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Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby

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Oct 16-18
1. Goosebumps: $38 million
2. Bridge of Spies: $27.5 million
3. The Martian: $24.5 million ($147 million)
4. Crimson Peak: $19.5 million
5. Hotel Transylvania 2: $13 million ($135 million)
6. Pan: $8 million ($30 million)
7. The Intern: $7 million ($61 million)
8. Sicario: $5 million ($34 million)
9. Maze Runner 2: $3.5 million ($75 million)
10. Steve Jobs: $2 million ($3 million)

10/23-10/25
1. Steve Jobs - $30.5 million ($34 million)
2. Goosebumps - $27 million ($74 million)
3. Paranormal Activity - The Ghost Dimension: $23 million
4. Bridge of Spies - $17 million ($53 million)
5. The Martian - $16 million ($171 million)
6. Hotel Transylvania 2 - $10.5 million ($148 million)
7. Last Witch Hunter - $8 million
8. Crimson Peak - $7 million ($30 million)
9. Jen and the Holograms - $6 million
10. The Intern - $5.5 million ($69 million)

 

10/30-11/1

  1. Steve Jobs: $22.5 million ($68 million)
  2. Goosebumps: $21 million ($101 million)
  3. Scouts Guide: $17 million 
  4. The Martian: $12 million ($189 million) 
  5. Bridge of Spies: $11.5 million ($70 million) 
  6. Hotel Transylvania 2: $9.5 million ($160 million) 
  7. Paranormal Activity - The Ghost Dimension: $9 million ($39 million) 
  8. Our Brand is Crisis" $7 million 
  9. Crimson Peak: $4 million ($37 million) 
  10. The Intern: $3.5 million ($74 million)
Edited by mahnamahna
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1. The Martian - $23.5m

2. Goosebumps - $19.7m

3. Bridge of Spies - $18.5m

4. Crimson Peak - $13.6m

5. Hotel Transylvania 2 - $12.8m

6. Pan - $8.9m

7. The Intern - $6.1m

8. Sicario - $4.6m

9. The Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials - $3.5m

10. The Walk - $2.1m

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So how do my upcoming OW's look?

I think you're really overestimating MJ2, Spectre, ITHOTS and Jem. (Tracking is awful right now, wouldn't be surprised if it didn't even manage $15m total)

 

The Night Before could also go a lot higher than you think.

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I think you're really overestimating MJ2, Spectre, ITHOTS and Jem. (Tracking is awful right now, wouldn't be surprised if it didn't even manage $15m total)

 

The Night Before could also go a lot higher than you think.

Jem is something I've seen a trailer for at just about every pg and PG-13 film in June and July-hence why its so high, I think it looks terrible but I'm not the person to ask about those films-I hate musicals (okay I like old ones from the 50s/60s but yeah) and films like Pitch Perfect.

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I think you're really overestimating MJ2, Spectre, ITHOTS and Jem. (Tracking is awful right now, wouldn't be surprised if it didn't even manage $15m total)

 

The Night Before could also go a lot higher than you think.

Funny part is that would still be a profit.

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My upcoming OW

 

Crimson Peak - 27M
Bridge of Spies - 24M
Goosebumps - 15M
 
Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension - 34M
Steve Jobs - 25M
Jem and the Holograms - 13M
The Last Witch Hunter - 9M
Rock the Kasbah - 8M
Burnt - 7M
 
Our Brand is Crisis - 15M
Scout's Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse - 3M
 
Spectre - 106M
The Peanuts Movie - 46M
Trumbo - 13M
The Outskirts - 3M
 
The 33 - 32M
By the Sea - 21M
Love the Coopers - 18M
My All American - 9M
 
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 172M
The Night Before - 23M
The Secret in Their Eyes - 14M
Carol - 9M
 
The Good Dinosaur - 66M
Creed - 26M
Krampus - 13M
The Danish Girl - 9M
Victor Frankenstein - 6M
 
In the Heart of the Sea - 30M
Legend - 12M
 
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 183M
Sisters - 22M
 
Daddy's Home - 27M
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 23M
Concussion - 21M
Joy - 21M
The Big Short - 18M
Point Break - 12M
 
The Revenant - 31M
The Hateful Eight - 26M
The Forest - 13M
 
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - 41M
Ride Along 2 - 39M
The 5th Wave - 28M
Norm of the North - 10M
The Nut Job 2 - 5M
 
Risen - 32M
The Boy - 24M
Dirty Grandpa - 21M
 
Kung Fu Panda 3 - 51M
The Finest Hours - 27M
 
Pride and Prejudice and Zombies - 8M
 
Deadpool  - 29M
Zoolander 2 - 24M
How to Be Single - 10M
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Might as well also go for it:

