Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby

[Blankments]

3-Day only:

1. Moana - 58.5M
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 38.7M
3. Allied - 15.6M
4. Doctor Strange - 13.5M
5. Trolls - 13.1M
6. Arrival - 10.3M
7. Bad Santa 2 - 6.6M
8. Hacksaw Ridge - 5.9M
9. Almost Christmas - 5.7M
10. Rules Don't Apply - 5.4M
11. The Edge of Seventeen - 2.9M
12. Moonlight - 1.7M

The Accountant - 1.6M

Loving - 1.5M

Bleed for This - 1.2M

Shut In - 1.2M

[Blankments]

On 11/17/2016 at 2:28 PM, Blankments said:

Inferno, Jack Reacher: Never Go Back, and Storks are gone.

Shut In, The Accountant, The Girl on the Train, Keeping Up with the Joneses, Tyler Perry's Boo! A Madea Halloween are gone.

 

Moana - 16/5 (2D/3D) total 21 (debut)

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 8/8 (2D/3D) total 16 (down 2)

Allied - 16 (debut)

Trolls - 15/1 (2D/3D) total 16 (down 3)

Doctor Strange - 8/6 (2D/3D) total 14 (no change)

Bad Santa 2 - 10 (debut)
Rules Don't Apply - 10 (debut)

The Edge of Seventeen - 5 (down 5)
Hacksaw Ridge - 5 (down 10)
Arrival - 4 (down 1)
Almost Christmas - 3 (down 7)
Bleed for This - 2 (down 3)

[Maxmoser3]

three weekend projections. December 2nd:Incarnate:$3.2 million. December 9th:Office Christmas Party:$20 million. December 16th:Rogue One:$145 million, Collateral Beauty:$13 million. 

[WrathOfHan]

Moana: 29.5M

Fantastic Beasts: 18M

Allied: 5.8M

Arrival: 5.7M

Doctor Strange: 5.5M

Trolls: 5M

Incarnate: 3.5M

Almost Christmas: 3.4M

Manchester by the Sea: 3M

Hacksaw Ridge: 2.5M

Edited November 27, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[terrestrial]

edit: wrong thread - moving to weekend?

 

Out of Gitesh's WE chart

http://www.boxofficeguru.com/weekend20.htm

 

	Top 10 vs. Thanksgiving 2015	168,799,000	167,805,985	+0.6
	Top 10 vs. Thanksgiving 2014	168,799,000	151,851,533	+11.2

Edited November 27, 2016 by terrestrial

[terrestrial]

Didn't ask people about the exact time for the ticket sale? For Rogue One

 

In spoiler tags as I am afraid it is too big

 

Spoiler

 

 

Edited November 27, 2016 by terrestrial

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

12/2-12/4

1. Moana: $30 million ($122 million) 
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $20.5 million ($185 million)
3. Arrival: $7 million ($72 million) 
4. Allied: $7 million ($28 million) 
5. Doctor Strange: $5.5 million ($214 million) 
6. Trolls: $5 million ($142 million) 
7. Almost Christmas: $3.5 million ($39 million) 
8. Bad Santa 2: $3 million ($14 million)
9. Hacksaw Ridge: $3 million ($56 million)
10. Incarnate: $2.5 million 

12/9-12/11

1. Office Christmas Party: $27 million 
2. Moana: $23 million ($152 million)
3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $14 million ($206 million)
4. Arrival: $6 million ($81 million) 
5. Allied: $5 million ($36 million) 
6. Doctor Strange: $4 million ($220 million) 
7. Trolls: $4 million ($147 million) 
8. La La Land: $2.5 million 
9. Almost Christmas: $2.5 million ($43 million) 
10. Hacksaw Ridge: $2 million ($59 million) 

