus 8: What will Snowpiercer's weekend gross be? 5000 .635.70 Bonus 9: Add the up the grosses on Friday for Maleficent, EOT and FIOS, what is the number? 5000 2.306 Bonus 10: Top three answers get points: What will X-men's weekend gross be? 1) 6000 2) 4000 3) 2000 Week 11 Scoring: Mulder: 9000 Dipper: 13,000 Blank: 10,000 chas: 15,000 baumer: 17,000 alfred: 9000 moviegeek: 11,000 simionski: 20,000 numbers: 20,000 darkelf: 18,000 Dar: 9000 jajang: 11,000 Ed: 18,000 MGS: 9000 JOS: 6000 Mattrek: 15,000 cmaster: 16,000 films: 15,000 glassfairy: 11,000 ICE: 13,000 Grey Ghost: 13,000 Fern: 11,000 bcf26: 9000 rukaio: 11,000 Olive: 13,000 cjohn: 17,000 24lost: 11,000 damienroc: 19,000 druv: 12,000 tele: 13,000 punishment: 7000 junkshop: 9000 tylerdurden: 13,000 wintersoldier: 13,000 narnia: 13,000 laguy: 11,000 chewy: 8000 cedar: 15,000 kitik: 15,000 grim: 9000 Working on bonus Bonus 1: baumer: 8.264 5000 Bonus 2: simionski: 14.5 5000 Bonus 3: moviegeek: 1.51 5000 Bonus 4: darkelf/grim: -3.2% 5000 Bonus 5: tele: 4.1 5000 Bonus 6: blank: 132.977 5000 Bonus 7: cjohn: cjohn: 748.5 5000 Bonus 8: 24lost: .6983 5000 Bonus 9: mattrek: 2.350 5000 Bonus 10: Top 3 answers get points numbers: 1.026 6000 damienroc: 1.024 6000 narnia: 2000 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 Scoring without bonus or trivia Week 12 scoring: Mulder: 10,000 dipper: 20,000 Kitik: 16,000 chas: 24,000 (did not get individs correct) blank: 9000 simonski: 13,000 grim: 22,000 glassfairy: 13,000 (did not get individs correct) fern: 10,000 dar: 8000 bcf26: 19,000 jajang: 13,000 (did not get individs correct) olive: 13,000 darkelf: 17,000 mgs: 21,000 panda: 12,000 ED: 25,000 films: 17,000 baumer: 13,000 johnny: 10,000 moviegeek: 17,000 24lost: 11,000 numbers: 11,000 punishment: 12,000 druv: 11,000 cjohn: 13,000 ICE: 21,000 damienroc: 22,000 JOS: 13,000 cmaster: 20,000 tylerdurden: 13,000 chewy: 21,000 empire: 21,000 narniadis: 13,000 laguy: 16,000 cedar: 13,000 claireholt: 17,000 tele: 21,000 Bonus 1: chas 13.01: 5000 Bonus 2: Ice: 62.0 5000 Bonus 3: kitik: 84.2 5000 TRIVIA POINTS jake: 18,000 kitik: 16,000 tele: 20,000 fern: 20,000 empire: 18,000 cedar: 20,000 narnia: 14,000 chewy: 20,000 tylerdurden: 20,000 dipper: 18,000 blank: 14,000 JOS: 12,000 damienroc: 18,000 numbers: 10,000 ICE: 16,000 laguy: 20,000 punishment: 14,000 films: 6000 druv: 14,000 chas: 20,000 bcf26: 20,000 grim: 20,000 MGS: 16,000 simionski: 20,000 darkelf: 20,000 jajang: 16,000 cjohn: 14,000 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 (edited) edit Edited July 30, 2014 by baumer 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 28, 2014 Author Share Posted July 28, 2014 (edited) SOTM3 Scoring I don't see how Neighbors gets to 150.394 I'm going to count it as a NO. If it hits 150, I'll have to revise the points deducted. Jake Gittes: -12,000 Grim: 7000 films: -12,000 spaghetti: -12,000 rukaio: 6000 chas: -10,000 stingray: 7000 baumer: 7000 darkelf: -12,000 mulder: 3000 olive: 7000 empire: -12,000 damienroc: -12,000 ED: 6000 claireholt: -10,000 dipper: -10,000 panda: -10,000 andyll: 6000 glassfairy: 7000 druv: -12,000 MGS: -12,000 cedar: -12,000 simionski: -12,000 jajang: -12,000 jandrew: 7000 fern: -10,000 wintersoldier: -12,000 alfred: -12,000 numbers: -12,000 greyghost: -12,000 punishment: 7000 schumacher: -12,000 movieman: -12,000 narnia: -12,000 junkshop: -12,000 blank: -12,000 moviegeek: -12,000 JOS: -12,000 goffe: 7000 cmaster: -12,000 dar: -12,000 tele: 6000 bcf26: 7000 24lost: 5000 tylerdurden: -12,000 laguy: -12,000 ICE: 7000 mattrek: -12,000 gizmo: 7000 kitik: 7000 cjohn: 6000 Edited July 30, 2014 by baumer 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted July 28, 2014 Share Posted July 28, 2014 Question 7: Will at least 2 films make more than 900 mill WW this summer? Answer it correctly: 15000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points. NO Question 8: Will at least 3 films, listed as comedy (doesn't matter if it says horror/comedy, western/comedy as long as "comedy" is listed, it counts) by Box Office Mojo, make more than 110 million dollars this summer? Answer it correctly: 15000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points. NO Question 10: Which combination of films will make more money domestically? 1) Amazing Spider-man 2, Blended, Sex Tape, Planes: Fire and Rescue, Step Up All In 2) X-Men: Days of Future Past, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, Hercules, The Fluffy Movie, Purge 2 3) How to Train Your Dragon 2, Lucy, 22 Jump Street, Million Dollar Arm, 4) Transformers AOE, A Million Ways to Die in the West, Exp3, The fault in our Stars Answer it correctly: 15000 points Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 5000 points) 3000 points. numbers: 15,-10,-10.....-20,000 Should be -5,000 (15-20) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
