Weekend #'s April 18-20 Cap2: 26.2 Rio 22.5 Heaven 21.5 Trans 11.1 pg32

[baumer]

Honestly I'm expecting 18.5-19 million next weekend since it has fantastic WOM and everyone's going to want to see it before Spidey 2. Rio 2 should get 16-17 million next weekend.

 

The Other Woman could make anywhere between $12-22 million next week. I'd say Cap 2 will pull off another victory 

 

You're expecting to drop 30% next weekend?  Not a chance imo.

[baumer]

Captain America 2:  9.57

Bears 2.31

[Donald]

Wow!Tranzflop @ 4.8mill

[CaptainJackSparrow]

For my birthday today I will see Captain America 2. :)Which is great since he is my favorite hero.

[TalismanRing]

It's possible.  Olympus Has Fallen dropped 28.2% the w/e after Easter 2013.  Hunger Games (36.3%) the w/e after Easter 2012

[baumer]

It's possible.  Olympus Has Fallen dropped 28.2% the w/e after Easter 2013.  Hunger Games (36.3%) the w/e after Easter 2012

 

Sure, I know the history of the weekend after Easter, but 30% is too low imo.  I think 35-40% is more likely.

[Ent]

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice  · 15m Server crash! Johnny Depp's $100M TRANSCENDENCE tripped up with just $4.8M in its debut on Friday.

 

[Ent]

oh boy !

 

Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya  · 8m Weak $4.8M opening day for #Transcendence heading to poor $13M wknd. Makes AfterEarth look like a blockbuster.

 

 

[Ando918]

Glad to see that Rio 2 finally came back to reality with the official Friday number.  I was shocked when I saw the 11 million projection last night.

 

I think RT scores do matter somewhat if the rating is below 25% and the movie is not an Adam Sandler or Michael Bay project.  Transcendence really took a beating on RT and Flixster. 

[baumer]

Just waiting on Heaven's #.

[LexJoker]

Feeling bad for Rebecca Hall. Most reviews say she was very good in it.

[wileECoyote]

Captain America 2: 9.57Bears 2.31

A little lower than last night but still better than my expectation so all is good. . Up 122% despite inflated Thursday and running above most jumps on comparable Easter Friday in 2012

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

So looking at Easter's past, probably meaning 21m-25m for Cap? Possibly (but not likely) more than that?

[baumer]

Divergent 2.26

Draft Day 2.15

 

Sony just doesn't want to give us the Heaven number.

[baumer]

So looking at Easter's past, probably meaning 21m-25m for Cap? Possibly (but not likely) more than that?

 

That's a hell of a range.

 

Probably count on it making at least 24 mill.

[Ando918]

Another strong Friday for Divergent.  The trend of movies with female protagonists having good legs (no pun intended) continues.

[baumer]

Draft Day is going to have a strong hold as well.  It's the best movie of the year so far for me, I hope it hangs on and does respectable business.

[Ali]

Another strong Friday for Divergent.  The trend of movies with female protagonists having good legs (no pun intended) continues.

Bodes well for Maleficent

[wileECoyote]

So looking at Easter's past, probably meaning 21m-25m for Cap? Possibly (but not likely) more than that?

If I had to guess it'll be flat to slightly down today and maybe 40-45% drop Sunday. 24-25M. It definitely has a shot at 200 by Sunday.

[Shawn Robbins]

Feeling bad for Rebecca Hall. Most reviews say she was very good in it.

 

I'd agree. Very minor spoiler:

She and Bettany carried the narrative

, IMHO.

Edited April 19, 2014 by ShawnMR