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Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

By Impact, in Box Office Derby

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mahnamahna Box Office Gold

mahnamahna

Posted
Posted

2/26-2/28

  1. Deadpool: $33 million ($286 million)
  2. Gods of Egypt: $12 million 
  3. Kung Fu Panda 3: $12 million ($133 million)
  4. Risen: $8.5 million ($24 million) 
  5. The Witch: $7 million ($19 million)
  6. How to Be Single: $6 million ($41 million) 
  7. Eddie the Eagle: $4.5 million 
  8. Race: $4 million ($13 million) 
  9. Triple Nine: $3.5 million 
  10. Star Wars Episode VII: $2.75 million ($925 million) 

3/4-3/6

  1. Zootopia: $80.5 million
  2. Deadpool: $19 million ($315 million)
  3. London Has Fallen: $14 million 
  4. The Other Side of the Door: $7 million 
  5. Whiskey Tango Foxtrot: $6.5 million 
  6. Risen: $6 million ($33 million) 
  7. Gods of Egypt: $5 million 
  8. Kung Fu Panda 3: $4.5 million ($139 million) 
  9. The Witch: $4 million ($25 million)
  10. How to Be Single: $3.5 million ($47 million)

3/11-3/13

  1. Zootopia: $47 million ($154 million)
  2. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $42 million 
  3. The Young Messiah: $11 million 
  4. The Brothers Grimsby: $10 million 
  5. Deadpool: $9 million ($330 million)
  6. The Perfect Match: $6.5 million 
  7. London Has Fallen: $6 million ($24 million) 
  8. Risen: $3.5 million ($39 million) 
  9. Kung Fu Panda 3: $3 million ($144 million) 
  10. Whiskey Tango Foxtrot: $3 million ($11 million)

3/18-3/20

  1. Allegiant: $40.5 million 
  2. Zootopia: $34 million ($211 million) 
  3. Miracles From Heaven: $24 million ($36 million) 
  4. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $11 million ($62 million)
  5. The Young Messiah: $6 million ($21 million) 
  6. Deadpool: $5.5 million ($340 million)
  7. The Brothers Grimsby: $3.5 million ($16 million) 
  8. London Has Fallen: $3 million ($29 million) 
  9. The Perfect Match: $2.5 million ($11 million) 
  10. Risen: $2 million ($42 million) 

3/25-3/27

  1. Batman vs. Superman: $162 million 
  2. Miracles From Heaven: $18.5 million ($68 million) 
  3. Zootopia: $18 million ($245 million) 
  4. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $15 mililon 
  5. Allegiant: $13 million ($64 million) 
  6. The Young Messiah: $4 million ($28 million) 
  7. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $3.5 million ($69 million) 
  8. Deadpool: $2 million ($344 million)
  9. The Brothers Grimsby: $1.5 million ($19 million)
  10. Risen: $1.5 million ($45 million)

4/1-4/3

  1. Batman vs. Superman: $61 million ($267 million) 
  2. God's Not Dead 2: $20.5 million 
  3. Zootopia: $14 million ($267 million) 
  4. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $11 million ($35 million) 
  5. Miracles From Heaven: $10 million ($84 million) 
  6. Allegiant: $9 million ($81 million) 
  7. Collide: $5 million
  8. Amityville - The Awakening: $4 million 
  9. The Young Messiah: $2 million ($31 million)
  10. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $1.5 million ($72 million) 

4/8-4/10

  1. Batman vs. Superman: $31 million ($316 million) 
  2. The Boss: $27 million 
  3. God's Not Dead 2: $12 million ($38 million)
  4. Zootopia: $11 million ($283 million)
  5. Miracles From Heaven: $7 million ($94 million) 
  6. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $6.5 million ($46 million)
  7. Allegiant: $6 million ($91 million) 
  8. Hardcore Henry: $5.5 million 
  9. Before I Wake: $3.5 million 
  10. Collide: $2.5 million ($9 million) 

4/15-4/17

  1. The Jungle Book: $83 million 
  2. Barbershop - The Final Cut: $21 million 
  3. Batman vs. Superman: $14.5 million ($338 million) 
  4. The Boss: $14 million ($49 million) 
  5. God's Not Dead 2: $8 million ($49 million)
  6. Criminal: $7 million 
  7. Zootopia: $5 million ($290 million) 
  8. Miracles From Heaven: $4.5 million ($100 million) 
  9. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $4 million ($52 million) 
  10. Allegiant: $3.5 million ($97 million) 
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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