12/16-12/18

1. Rogue One: $108 million 
2. Office Christmas Party: $18 million ($56 million) 
3. Moana: $14 million ($171 million) 
4. Collateral Beauty: $10 million 
5. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $5 million ($213 million) 
6. Arrival: $3.5 million ($85 million) 
7. La La Land: $3 million ($6 million) 
8. Allied: $2.5 million ($38 million) 
9. Almost Christmas: $1.5 million ($45 million) 
10. Doctor Strange: $1.5 million ($222 million) 

12/23-12/26

1. Sing: $66 million/$92 million ($127 million) 
2. Rogue One: $64 million/$83 million ($247 million) 
3. Passengers: $32 million/$45 million ($67 million) 
4. Office Christmas Party: $17 million/$21 million ($94 million) 
5. Assassin's Creed: $14 million/$18 million ($38 million) 
6. Fences: $10.5 million/$20 million 
7. La La Land: $10.5 million/$20 million ($30 million) 
8. Moana: $10.5 million/$14 million ($193 million) 
9. Collateral Beauty: $8 million/$11 million ($29 million) 
10. Why Him?: $6 million/$10.5 million 
11. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $3.5 million/$5 million ($220 million) 
12. Arrival: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($91 million) 

12/30-1/1

1. Sing: $57 million/$72 million ($224 million) 
2. Rogue One: $47 million/$60 million ($352 million) 
3. Passengers: $24.5 million/$31 million ($117 million) 
4. La La Land: $22 million/$27 million ($73 million) 
5. Fences: $15.5 million/$20 million ($55 million) 
6. Moana: $14 million/$18.5 million ($223 million) 
7. Why Him?: $11 million/$13 million ($32 million) 
8. Collateral Beauty: $9.5 million/$11 million ($47 million) 
9. Assassin's Creed: $9 million/$10 million ($63 million) 
10. Office Christmas Party: $7 million/$8 million ($108 million) 
11. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $4 million/$4.75 million ($227 million)
12. Arrival: $3 million/$3.5 million ($97 million) 

 

 

 

Edited December 1, 2016 by mahnamahna

[Blankments]

1. Moana - 24.9M
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 16.2M
3. Arrival - 7.3M
4. Doctor Strange - 6.5M
5. Allied - 5.8M
6. Incarnate - 4.6M
7. Trolls - 3.3M
8. Bad Santa 2 - 3.1M
9. Hacksaw Ridge - 2.9M
10. Almost Christmas - 2.7M
11. Manchester by the Sea - 1.4M
12. Loving - 1.3M

[Blankments]

On 11/22/2016 at 4:04 PM, Blankments said:

Shut In, The Accountant, The Girl on the Train, Keeping Up with the Joneses, Tyler Perry's Boo! A Madea Halloween are gone.

Bleed for This is gone.

 

Moana - 13/4 (2D/3D) total 17 (down 4)

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 8/8 (2D/3D) total 16 (no change)

Allied - 14 (down 2)

Doctor Strange - 10/4 (2D/3D) total 14 (no change)
Trolls - 14 (down 2)

Incarnate - 10 (debut)

Moonlight - 9 (debut)

Bad Santa 2 - 7 (down 3)
Arrival - 4 (no change)
Hacksaw Ridge - 4 (down 1)
Almost Christmas - 3 (no change)
The Edge of Seventeen - 2 (down 3)
Rules Don't Apply - 2 (down 8)

[acetabulum7]

Can we predict star wars yet

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

12/9-12/11

1. Moana: $21 million ($147 million) 
2. Office Christmas Party: $16 million 
3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $12.5 million ($201 million) 
4. Arrival: $6.5 million ($82 million)
5. Doctor Strange: $5 million ($222 million)  
6. Allied: $4.5 million ($36 million) 
7. Miss Sloane: $4 million ($4 million) 
8. Nocturnal Animals: $3 million ($6 million) 
9. Trolls: $3 million ($145 million) 
10. Hacksaw Ridge: $2.5 million ($61 million) 