Bridge of Spies: $25.5M

Goosebumps: $32.3M

Crimson Peak: $14.6M

The Last Witch Hunter: $12.4M

Paranormal: $23.4M

Jem: $7.6M

Scouts: $5.6M

Our Brand: $7.1M

Spectre: $102.5M

Peanuts: $61.1M

The 33: $14.7M

Love the Coopers: $11.1M

By the Sea: $8.3M

MockingJay: $162M

The Night Before: $17.8M

The Good Dinosaur: $62/89M

Creed: $22/34M

Victor Frankenstein: $13/20M

Krampus: $20M

Heart of the Sea: $29M

Star Wars: $215M

Sisters: $19.2M

Alvin: $16/25M

Concussion: $14M

Joy: $19M

Point Break: $9.8M

Daddy's Home: $12.5M

The Revenant: $30M

Hateful Eight: $26.7M

The Forest: $8M

13 Hours: $39.6M

Ride Along: $31M

5th Wave: $20.8M

Norm: $14.6M

Nut Job: $8.8M

Risen: $17.6M

Dirty Grandpa: $23.2M

The Boy: $5.5M

The Finest Hours: $27.3M

KFP3: $57.9M

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The Martian - 26.59 - 150.26

Bridge of Spies - 24.90 - 24.90

Goosebumps - 22.77 - 22.77

Crimson Peak - 21.90 - 21.90

Hotel Transylvania 2 - 12.61 - 135.84

Pan - 9.14 - 29.49

The Intern - 5.08 - 5.08

Sicario - 4.51 - 34.82

Woodlawn - 4.00 - 4.00

Maze Runner - 2.66 - 75.29

The Walk - 2.63 - 11.04

Steve Jobs - 1.92 - 2.72

Black Mass - 1.36 - 60.22

Everest - 1.32 - 40.82

The Visit - 1.24 - 63.15

War Room - 1.07 - 65.61

The Perfect Man - 0.52 - 55.74

Green Inferno - 0.13 - 7.13

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  1. Bridge of Spies - 26.8M
  2. The Martian - 23.1M
  3. Goosebumps - 21.2M
  4. Crimson Peak - 14.7M
  5. Hotel Transylvania 2 - 11.4M
  6. Pan - 6.2M
  7. Woodlawn - 5.6M
  8. The Intern - 5.5M
  9. Sicario - 3.9M
  10. Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials - 3.4M
  11. Steve Jobs - 2.8M
  12. The Walk - 2.0M
Edited by Blankments
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Hell and Back, Sleeping With Other People, The Green Inferno, and Southpaw are gone.

Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials, War Room, and Everest are gone.
 
Goosebumps - 9/9 (2D/3D) total 18 (debut)
Crimson Peak - 15 (debut)
Hotel Transylvania 2 - 9/5 (2D/3D) total 14 (down 1)
The Martian - 8/6 (2D/3D) total 14 (no change)
Bridge of Spies - 10 (debut)
Pan - 5/4 (2D/3D) total 9 (down 7)
Sicario - 9 (down 1)
The Intern - 8 (down 7)
Woodlawn - 6 (debut)
Black Mass - 5 (no change)
The Visit - 4 (down 3)
The Walk - 2 (down 8)
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Wow-what happened to Crimson Peak? I thought that was having higher predicts, now in the mid teens?

The reviews for CP are mixed;a lot of people were expecting this to be on the level of "Pan's Labyrinth" and apparently, it's only pretty good, not great.

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This will be one of the most unpredicatable weekends in a long time. It is extremely difficult to guess how will be the order of the top4.

 

 

BoS 26M

Goosebumps 24M

Martian 24M

CP 22M

CP is tracking in the mid teens, and seems to be out of the running for a top 3 spot. But between BoS,Martian,and Goosebumps it's a toss up for thier place in the first 3.

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The reviews for CP are mixed;a lot of people were expecting this to be on the level of "Pan's Labyrinth" and apparently, it's only pretty good, not great.

Well its reviews are pretty decent so far I think-I just found it odd there.

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For the heck of it-OW's for upcoming films:

 

Paranormal 6: 17.5

Steve Jobs: 16.0

Jem and the Holograms: 15.5

Last Witch Hunter: 10.3

Rock the Kabash: 6.5

 

Our Brand is Crisis: 10.5

Scouts vs. Zombies: 6.5

 

Spectre: 100.5

Peanuts: 45.5

The Outskirts: 2.5

 

The 33: 15.0

By the Sea: 14.5

Love the Coopers: 10.1

My All American: 10.0

 

Mockingjay 2: 189.0

The Night Before: 7.5

Secret is in Their Eyes: 6.8

 

Good Dinosaur: 65.5/94.5

Creed: 15.0/22.5

Victor Frankenstein: 7.5/11.0

 

Krampus: 7.0

 

In the Heart of the Sea: 36.0

Legend: 10.0

 

Star Wars: 165.5 (Tough one to guess to be honest-it is December where OW's are not that big-but it is Star Wars!)

Sisters: 28.0

Looking over this-Jem is one I hope does worse as I said before I hate musicals (except older ones from the 60s) and I really don't like films like Pitch Perfect. Though that is probably being bias for me :P

Night Before-I think people are getting tired of Rogan's style. (He is such a troll...)

 

Star Wars and Mockingjay are both rather hard to predict right now.

 

I would go on with more-but I really hate to predict the Christmas OW right now.

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