2/26-2/28

  1. Deadpool: $33 million ($286 million)
  2. Gods of Egypt: $12 million 
  3. Kung Fu Panda 3: $12 million ($133 million)
  4. Risen: $8.5 million ($24 million) 
  5. The Witch: $7 million ($19 million)
  6. How to Be Single: $6 million ($41 million) 
  7. Eddie the Eagle: $4.5 million 
  8. Race: $4 million ($13 million) 
  9. Triple Nine: $3.5 million 
  10. Star Wars Episode VII: $2.75 million ($925 million) 

 

You need to revise your Witch and KFP 3 predictions :lol: 

Edited by WrathOfHan
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mahnamahna Box Office Gold

mahnamahna

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Posted
3 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

You need to revise your Witch and KFP 3 predictions :lol: 

Witch is getting some critical acclaim and didn't have a large marketing campaign. It should be a leggy WOM hit.

 

KFP3 has no competition and it's the last weekend before Zootopia takes away most of its screens. 

 

If it does $14.8 million this weekend, $11-12 million is plausible considering its WOM 

 

 

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

Witch is getting some critical acclaim and didn't have a large marketing campaign. It should be a leggy WOM hit.

 

KFP3 has no competition and it's the last weekend before Zootopia takes away most of its screens. 

 

If it does $14.8 million this weekend, $11-12 million is plausible considering its WOM 

 

 

The Witch only did 3.2M yesterday and WOM isn't pretty. KFP did 2.875M yesterday so the roof for this weekend is 10M or so.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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Ray G Indie Sensation

Ray G

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Posted

1. Deadpool - 31M (late legs start to kick in a bit)

2. Gods of Egypt - 10.5M

3. Kung Fu Panda 3 - 8.2M

4. Risen - 7.3M

5. Eddie the Eagle - 7.1M

6. How to be Single - 5.9M

7. The Witch - 5.3M

8. Triple 9 - 4.5M

9. Race - 4M

10. Star Wars: The Force Awaken - 3.1M

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, Impact said:

Revenant will return to the top 10 in March after the Oscars I'm sure.

Maybe. Without going into numbers I think March 4 looks like this:

 

Zootopia

London Has Fallen

Deadpool

WTF

Other Side of the Door

Eddie

KFP

Gods

Risen

Single

 

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Outrageous! Indie Sensation

Outrageous!

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Nobody has been bold enough to predict an opening in the single digit millions for Gods of Egypt, yet?  Then I guess I will so that there will be a prediction for that, in case it does happen.   The last two movies I can recall having as much negative advance buzz as Gods of Egypt currently has were Fantastic Four and Jem and the Holograms.  What happened to both of them?  They both opened lower than what the early projections had them doing the days before.  Because of Deadpool, I will not be surprised if there is a repeat of the October 23, 2015, weekend, where all the new releases flop in favor of the holdovers.  It will be expected for Gods of Egypt, but I think bad timing might be the cause of the other two, opening in Deadpool's historic shadow, even in its third week.

 

Gods of Egypt: $7 million (less than half of what The Wrap has of $15 million)
Eddie the Eagle: $5 million
Triple Nine: $4.5 million

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted
36 minutes ago, Outrageous! said:

Nobody has been bold enough to predict an opening in the single digit millions for Gods of Egypt, yet?  Then I guess I will so that there will be a prediction for that, in case it does happen.   The last two movies I can recall having as much negative advance buzz as Gods of Egypt currently has were Fantastic Four and Jem and the Holograms.  What happened to both of them?  They both opened lower than what the early projections had them doing the days before.  Because of Deadpool, I will not be surprised if there is a repeat of the October 23, 2015, weekend, where all the new releases flop in favor of the holdovers.  It will be expected for Gods of Egypt, but I think bad timing might be the cause of the other two, opening in Deadpool's historic shadow, even in its third week.

 

Gods of Egypt: $7 million (less than half of what The Wrap has of $15 million)
Eddie the Eagle: $5 million
Triple Nine: $4.5 million

Wouldn't surprise me one bit. I think you're a bit low on Eddie though; if Race could do 7.3M, Eddie can match that with better marketing.

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department store basement Box Office Gold

department store basement

Posted
Posted (edited)

HC, PPZ, and RA2 are gone from the "main" theater near me this weekend.

 

I am terrible at number predictions but I imagine the top 10 will be

Deadpool - 30m

Gods of Egypt - 14m

KFP3 - 8m

Eddie the Eagle - 8m

Risen - 7m

Triple Nine - 7m

How to Be Single - 5m

The Witch - 4m

Race - 3m

Zoolander 2 - 3m

 

 

Edited by department store basement
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