12/16-12/18

1. Rogue One: $109 million 
2. Moana: $13.5 million ($165 million) 
3. Collateral Beauty: $9 million 
4. Office Christmas Party: $8.5 million ($29 million) 
5. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $4.5 million ($208 million) 
6. Arrival: $4 million ($89 million) 
7. Allied: $2.5 million ($40 million) 
8. Miss Sloane: $2 million ($7 million) 
9. Doctor Strange: $2 million ($225 million) 
10. Nocturnal Animals: $1.5 million ($8 million) 

12/23-12/26

1. Rogue One: $62 million/$85.5 million ($254 million)
2. Sing: $54 million/$72.5 million ($100 million) 
3. Passengers: $28 million/$41 million ($62 million) 
4. Assassin's Creed: $17.5 million/$24 million ($40 million) 
5. Moana: $11 million/$15.5 million ($188 million) 
6. Fences: $7.5 million/$15.5 million ($16 million) 
7. La La Land: $7 million/$15.5 million ($17 million) 
8. Why Him?: $6.5 million/$12 million 
9. Collateral Beauty: $6 million/$8.5 million ($23 million) 
10. Office Christmas Party: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($39 million) 
11. Arrival: $3 million/$4 million ($96 million) 
12. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($213 million) 

12/30-1/2

1. Sing: $46 million/$59 million ($200 million) 
2. Rogue One: $43.5 million/$54 million ($334 million) 
3. Passengers: $21.5 million/$27 million ($103 million)
4. La La Land: $18 million/$23 million ($52 million) 
5. Moana: $16.5 million/$20.5 million ($231 million) 
6. Fences: $15 million/$18 million ($44 million) 
7. Assassin's Creed: $12 million/$14 million ($62 million) 
8. Why Him?: $11 million/$12.5 million ($31 million) 
9. Collateral Beauty: $7.5 million/$8.5 million ($37 million)
10. Arrival: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($103 million) 
11. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $3 million/$3.5 million ($220 million)
12. Office Christmas Party: $2 million/$2.25 million ($44 million) 

1/6-1/8

1. Sing: $26 million ($231 million) 
2. Underworld - Blood Wars: $22 million
3. Rogue One: $20.5 million ($359 million)
4. La La Land: $11.5 million ($66 million) 
5. Passengers: $10 million ($115 million)
6. Moana: $9 million ($241 million)
7. Fences: $8.5 million ($54 million)
8. Why Him?: $5 million ($37 million) 
9. Assassin's Creed: $4 million ($67 million) 
10. Collateral Beauty: $3.5 million ($41 million)

1/13-1/16

1. Live by Night: $37 million/$44 million ($46 million)
2. Hidden Figures: $16.5 million/$23 million ($25 million) 
3. Sing: $16 million/$21.5 million ($257 million) 
4. La La Land: $14 million/$17 million ($89 million)
5. Rogue One: $11 million/$14 million ($378 million)
6. Fences: $9 million/$11 million ($69 million) 
7. Patriots Day: $8 million/$9.5 million ($10 million) 
8. Underworld - Blood Wars: $7.5 million/$9 million ($35 million) 
9. Monster Trucks: $6.5 million/$8 million 
10. Moana: $6 million/$8.5 million ($251 million) 

1/20-1/22

1. Split: $36 million 
2. Live by Night: $18.5 million ($69 million) 
3. XXX - The Return of Xander Cage: $16 million 
4. Hidden Figures: $11 million ($38 million) 
5. La La Land: $10 million ($102 million) 
6. Sing: $9 million ($267 million) 
7. Fences: $6 million ($76 million) 
8. The Founder: $5.5 million 
9. Rogue One: $5 million ($384 million) 
10. Patriots Day: $4 million ($15 million)

1/27-1/29

1. A Dog's Purpose: $28.5 million 
2. Split: $18.5 million ($64 million) 
3. Resident Evil - The Final Chapter: $13 million 
4. Live by Night: $11 million ($86 million) 
5. La La Land: $8.5 million ($115 million) 
6. Hidden Figures: $8 million ($50 million) 
7. XXX - The Return of Xander Cage: $7.5 million ($28 million) 
8. Bastards: $6.5 million 
9. Fences: $5 million ($84 million) 
10. Sing: $4.5 million ($273 million) 

