Weekend Estimates | TF4 - 100M (Paramount sticking to 100M for the Wknd Est)| More Numbers on Page 1

[ecstasy]

One of the greatest imo. He did win the academy award for best actor as well. It is an excellent, excellent film. One of the best thrillers ever. And Hopkins gives a terrifying performance. This is far from a unique opinion. 

 

Agree. One of my favorite movies. Jodie Foster was just brilliant.

[Mulder]

Angelina is a huge draw there + Frozen effect + Alice (133 million). It definitely has at chance at breakout. Nothing's sure, but there's a lot of reasons to be hopeful

Oh she is? Hmm. Could be big there then. 

[Ruthie]

I think Michael Bay is at least mentally done with the series, even if he keeps making them. That's certainly a feeling I got from watching AOE.

I think he'll move to producer and someone else will come in as direction.  Brad Bird gets my vote.

[Hilderic]

All holdovers have been great so far, with the obvious exception of China. Malf hitting 700m depends purely on Japan at this point

They need to emphasise the Frozen connection in Japan. The STRONG Frozen connection.

[Mulder]

Does anyone have Godzilla's China numbers for this past week? BOM hasn't included them in yet.

[BobbyJohn]

Oh she is? Hmm. Could be big there then. 

 

Corpse made a chart in International section for Depp, Cruise and Jolie:

 

 

 

Johnny Depp, Tom Cruise, and Angelina Jolie have been the biggest three, and most-consistent Hollywood draws over the past decade at the Japan Box-Office in terms of 1st place debuts, overseas market ranking (it's fairly rare if Japan isn't their top overseas market, and even rarer if they're not among the Top 3), etc.

 

And all three have new films being released practically against each other (Transcendence just opened, and Edge of Tomorrow and Maleficent open next week), so here is their filmography since 2003 (though note that Cruise was even more popular in the 80s/90s, too, before Depp/Jolie became superstars):

 

Depp vs. Cruise vs. Jolie (Japan's Biggest Hollywood Stars Showdown)

 

Johnny Depp

¥6.80 billion ($60.1 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl (2003) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥780 million ($7.5 million) - Once Upon a Time in Mexico (2003) [#1 Overseas Market[

¥775 million ($7.4 million) - Secret Window (2004) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥1.10 billion ($9.1 million) - Finding Neverland (2005) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥5.35 billion ($46.2 million) - Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (2005) [#2 Overseas Market]

¥10.02 billion ($84.3 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006) [#2 Overseas Market]

¥10.90 billion ($102.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥2.05 billion ($19.8 million) - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (2008) [#2 Overseas Market]

¥800 million ($8.7 million) - Public Enemies (2009) [#4 Overseas Market]

¥11.80 billion ($142.7 million) - Alice in Wonderland (2010) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥1.87 billion ($22.7 million) - The Tourist (2011) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥8.87 billion ($114.9 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥2.16 billion ($27.2 million) - Dark Shadows (2012) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥75 million ($930,000) - The Rum Diary (2012) [#4 Overseas Market]

¥2.09 billion ($21.8 million) - The Lone Ranger (2013) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥400/500 million ($4/5 million) - Transcendence (2014) [#3/4 Overseas Market] *Projection*

 

Tom Cruise

¥13.70 billion ($126.7 million) - The Last Samurai (2003) [#1 Overall Market]

¥2.20 billion ($20.4 million) - Collateral (2004) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥6.00 billion ($54.0 million) - War of the Worlds (2005) [#2 Overseas Market]

¥5.15 billion ($42.4 million) - Mission: Impossible III (2006) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥600 million ($5.9 million ) - Lions for Lambs (2008) [#3 Overseas Market]

¥1.25 billion ($12.7 million) - Valkyrie (2009) [#1 Overseas Market] 

¥2.31 billion ($28.4 million) - Knight & Day (2010) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥5.38 billion ($70.5 million) - Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (2011) [#2 Overseas Market]

¥50 million ($620,000) - Rock of Ages (2012) [#6 Overseas Market] *Estimate*

¥1.13 billion ($11.6 million) - Jack Reacher (2013) [#4 Overseas Market]

¥1.31 billion ($14.0 million) - Oblivion (2013) [#4 Overseas Market]

TBD - Edge of Tomorrow (July 04, 2014)

 

