Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

[mahnamahna]

2/20-2/22

1. 50 Shades of Grey: $27 million ($131 million) 
2. Kingsman: $21 million ($70 million) 
3. SpongeBob 2: $20 million ($124 million) 
4. McFarland, USA: $13.5 million 
5. American Sniper: $12 million ($321 milllion) 
6. Hot Tub Time Machine 2: $6 million 
7. Jupiter Ascending: $5 million ($39 million)
8. The DUFF: $4 million 
9. Paddington: $3 million ($66 million) 
10. The Imitation Game: $3 million ($84 million) 

Edited February 15, 2015 by mahnamahna

[Impact]

Early predicts for next week:

 

1. SpongeBob 2: 22.0

2. Shades of Gray: 21.5

3. Kingsman: 21.3

4. McFarland: 15.0

5. Sniper: 12.3

6. Hot Tub Time Machine 2: 7.5

7. Jupiter: 4.2

8. The Duff: 4.0

9. Paddington: 3.0

10. Imitation Game: 2.6

 

Edit: For the heck of it-I'm going to do future predicts since its been a while

Edited February 16, 2015 by Impact

[Impact]

Future predicts:

 

2/27-3/1:

 

1. Focus: 25.0

2. SpongeBob 2: 13.0

3. Kingsman: 12.8

4. McFaland: 9.0

5. American Sniper: 8.2 

6. Shades of Grey: 8.0

7. The Lazarus Effect: 7.5

8. Hot Tub Time Machine 2: 3.9

9. Paddington: 2.0

10. Imitation Game: 1.8

 

3/6-3/8:

 

1. Chappie: 30.0

2. Unfinished Business: 15.0

3. Focus: 13.7

4. SpongeBob 2: 8.0

5. Kingsman: 7.7

6. American Sniper: 5.3

7. McFarland: 5.2

8. Shades of Grey: 3.5

9. The Lazarus Effect: 2.9

10. Hot Tub Time Machine 2: 1.0 (massive theater loss, and I'm not sure what to put at number 10 )

[Films]

The duff 6.4

McFarland, USA 6.0

Hot tub time machine 2 3.8

[dxmatrixdt]

rough early estimates

 

(-72%) - 50 Shades of Gray - 22.66 - 123.08

(-38%) - Spongebob - 18.99 - 127.01

(-56%) - Kingsman - 15.71 - 62.76

(new) - MacFarland USA - 12.86 - 12.86

(-34%) - American Sniper - 10.82 - 321.21

(new) - Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 7.97 - 7.97

(-46%) - Jupiter Ascending - 5.09 - 41.89

(new) - The DUFF - 4.89 - 4.89

(+58%) - Still Alice - 2.70 - 8.31

(-28%) - The Imitation Game - 2.54 - 83.64

 

(-45%) - Paddington - 2.30 - 66.93

(-58%) - Black or White - 1.08 - 19.70

(+21%) - Birdman - 1.05 - 38.00

(+19%) - Theory of Everything - 0.95 - 34.59

(-6%) - Selma - 0.95 - 49.79

 

(-72%) - The Wedding Ringer - 0.95 - 61.58

(-79%) - The Seventh Son - 0.88 - 16.11

(-75%) - Project Almanac - 0.68 - 21.19

(+12%) - Whiplash - 0.64 - 11.42

(-41%) - Big Hero 6 - 0.41 - 219.94

 

(-79%) - The Boy Next Door - 0.39 - 35.00

(-70%) - Taken 3 - 0.35 - 87.57

(-4%) - Wild - 0.27 - 37.34

(-29%) - Into the Woods - 0.25 - 126.69

(-40%) - Night at the Museum 3 - 0.24 - 111.31

(---) - Interstellar - 0.23 - 187.55

(-36%) - Hunger Games - 0.21 - 336.49

(-26%) - Unbroken - 0.17 - 115.35

[Maxmoser3]

Fifty Shades and Godzilla will have two things in common a decent opening, and a big second weekend drop

[Empire]

Fifty Shades and Godzilla will have two things in common a decent opening, and a big second weekend drop

Only one has a big lizard in it though.

