Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby

[SWXII]

1. Animal Crackers 99,999,999.99

2. The Wide Path 9,999,999.99

3.  Lima Hotel Foxtrot 9,999,999.98

4. A drink and 2 dances 9.5M

5. The Narrow Path 5M

[DMan7]

On 03/03/2016 at 11:07 AM, SWXII said:

1. Animal Crackers 99,999,999.99

2. The Wide Path 9,999,999.99

3.  Lima Hotel Foxtrot 9,999,999.98

4. A drink and 2 dances 9.5M

5. The Narrow Path 5M

[mahnamahna]

3/11-3/13

1. Zootopia: $51 million ($165 million) 
2. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $32 million 
3. London Has Fallen: $11 million ($39 million) 
4. The Young Messiah: $11.5 million 
5. The Brothers Grimsby: $11 million 
6. Deadpool: $10.5 million ($330 million) 
7. The Other Side of the Door: $7 million 
8. The Perfect Match: $5 million 
9. Whiskey Tango Foxtrot: $3.5 million ($13 million)
10. The Revenant: $2.5 million ($180 million)

3/18-3/20

1. Allegiant: $42 million 
2. Zootopia: $36.5 million ($236 million)
3. Miracles From Heaven: $27 million ($36 million)
4. London Has Fallen: $8 million ($53 million) 
5. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $7.5 million ($47 million) 
6. Deadpool: $7.5 mililon ($343 million) 
7. The Young Messiah: $7 million ($24 million) 
8. The Brothers Grimsby: $6 mililon ($21 million)
9. The Other Side of the Door: $3 million ($12 million) 
10. The Perfect Match: $3 million ($10 million) 

3/25-3/27

1. Batman vs. Superman: $167 million 
2. Zootopia: $20.5 million ($277 million) 
3. Miracles From Heaven: $20 million ($72 million) 
4. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $14 million 
5. Allegiant: $13 million ($68 million) 
6. The Young Messiah: $6 million ($35 million) 
7. London Has Fallen: $4 million ($66 million) 
8. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $3 million ($68 million) 
9. The Brothers Grimsby: $2.5 million ($25 million)
10. Deadpool: $2.5 million ($347 million) 

4/1-4/3

1. Batman vs. Superman: $68 million ($297 million)
2. Zootopia: $16 million ($304 million)
3. God's Not Dead 2: $14 million 
4. Miracles From Heaven: $11 million ($90 million) 
5. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $9.5 million ($30 million) 
6. Allegiant: $9 million ($83 million) 
7. Collide: $6 million
8. Amityville - The Awakening: $5 million 
9. The Young Messiah: $3.5 million ($41 million) 
10. London Has Fallen: $2 million ($69 million)

4/8-4/10

1. Batman vs. Superman: $36 million ($353 million) 
2. The Boss: $27 million 
3. Zootopia: $12.5 million ($322 million) 
4. God's Not Dead 2: $9 million ($28 million) 
5. Miracles From Heaven: $8 million ($102 million) 
6. Before I Wake: $7 million 
7. Allegant: $6.5 million ($93 million) 
8. Hardcore Henry: $6 million 
9. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $5.5 million ($39 million) 
10. Collide: $2.5 million 

4/15-4/17

1. The Jungle Book: $86.5 million 
2. Barbershop - The Final Cut: $24 million 
3. Batman vs. Superman: $17 million ($379 million) 
4. The Boss: $13 million ($46 million) 
5. Criminal: $7.5 million 
6. Zootopia: $6 million ($329 million) 
7. God's Not Dead 2: $5 million ($35 million)
8. Miracles From Heaven: $4.5 million ($108 million) 
9. Alliegant: $4 million ($99 million)
10. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $3.5 million ($44 million) 

4/22-4/24

1. The Jungle Book: $57 million ($165 million) 
2. The Huntsman Winter's War: $34 million 
3. Barbershop - The Final Cut: $11 million ($40 million) 
4. The Boss: $8.5 million ($59 million) 
5. Batman vs. Superman: $8 million ($391 million)
6. Zootopia: $4.5 million ($335 million) 
7. Criminal: $3.5 million ($13 million) 
8. Elvis and Nixon: $3.5 million 
9. God's Not Dead 2: $3 million ($39 million) 
10. Miracles From Heaven: $2.5 million ($111 million) 

4/29-5/1

1. The Jungle Book: $38 million ($216 million) 
2. Keanu: $20.5 million 
3. The Huntsman Winter's War: $16 million ($58 million) 
4. Mother's Day: $12.5 million 
5. Ratchet and Clank: $12 million 
6. Same Kind of Different As Me: $5.5 million 
7. Barbershop - The Final Cut: $5 million ($48 million) 
8. Batman vs. Superman: $4.5 million ($398 million) 
9. The Boss: $4 million ($65 million) 
10. Zootopia: $2 million ($337 million) 

