Weekend numbers: Ca2 41.4M, Oculus 12M, draft day 9.75M, Raid 2 1M

[John Marston]

also I am never trusting Boxoffice.com Early numbers again. They are worse than Nikki I think

[ecstasy]

No Rth tonight? I guess I'll hit the sack. Catch the numbers tomorrow. 

 

I think Rio wins. Oh well.

 

Damn I hate being right.

[lab276]

According to Deadline, the numbers in the title of this thread are wrong 1). Rio 2 (FOX), 3,948 theaters / $11.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $43.3M / Wk 12). Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), 3,938 theaters (0) / $11M Fri. / 3-day cume: $39.4M to $40M+  (-59%) / Total cume: $157M / Wk 23). Oculus (REL), 2,648 theaters / $5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $13M / Wk 14). Draft Day (LGF), 2,781 theaters / $3.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $11.5M / Wk 15). Divergent (LGF), 3,110 theaters (-521) / $2.2M to $2.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.3M to $7.6M / Total cume: $124.7M to $125M / Wk 46). Noah (PAR), 3,282 theaters (-289) / $2M Fri./ 3-day cume: $7.1M / Total cume: $84.5M / Wk 37). God’s Not Dead (FREE), 1,860 theaters (+102) / $1.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.3M / Total cume: $40.7M / Wk 48). The Grand Budapest Hotel (FSL), 1,467 theaters (+204) / $1.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.7M / Total cume: $39.1M / Wk 69). Muppets Most Wanted (DIS), 2,261 theaters (-791) / $578K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.3M / Total Cume: $45.8M / Wk 410). Mr. Peabody And Sherman (FOX), 2,001 theaters (-930) / $428K Fri. /3-day cume: $1.7M / Total cume: $105.1M / Wk 6

Top 10 134.6m, last year 104.5m (+29%)

[John Marston]

Ouch gonna have a harsher 2md weekend drop than Thor 2. So much for that spectacular WOM. Guess there are more people that feel like me about it after all (good not great).

 

 

 

well it is not as family friendly. Even though I liked it I guess it still primarily appeals to comic book/action fans rather than branching out more so that's why it is not as holding as well as something like Iron Man 1 I guess. 

[John Marston]

It will need a >55% bump on Saturday.

 

11 + 17.05(+55%) + 11.76(-31%) = 39.81m

 

Sat , Sun % bumps/drops for last few Marvel May movies -

Avengers : +46.8% , -27.9% 

IM3 : +62.6% , -35.2%

IM2 : +49.7% , -36.9%

IM1 : +43.6%, -30.1%

Thor : +66%, -31.5%

 

 

 

so it is do able. May just fall short though

Edited April 12, 2014 by John Marston

[MovieMan89]

well it is not as family friendly. Even though I liked it I guess it still primarily appeals to comic book/action fans rather than branching out more so that's why it is not as holding as well as something like Iron Man 1 I guess. 

Yeah I said right away after seeing it that it was nowhere near as family friendly as the other MCU movies. I really do think that has hurt it.

[Empire]

Cap 2's hold is disappointing. I was really expecting better. 

[MrPink]

Wow, Cjohn is gonna murder Shawn.

[ecstasy]

Cap 2's hold is disappointing. I was really expecting better. 

 

Very disappointing.

[John Marston]

Yeah I said right away after seeing it that it was nowhere near as family friendly as the other MCU movies. I really do think that has hurt it.

 

 

I looked up the demographics and it was 65% male and 57% over the age of 25. so it wasn't really four quadrant appealing it seemed. 

[ecstasy]

Rth can you confirm these numbers? I felt Rio would win. But I was hoping both would be higher than 11m. Oh well.

[a2k]

so it is do able. May just fall short though

 

Movie Name : Sat bump , Sun drop (CA2 estimates assuming 11m Fri)

Avengers : +46.8% , -27.9% (38.79m)

IM3 : +62.6% , -35.2% (40.47m)

IM2 : +49.7% , -36.9% (37.86m)

IM1 : +43.6%, -30.1% (37.84m)

Thor : +66%, -31.5% (41.77m)

Edited April 12, 2014 by a2knet

[MovieMan89]

Man if Cap only gets a 2.4-2.5x multi that does not bode well for TASM2 and DOFP. I think CA2 has at least had decent audience reception and it wasn't a proper summer release so it didn't have as much competition. If any of our summer comic book movies get only so-so WOM we're probably looking at like 2.2x multis.

[grim22]

Rth can you confirm these numbers? I felt Rio would win. But I was hoping both would be higher than 11m. Oh well.

Seeing how it is 11pm pacific I am guessing these numbers are within 1M of the actual Friday numbers. I don't see a lot of late night shows around LA though.

[ecstasy]

Man if Cap only gets a 2.4-2.5x multi that does not bode well for TASM2 and DOFP. I think CA2 has at least had decent audience reception and it wasn't a proper summer release so it didn't have as much competition. If any of our summer comic book movies get only so-so WOM we're probably looking at like 2.2x multis.

 

I don't think it affects Spiderman. And DOFP is gonna do what it's gonna do regardless.

[fmpro]

Just woke up.. I was so happy when i read the title number..Im never going to forgive Shawn

[ecstasy]

Seeing how it is 11pm pacific I am guessing these numbers are within 1M of the actual Friday numbers. I don't see a lot of late night shows around LA though.

 

Maybe so.

[grim22]

Man if Cap only gets a 2.4-2.5x multi that does not bode well for TASM2 and DOFP. I think CA2 has at least had decent audience reception and it wasn't a proper summer release so it didn't have as much competition. If any of our summer comic book movies get only so-so WOM we're probably looking at like 2.2x multis.

DOFP is guaranteed a 2-2.2X from the 4 day - Memorial Day openers are shockingly consistent.

[BadAtGender]

Pity about Peabody & Sherman. It's not even going to hit 120m.

[WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot]

I guess I'll have to live with number two AND a 59% drop.

This really sucks the wind out of my sails though