Angelina Jolie

¥2.00 billion ($16.4 million) - Lara Croft Tomb Raider: The Cradle of Life (2003) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥260 million ($2.4 million) - Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow (2004) [#3 Overseas Market]

¥1.23 billion ($12.0 million) - Alexander (2005) [#2 Overseas Market]

¥4.65 billion ($39.1 million) - Mr. & Mrs. Smith (2005) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥420 million ($3.7 million) - The Good Shepherd (2007) [#5 Overseas Market]

¥130 million ($1.2 million) - A Mighty Heart (2007) [#2 Overseas Market]

¥800 million ($7.4 million) - Beowulf (2007) [#3 Overseas Market]

¥2.50 billion ($24.2 million) - Wanted (2008) [#2 Overseas Market]

¥1.28 billion ($13.1 million) - Changeling (2009) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥2.05 billion ($23.9 million) - Salt (2010) [#1 Overseas Market]

¥1.87 billion ($22.7 million) - The Tourist (2011) [#1 Overseas Market]

TBD - Maleficent (July 05, 2014)

 

 

*Excludes all voice-characters, though I did include Jolie's motion-capture role in Beowulf.  That was a clear selling point.*

 

[Mulder]

Corpse made a chart in International section for Depp, Cruise and Jolie:

Could be big then. I could see 40-60 million being made from Japan.

[BobbyJohn]

Could be big then. I could see 40-60 million being made from Japan.

That's what it would need for 700m shot. But I'm concerned, except for Frozen, Hollywood movies haven't made more than 30 million this year (ASM2)

[Jack Nevada]

The thing about Silence of the Lambs for me was not so much how scary Hannibal Lechter was. What I got from it was that it was told from Clarice's perspective. She was a green agent thrown on a case for which she had no experience. She only had to get into the mind of Lechter to see how serial killers think. The scary part for me was watching Clarice show real and palpable fear throughout the film but was determined to do her job in spite of people doubting her. That scene when she's walking through the house looking for Buffalo Bill still gives me the creeps to this day. The first time I watched it I was holding my breath and my heart was beating probably as hard as Clarice's lol.

I kinda wish they had taken more of a feminist angle on the whole thing, I mean they did kinda address her being the only womam but I would've liked for them to have fleshed out that aspect of the story more.

[BK007]

Silence of the Lambs is a fantastic movie.

 

And Hopkins does give a brilliant performance.

 

But don't really expect much from a wannabe snob!

[Mulder]

That's what it would need for 700m shot. But I'm concerned, except for Frozen, Hollywood movies haven't made more than 30 million this year (ASM2)

Jolie+3D makes me think that it'll get there. 

[miketheavenger]

Dat Trans4mers fudging.

[Dementeleus]

Why would the "Frozen Effect" helpMALEFICENT?

[Jack Nevada]

Silence of the Lambs is a fantastic movie.And Hopkins does give a brilliant performance.But don't really expect much from a wannabe snob!

Hmmm.

[Mulder]

The Frozen effect wouldn't help Maleficent in Japan. Frozen did so well because it was animated. 

[Dementeleus]

I kinda wish they had taken more of a feminist angle on the whole thing, I mean they did kinda address her being the only womam but I would've liked for them to have fleshed out that aspect of the story more.

20 years ago, it was reasonably impressive. It still is... how many movies in that male-dominated genre feature a main woman character? (And the ones that do tend to owe it to LAMBS).

[ecstasy]

I kinda wish they had taken more of a feminist angle on the whole thing, I mean they did kinda address her being the only womam but I would've liked for them to have fleshed out that aspect of the story more.

 

I thought it was perfect the way it was. I watched the making of it and was shocked to see the director did not want Jodie Foster at all. He wanted Meg Ryan and she turned it down. 

[miketheavenger]

And great for both Cap 2 and DOFP. Wonder if EoT will still hit 100m domestic though. And nothing seems to stop Maleficent. That movie really seems to have pretty strong word-of-mouth.

[Jack Nevada]

Ragequit Attack the Block. Can't deal with these characters.

[BobbyJohn]

And nothing seems to stop Maleficent. That movie really seems to have pretty strong word-of-mouth.

Yup. A Cinemascore + still holding at 7.4 on IMDB and 75% on Tomatoes from audiences a month after release

Edited June 29, 2014 by BobbyJohn