5/6-5/8

1. Captain America - Civil War: $157 million 
2. The Jungle Book: $18 million ($240 million) 
3. Going in Style: $9 million 
4. Keanu: $8.5 million ($33 million) 
5. Ratchet and Clank: $7 million ($21 million) 
6. Mother's Day: $6.5 million ($22 million) 
7. The Huntsman Winter's War: $6 million ($67 million) 
8. Same Kind of Different as Me: $3 million ($10 million) 
9. Barbershop - The Final Cut: $2.5 million ($52 million) 
10. Zootopia: $1.5 million ($339 million) 

 

 

 

Edited March 7, 2016 by mahnamahna

[Maxmoser3]

10 Cloverfield Lane:32 million, Young Messiah:13 million, Brothers Grimsby:9 million,Perfect Match:3.2 million.

Edited March 5, 2016 by Maxmoser3
Forgot a movie

[WrathOfHan]

Zootopia: 46M

10 Cloverfield Lane: 26M

The Brothers Grimsby: 12M

London Has Fallen: 9.7M

Deadpool: 8.5M

The Young Messiah: 6M

WTF: 3.4M

The Perfect Match: 2.3M

Risen: 2M

Gods of Egypt: 1.9M

The Revenant: 1.8M

Kung Fu Panda: 1.6M

[cannastop]

I'm not making a prediction until I see Monday's Zootopia total. If it's higher than expected, the movie might be catching on with adult audiences.

[stripe]

We are clearly headed to battle against 2012 for the title of biggest March ever.

The Lorax < Zootopia - not only in terms of opening. Legs should be better.

John Carter = 10 Cloverfield Lane - John Carter opened to 30M

21JS = Allegiant - 21JS opened to 36M.

BvS ? THG

 

April schedule is also looking really strong with BvS second weekend, TJB and Huntsman.

[SWXII]

3/11-3/13

Animal Crackers 37.7 M

Crimson and Cloverfield 22.2M

The Narrow Path 12M

London Has Callin' 10.1M

The Wide Path 9.99M

 

[lilmac]

Zoo - 43.5

Cloverfield 2 - 25

BG - 13

London - 9.73

Deadpool - 8.7

Match - 7.5

The Young Messiah - 5

WTF - 4.1

gods of Egypt - 2.34

Risen - 2.14

 

Openers: 

 

-Risen will have Young Messiah to contend with.

-Perfect Match has a low theater count

- Cloverfield will do well but WOKJ tracking suggests 20s...I would have thought 30s

-Grimsby will flop

[lilmac]

Spring Break will start in a few places. Keep that in mind.

[cannastop]

8 hours ago, lilmac said:

Spring Break will start in a few places. Keep that in mind.

Spring break is happening right now in a few places, actually.

[cannastop]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/?yr=2016&wk=11&p=.htm

 

Triple 9 lost 1,510 theaters. I guess Zootopia is taking all of the cop story market share.

[mahnamahna]

3/18-3/20

1. Zootopia: $38.5 million ($210 million) 
2. Allegiant: $37 million 
3. Miracles From Heaven: $24 million ($32 million) 
4. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $14 million ($50 million) 
5. Deadpool: $8 million ($341 million)
6. London Has Fallen: $7 million ($50 million)
7. Whiskey Tango Foxtrot: $3 million ($19 million)
8. The Perfect Match: $2.5 million ($7 million) 
9. The Young Messiah: $2 million ($7 million)
10. The Brothers Grimsby: $1.5 million ($6 million) 

3/25-3/27

1. Batman vs. Superman: $162 million 
2. Zootopia: $23 million ($253 million)
3. Miracles From Heaven: $18 million ($64 million)
4. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $14.5 million 
5. Allegiant: $11 million ($58 million) 
6. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $6 million ($61 million) 
7. London Has Fallen: $3 million ($55 million)
8. Deadpool: $2 million ($345 million)
9. Whiskey Tango Foxtrot: $1.5 million ($22 million) 
10. The Perfect Match: $1 million ($8 million)

4/1-4/3

1. Batman vs. Superman: $67 million ($283 million)
2. Zootopia: $17 million ($281 million)
3. God's Not Dead 2: $14 million 
4. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $10.5 million ($33 million) 
5. Miracles From Heaven: $10 million ($81 million) 
6. Allegiant: $8 million ($72 million)
7. Collide: $4.5 million 
8. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $4 million ($68 million) 
9. Everybody Wants Some: $3.5 million 
10. London Has Fallen: $2 million ($58 million) 

4/8-4/10

1. Batman vs. Superman: $35.5 million ($339 million)
2. The Boss: $28 million 
3. Zootopia: $13.5 million ($299 million)
4. God's Not Dead 2: $10 million ($29 million) 
5. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $7 million ($44 million)
6. Miracles From Heaven: $6.5 million ($90 million)
7. Allegiant: $6 million ($81 million)
8. Before I Wake: $4.5 million 
9. Hardcore Henry: $3.5 million 
10. 10 Cloverfield Lane: $3 million ($72 million)