[Maxmoser3]

Only one has a big lizard in it though.

godzilla? I read he is supposed in the fifty shades sequel Edited February 16, 2015 by Maxmoser3

[bapi]

The DUFF  -  3M

Hot Tub Time Machine 2  -  9M

McFarland, USA  -  12M

_______________________________________________

 

Fifty Shades of Grey  -67%

Kingsman: The Secret Service  -54%

The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water  -36%

American Sniper  -21%

Jupiter Ascending  -62%

Seventh Son  -66%

[Maxmoser3]

All I've seen for Hot Tub Time Machine 2 was an ad in playboy

[Fancyarcher]

All I've seen for Hot Tub Time Machine 2 was an ad in playboy

 

I saw an Ad they played during SNL's 40 anniversary. It looks pretty stupid. 

[babz06]

Dreadful weekend:

 

Hot Tub Time Machine 2- 9m

Mcfarland, USA-8m

The DUFF- 5m

[dxmatrixdt]

(-66%) - 50 Shades of Gray - 28.92 - 135.67

(-42%) - Spongebob 2 - 18.49 - 126.83

(-50%) - Kingsman - 18.07 - 67.60

(-26%) - American Sniper - 12.27 - 323.44

(new) - MacFarland USA - 11.31 - 11.31

(new) - Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 7.96 - 7.96

(new) - The DUFF - 5.69 - 5.69

(-45%) - Jupiter Ascending - 5.05 - 41.02

(-14%) - The Imitation Game - 2.98 - 84.13

(-40%) - Paddington - 2.41 - 66.63

(-65%) - The Seventh Son - 1.44 - 16.54

(-52%) - Black and White - 1.29 - 19.76

(-71%) - The Wedding Ringer - 0.93 - 61.50

(-76%) - Project Almanac - 0.65 - 21.28

 

(new) - Focus - 26.31 - 26.31

(new) - The Lazarus Effect - 17.74 - 17.74

(-43%) - 50 Shades of Gray - 16.46 - 160.82

(-33%) - Spongebob 2 - 12.44 - 142.65

(-32%) - Kingsman - 12.21 - 85.83

(-27%) - MacFarland USA - 8.25 - 23.50

(-34%) - American Sniper - 8.08 - 336.11

(-43%) - Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 4.50 - 14.99

(-42%) - The DUFF - 3.31 - 10.64

(-41%) - Jupiter Ascending - 2.99 - 45.79

(-40%) - Paddington - 1.44 - 68.54

(-55%) - The Imitation Game - 1.34 - 86.56

(-50%) - Black or White - 0.64 - 20.92

(-55%) - The Wedding Ringer - 0.42 - 62.23

(-82%) - The Seventh Son - 0.26 - 17.29

(-69%) - Project Almanac - 0.20 - 21.69

 

(new) - Unfinished Business - 28.66 - 28.66

(new) - Chappie - 21.62 - 21.62

(-46%) - Focus - 14.28 - 48.58

(-50%) - 50 Shades of Gray - 8.22 - 174.14

(-38%) - Kingsman - 7.54 - 97.69

(-59%) - The Lazarus Effect - 7.36 - 30.19

(-43%) - Spongebob 2 - 7.15 - 152.12

(-29%) - MacFarland USA - 5.88 - 32.39

(-37%) - American Sniper - 5.06 - 343.78

(-64%) - Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 1.62  - 18.03

(-59%) - The DUFF - 1.37 - 13.14

(-64%) - Jupiter Ascending - 1.09 - 47.84

(-55%) - Paddington - 0.65 - 69.46

(-59%) - The Imitation Game - 0.55 - 87.59

(-56%) - Black or White - 0.28 - 21.43

(-48%) - The Wedding Ringer - 0.22 - 62.58

(-54%) - The Seventh Son - 0.12 - 17.50

(-55%) - Project Almanac - 0.09 - 21.85

[Blankments]

1. Fifty Shades of Grey – 29.0M
2. Kingsman: The Secret Service – 20.6M
3. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water – 16.4M
4. McFarland, USA – 14.3M
5. Hot Tub Time Machine 2 – 11.5M
6. American Sniper – 9.8M
7. The Duff – 5.3M
8. Jupiter Ascending – 4.2M
9. Paddington – 2.9M
10. The Imitation Game – 2.2M
11. Seventh Son – 2.2M
12. The Wedding Ringer – 1.9M

Project Almanac – 1.3M

Black or White – 1.3M

Still Alice – 1.0M

The Boy Next Door – 0.7M

Selma – 0.5M

Taken 3 – 0.5M

[Blankments]

Just gonna restart since I've been gone for a while.

