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Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby

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26 minutes ago, department store basement said:

 

Wow, why that high? Just curious since the general consensus seems to be that it's far too late for a sequel. My current prediction is 11 million.

Now that I think of it, you're right. I certainly have bias on that one even though the first one did have INSANE legs. But considering I've actually seen next to none advertising for this, oh and like you were saying, 2002 was 14 years ago, I don't know what I was on when I wrote that :lol: Prediction now $10 million 

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30 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Why are we writing predictions before we see how the movies hold up on the weekdays?

It's sort of likely predicting the weekdays plus the weekend. For example, one may think Zootopia will fall 75% tomorrow and make less this coming weekend while others may think it will hold better with a 65% drop and make more money. Some just plain go with their gut. ;)

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7 hours ago, Impact said:

Lions probably really wish they didn't split Divergent 3! (I wonder how much 50 Shades 2 will drop btw)

 

Even with harsh drops, splitting a film in two is financially really interesting.

 

Even if Divergent 3 & 4 gross 100M and 80M, that would be still more money than a unique finale film grossing something like 120M. I know there are more costs, but the impact of the saga also remains for a year more, so the rest of the movies have more profits (tv, dvd, br, merchandising).

 

Both Mockingjay part1&2 have grossed significantly less than CF but I am sure the producers are not regretting from the splitting. Both movies combined grossed more than 600M DOM

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On 3/14/2016 at 11:05 PM, cannastop said:

'k

Weekend beginning March 18.

  1. Zootopia$42 million
  2. Allegiant: $30 million
  3. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $14 million
  4. Miracles from Heaven: $10 million
  5. Deadpool: $8 million

That's looking really nice now that I've seen the Monday estimate for Zootopia.

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I probably am the only one going for Allegiant over Zootopia.

 

I feel amazing spring weekdays will leave Zootopia with a still superb weekend hold, but will also take away from it.

If Allegiant had decent buzz I would have gone with a low-40s ow with worse legs than the predecessor.

Now I am going with mid-30s ow with even weaker legs than previously anticipated.

 

Allegiant 36.5m

Zootopia 34.5m
 

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3/25-3/27

  1. Batman vs. Superman: $167 million 
  2. Zootopia: $23 million ($246 million) 
  3. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $15 million 
  4. Miracles From Heaven: $10 million ($34 million) 
  5. Allegiant: $9 million ($48 million)
  6. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $5 million ($55 million)
  7. London Has Fallen: $2.5 million ($53 million) 
  8. Deadpool: $2.5 million ($343 million)
  9. Whiskey Tango Foxtrot: $1.5 million ($21 million) 
  10. The Perfect Match: $1 million ($9 million)

4/1-4/3

  1. Batman vs. Superman: $69 million ($280 million) 
  2. Zootopia: $17.5 million ($269 million) 
  3. God's Not Dead 2: $16 million 
  4. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $11 million ($32 million) 
  5. Allegiant: $7 million ($59 million) 
  6. Miracles From Heaven: $6 million ($43 million) 
  7. Collide: $4.5 million 
  8. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $4 million ($61 million)
  9. London Has Fallen: $1.5 million ($55 million) 
  10. Deadpool: $1.5 million ($346 million) 

4/8-4/10

  1. Batman vs. Superman: $37 million ($336 million) 
  2. The Boss: $28 million 
  3. Zootopia: $14 million ($286 million) 
  4. God's Not Dead 2: $10 million ($30 million)
  5. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $7.5 million ($43 million) 
  6. Before I Wake: $6 million 
  7. Allegiant: $5.5 million ($67 million) 
  8. Hardcore Henry: $5 million
  9. Everybody Wants Some: $4 million ($5 million) 
  10. Miracles From Heaven: $3.5 million ($48 million) 

4/15-4/17

  1. The Jungle Book: $97.5 million 
  2. Barbershop - The Final Cut: $23 million 
  3. Batman vs. Superman: $17 million ($361 million) 
  4. The Boss: $15.5 million ($51 million) 
  5. Zootopia: $7.5 million ($295 million) 
  6. Criminal: $6 million 
  7. God's Not Dead 2: $5.5 million ($37 million) 
  8. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $5 million ($51 million) 
  9. Allegiant: $3.5 million ($72 million) 
  10. Before I Wake: $2.5 mililon ($9 million) 

4/22-4/24

  1. The Jungle Book: $65 million ($185 million) 
  2. The Huntsman Winter's War: $34 million 
  3. Barbershop - The Final Cut: $10 million ($38 million) 
  4. The Boss: $9 million ($64 million) 
  5. Batman vs. Superman: $8 million ($373 million) 
  6. Zootopia: $5.5 million ($302 million) 
  7. Elvis and Nixon: $4.5 million 
  8. God's Not Dead 2: $4 million ($42 million) 
  9. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $3.5 million ($56 million) 
  10. Criminal: $3 million ($10 million)

4/29-5/1

  1. The Jungle Book: $43 million ($242 million) 
  2. The Huntsman Winter's War: $18 mlilion ($61 million) 
  3. Keanu: $16 million 
  4. Mother's Day: $13 million 
  5. Ratchet and Clank: $8 million 
  6. Batman vs. Superman: $5 million ($381 million) 
  7. The Boss: $4.5 million ($71 million) 
  8. Zootopia: $3 million ($306 million) 
  9. Elvis and Nixon: $2.5 million ($8 million)
  10. God's Not Dead 2: $2 million ($45 million)

 

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Next week's top 4 predictions (this week's results are pretty much in set place already):

 

  1. Zootopia - 24.2M
  2. The Divergent Series: Allegiant - 13.6M
  3. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - 12.7M
  4. 10 Cloverfield Lane - 8.6M

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Am I forgetting anything at all? Nah, I don't think so. :P

 

  1. Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice - 178.5M
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