2/3-2/5

1. A Dog's Purpose: $17 million ($51 million)
2. The Space Between Us: $13 million 
3. Split: $9 million ($78 million) 
4. Rings: $8 million 
5. La La Land: $6 million ($124 million) 
6. Hidden Figures: $5.5 million ($58 million) 
7. Live by Night: $5 million ($94 million) 
8. Resident Evil - The Final Chapter: $4.5 million ($20 million) 
9. Same Kind of Different As Me: $3.5 million 
10. Fences: $3 million ($88 million)

2/10-2/12

1. The LEGO Batman Movie: $107 million 
2. Fifty Shades Darker: $40.5 million 
3. John Wick - Chapter Two: $17.5 million 
4. A Dog's Purpose: $9 million ($63 million) 
5. The Space Between Us: $7.5 million ($24 million) 
6. Split: $6 million ($87 million) 
7. La La Land: $5 million ($132 million) 
8. Hidden Figures: $4 million ($64 million) 
9. Live by Night: $3 million ($99 million) 
10. Rings: $3 million ($13 million) 

2/17-2/20

1. The LEGO Batman Movie: $65 million/$82 million ($221 million) 
2. Fist Fight: $32 million/$38.5 million 
3. The Great Wall: $16.5 million/$20 million 
4. Fifty Shades Darker: $12.5 million/$15 million ($70 million)
5. John Wick - Chapter Two: $9 million/$10.5 million ($34 million) 
6. A Dog's Purpose: $7 million/$8.5 million ($75 million)
7. Patient Zero: $6 million/$7 million 
8. La La Land: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($143 million) 
9. A Cure for Wellness: $5 million/$5.75 million 
10. The Space Between Us: $4 million/$5 million ($33 million) 
11. Hidden Figures: $3 million/$3.5 million ($70 million)
12. Split: $2.5 million/$3 million ($91 million)

 

 

Edited December 9, 2016 by mahnamahna

[Impact]

Whoa-27.5M for Office Christmas Party??? I haven't seen anything for it-but from what I've heard it apparently looks very bad and genic.

[WrathOfHan]

Moana: 19M

Office Christmas Party: 15M

Fantastic Beasts: 13M

Arrival: 5.8M

Allied: 5M

Doctor Strange: 4.5M

Manchester By the Sea: 4M

Trolls: 3M

Hacksaw Ridge: 2.4M

Nocturnal Animals: 2M

[Maxmoser3]

15 hours ago, Impact said:

Whoa-27.5M for Office Christmas Party??? I haven't seen anything for it-but from what I've heard it apparently looks very bad and genic.

I think it has potential to do $16-$20 million OW. 

[filmlover]

I'm thinking Office Christmas Party will do around $12M.

[FantasticBeasts]

Office Christmas Party: 21M

Moana 17 M

Fantastic Beasts: 14.5M

Arrival:6M

Allied: 5.1M

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

7 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Office Christmas Party: 21M

Moana 17 M

Fantastic Beasts: 14.5M

Arrival:6M

Allied: 5.1M

 

 

You're being waaaaaaaaaay too optimistic on FB.

[FantasticBeasts]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

You're being waaaaaaaaaay too optimistic on FB.

You have underestimated it since always. You gave 37m in Thanksgiving and it did  45m and 16m this week while it did 18.5m... This is my first time and  I obviously can be wrong. We shall see..

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, FantasticBeasts said:

You have underestimated it since always. You gave 37m in Thanksgiving and it did  45m and 16m this week while it did 18.5m... This is my first time and  I obviously can be wrong. We shall see..

I actually predicted 18M this week. Try again.

[FantasticBeasts]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I actually predicted 18M this week. Try again.

Sorry . I confused you with another guy. Well as a FB fan I want to be optimistic. I know the chances of being wrong are high but anything is possible. 

Edited December 4, 2016 by FantasticBeasts