 

Fifty Shades of Grey - 18

The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water - 11/6 (2D/3D) total 17

American Sniper - 15

Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 12

The DUFF - 10

Kingsman: The Secret Service - 10

McFarland, USA - 10

Jupiter Ascending - 5/4 (2D/3D) total 9

Old Fashioned - 5

Still Alice - 5

Black or White - 3

Oscar Animated Shorts - 2

Oscar Live-Action Shorts - 2

Best Picture Showcase - 1

Birdman - 1

The Imitation Game - 1

[dxmatrixdt]

-64% - 50 Shades of Gray - 30.88 - 137.07

-35% - Spongebob - 20.34 - 130.85

-51% - Kingsman - 17.64 - 67.15

(new) - MacFarland USA - 13.71 - 13.71

(-39%) - American Sniper - 10.03 - 319.88

(new) - The DUFF - 8.30 - 8.30

(new) - Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 8.28 - 8.28

(-55%) - Jupiter Ascending - 4.16 - 40.00

(-12%) - The Imitation Game - 3.07 - 84.43

(-27%) - Paddington - 2.94 - 68.25

 

(+2%) - Still Alice - 1.72 - 7.30

(-45%) - Black or White - 1.48 - 20.09

(-64%) - The Wedding Ringer - 1.18 - 61.88

(-76%) - The Seventh Son - 0.98 - 16.03

(+28%) - The Theory of Everything - 0.95 - 34.53

(-1%) - Birdman - 0.85 - 37.75

 

(-72%) - Project Almanac - 0.77 - 21.41

(-27%) - Selma - 0.74 - 49.64

(+14%) - Whiplash - 0.66 - 11.38

(-55%) - Taken 3 - 0.50 - 87.65

 

(-75%) - Boy Next Door - 0.44 - 34.86

(-37%) - Big Hero 6 - 0.43 - 220.04

(-17%) - Night at the Museum 3 - 0.34 - 111.58

 

(-37%) - Hobbit 3 - 0.26 - 254.02

(-14%) - Wild - 0.24 - 37.31

(-4%) - Interstellar - 0.22 - 187.51

(-40%) - Into the Woods - 0.21 - 126.72

(-33%) - Mockingjay - 0.20 - 336.45

(-18%) - Penguins of Madagascar - 0.18 - 82.69

(-23%) - Unbroken - 0.17 - 115.34

[stripe]

50Shades - 31.5M

Spongebob - 19M

Kingsman - 18.5M

DUFF - 12M

American Sniper - 11M

MacFarland - 9M

Hot tube 2 - 6.5M

Jupiter Ascending - 4.5M

Imitation Game - 3.5M

Paddington - 2.7M

 

TOP 10 - 118M

[Impact]

Next week (openers only):
Focus: 25.5

Lazarus Effect: 6.0

[mahnamahna]

2/27-3/1

1. Focus: $27.5 million
2. 50 Shades: $15 million ($154 million)
3. SpongeBob: $13 million ($146 million)
4. Kingsman: $11.5 million ($84 million)
5. McFarland, USA: $9.5 million ($25 million) 
6. The DUFF: $9 million ($27 million) 
7. American Sniper: $7 mililon ($330 million)
8. The Lazarus Effect: $6 million 
9. Hot Tub Time Machine 2: $3 million ($10 million) 
10. Paddington: $2 million ($70 million)

3/6-3/8

1. Chappie: $22 million
2. Unfinished Business: $16.5 million
3. Focus: $13 million ($48 million)
4. SpongeBob: $10 million ($158 million)
5. 50 Shades of Grey: $9 million ($168 million)
6. McFarland, USA: $7 million ($34 million) 
7. The DUFF: $6.5 million ($37 million) 
8. Kingsman: $6 million ($93 million)
9. American Sniper: $4.5 million ($337 million)
10. The Lazarus Effect: $2 million ($9 million)

3/13-3/15

1. Cinderella: $90.5 million
2. Run All Night: $14.5 million
3. Chappie: $12 million ($41 million)
4. Unfinished Business: $9 million ($32 million)
5. Focus: $8 million ($61 million)
6. 50 Shades of Grey: $6 million ($178 million)
7. McFarland, USA: $5.5 million ($42 million) 
8. SpongeBob: $5 million ($166 million)
9. The DUFF: $4.5 million ($44 million)
10. Kingsman: $3.5 million ($99 million)

[Maxmoser3]

February 27-March 1 2015 projections(openers only): Focus:24 million, The Lazarus Effect:5.1 million