4/15-4/17

1. The Jungle Book: $96 million 
2. Barbershop - The Next Cut: $23 million 
3. Batman vs. Superman: $17 million ($365 million) 
4. The Boss: $16 million ($52 million) 
5. Zootopia: $7 million ($308 million) 
6. God's Not Dead 2: $6.5 million ($38 million) 
7. Criminal: $6 million 
8. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $4.5 million ($51 million) 
9. Miracles From Heaven: $4 million ($95 million) 
10. Allegiant: $3.5 million ($86 million) 

4/22-4/24

1. The Jungle Book: $63 million ($181 million)
2. The Huntsman Winter's War: $30.5 million 
3. The Boss: $10.5 million ($68 million) 
4. Barbershop - The Next Cut: $10 million ($38 million) 
5. Batman vs. Superman: $8 million ($377 million) 
6. Zootopia: $5 million ($314 million)
7. God's Not Dead 2: $4.5 million ($44 million)
8. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2: $3.5 million ($56 million) 
9. Miracles From Heaven: $3 million ($99 million) 
10. Criminal: $2.5 million ($10 million) 

4/29-5/1

1. The Jungle Book: $40.5 million ($235 million)
2. Keanu: $18 million 
3. The Huntsman Winter's War: $15 million ($54 million) 
4. Mother's Day: $10 million 
5. Ratchet and Clank: $7.5 million 
6. Batman vs. Superman: $5 million ($384 million) 
7. Same Kind of Different As Me: $4.5 million 
8. Barbershop - The Next Cut: $4 million ($44 million) 
9. Zootopia: $3.5 million ($318 million)
10. God's Not Dead 2: $3 million ($48 million)

5/6-5/8

1. Captain America - Civil War: $168 million 
2. The Jungle Book: $18 million ($259 million)
3. Mother's Day: $9 million ($23 million) 
4. The Huntsman Winter's War: $5 million ($62 million) 
5. Ratchet and Clank: $4 million ($12 million)
6. Same Kind of Different as Me: $2.5 million ($8 million) 
7. Zootopia: $2 million ($320 million) 
8. God's Not Dead 2: $2 million ($50 million) 
9. Barbershop - The Next Cut: $1.75 million ($47 million) 

5/13-5/15

1. Captain America - Civil War: $71 million ($275 million) 
2. The Jungle Book: $14 million ($277 million)
3. Money Monster: $9 million 
4. Kidnap: $7 million 
5. Mother's Day: $5 million ($30 million) 
6. The Darkness: $4 million 
7. The Huntsman Winter's War: $3.5 million ($67 million)
8. Ratchet and Clank: $3 million ($16 million) 
9. Zootopia: $1.5 million ($322 million) 
10. Same Kind of Different As Me: $1.25 million ($10 million) 

 

Edited March 14, 2016 by mahnamahna

[WrathOfHan]

Zootopia: 37M

Allegiant: 24M

10 Cloverfield Lane: 11.5M

Miracles From Heaven: 10.5M 3 Day/15M 5 Day

Deadpool: 7.8M

London Has Fallen: 5.4M

WTF: 2.6M

The Perfect Match: 2.2M

The Young Messiah: 1.8M

The Brothers Grimsby: 1.4M

[Outrageous!]

Considering how low Allegiant performed overseas, that more negative reviews could be pouring in at Rotten Tomatoes for it this week, there appears to be less interest from both the core Divergent fan base, and general audiences too, and anticipation for Batman v. Superman.  Add up all that and it sounds like that is the perfect recipe for a repeat "Fant4stic" like run at the box office, just like WrathofHan's prediction for it.  Zootopia and Deadpool already have impressive runs, and that should continue next week.

 

Zootopia: $33 million

Allegiant: $22 million

10 Cloverfield Lane: $9.5 million

Deadpool: $7 million

Edited March 13, 2016 by Outrageous!

[DAJK]

1. Zootopia - $36M

2. Allegiant - $33.2M

3. 10 Cloverfield Lane - $10.6M

4. Deadpool - $7.5M

[Arlo245]

March 18-20

1. Zootopia - $37 million 

2. Allegiant - $31 million

3. Miracles from Heaven - $16/20 million

4. 10 Cloverfield Lane - $12 million 

5. Midnight Special - $10 million

6. Deadpool - $7.5 million 

 

March 25-27

1. Batman vs. Superman - $182 million 

2. Zootopia - $25 million (Only movie for kids, won't drop terribly)

3. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - $22 million Miracles From Heaven - $17 million

4. Miracles From Heaven - $17 million Allegiant - $13 million

5. Allegiant - $13 million  My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - $10 million 

6. 10 Cloverfield Lane - $8 million 

7. Deadpool - $6.5 million 

8. Midnight Special - $6 million 

Edited March 14, 2016 by Arlo245

[Maxmoser3]

Allegiant:34.1 million, Miracles From Heaven: 19.6 million 3-day(26.4 million 5-day). 

[department store basement]

8 hours ago, Arlo245 said:

3. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - $22 million

 

Wow, why that high? Just curious since the general consensus seems to be that it's far too late for a sequel. My current prediction is 11 million.

[cannastop]

Why are we writing predictions before we see how the movies hold up on the weekdays?