Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby

[WrathOfHan]

Angry Birds: 35M

Captain America: 34M

The Nice Guys: 23M

Neighbors: 20M

The Jungle Book: 9.7M

Money Monster: 9M

The Darkness: 2.1M

Zootopia: 1.6M

Mother's Day: 1.5M

Huntsman: 1.4M

 

Edited May 15, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[OdinSon2k14]

Angry Birds 40M

Neighbors 2 38M

Iron Man/Robert Downey Jr/Sony/Spider-Man/Black Panther/Scarlet Witch/War Machine/Hawkeye/Ant-Man/Vision/Black Widow/Captain America:Civil War 34M

[johnboy3434]

Initial estimates for next weekend...

 

Civil War: $38.9M (-46.4%)

Money Monster: $7.42M (-50.5%)

Darkness: $2.93M (-43.4%)

Edited May 15, 2016 by johnboy3434

[Ezen Baklattan]

1. Captain America: Civil War - $38m
2. The Angry Birds Movie - $36.2m
3. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising - $29.6m
4. The Nice Guys - $15.7m
5. The Jungle Book - $10.7m
6. Money Monster - $8.5m
7. The Darkness - $1.8m
8. Zootopia - $1.5m
9. Mother's Day - $1.4m
10. The Huntsman: Winter's War - $1.3m

[Impact]

Memorial day openers predicts:

X-Men: 119M (4 day)

Alice 2: 95M (4 day)

[mahnamahna]

5/20-5/22

1. The Angry Birds Movie: $42 million

2. Captain America - Civil War: $39.5 million ($354 million)

3. Neighbors 2: $23.5 million

4. The Nice Guys: $22.5 million

5. The Jungle Book: $10 million ($325 million)

6. Money Monster: $9.5 million ($29 million)

7. The Darkness: $2.5 million ($9 million)

8. Mother's Day: $2 million ($31 million)

9. Zootopia: $1.5 million ($333 million)

10. The Huntsman - Winter's War: $1.5 million ($46 million) 

 

5/27-5/30

1. X-Men - Apocalypse: $88.5 million/$106 million

2. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $69 million/$84 million

3. The Angry Birds Movie: $27 million/$33.5 million ($84 million)

4. Captain America - Civil War: $24 million/$28.5 million ($395 million)

5. The Nice Guys: $16 million/$19 million ($49 million)

6. Neighbors 2: $12.5 million/$15 million ($51 million)

7. Money Monster: $7 million/$8.5 million ($40 million)

8. The Jungle Book: $5.5 million/$7 million ($333 million)

9. The Darkness: $1.5 million/$2 million ($11 million)

10. Zootopia: $1 million/$1.5 million ($335 million)

 

6/3-6/5

1. TMNT 2: $51 million 

2. X-Men - Apocalypse: $34 million ($159 million) 

3. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $27 million ($126 million) 

4. The Angry Birds Movie: $16 million ($105 million) 

5. Me Before You: $14.5 million 

6. Captain America - Civil War: $11.5 million ($411 million) 

7. The Nice Guys: $9 million ($59 million) 

8. Popstar: $6 million 

9. Neighbors 2: $5 million ($59 million) 

10. Money Monster: $4 million ($45 million) 

 

6/10-6/12

1. The Conjuring 2: $44 million 

2. Warcraft: $28 million 

3. TMNT 2: $22 million ($89 million) 

4. Now You See Me 2: $18.5 million 

5. X-Men - Apocalypse: $15 million ($185 million) 

6. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $13 million ($147 million) 

7. The Angry Birds Movie: $10 million ($120 million)

8. Me Before You: $9 million ($30 million) 

9. The Nice Guys: $6.5 million ($71 million) 

10. Captain America - Civil War: $5.5 million ($421 million) 

 

6/17-6/19

1. Finding Dory: $124.5 million 

2. Central Intelligence: $45.5 million 

3. The Conjuring 2: $16 million ($75 million) 

4. Warcraft: $10.5 million ($48 million) 

5. TMNT 2: $10 million ($108 million) 

6. Now You See Me 2: $9 million ($35 million) 

7. X-Men - Apocalypse: $7 million ($198 million)

8. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $6.5 million ($158 million) 

9. Me Before You: $6 million ($40 million)

10. The Nice Guys: $4.5 million ($79 million) 

 

6/24-6/26

1. Finding Dory: $80 million ($276 million) 

2. Independence Day - Resurgence: $64.5 million 

3. Central Intelligence: $30 million ($102 million) 

4. The Conjuring 2: $9 million ($92 million) 

5. Now You See Me 2: $5.5 million ($45 million) 

6. Free State of Jones: $5 million 

7. TMNT 2: $5 million ($117 million) 

8. Warcraft: $4 million ($56 million) 

9. Me Before You: $4 million ($47 million) 

10. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $3.5 million ($165 million) 

 

7/1-7/4

1. Finding Dory: $43 million/$54 million 

2. The BFG: $32 million/$39 million 

3. Independence Day - Resurgence: $29 million/$38 million 

4. Central Intelligence: $19.5 million/$24 million ($143 million) 

5. The Purge - Election Year: $17 million/$20 million 

6. The Shallows: $12 million/$15 million ($25 million) 

7. The Legend of Tarzan: $10 million/$12 million

8. The Conjuring 2: $4 million/$4.5 million ($100 million) 

9. Now You See Me 2: $3.5 million/$4 million ($52 million)

10. Me Before You: $3 million/$3.3 million ($53 million) 

 

Edited May 18, 2016 by mahnamahna

[IAmBagel]

(new releases only):

May 20:
The Angry Birds Movie: $43 million

Neighbors 2: $40 million

The Nice Guys: $17 million

 

May 27:

X-Men Apocalypse: $80 million ($100 million 4-day)

Alice Through the Looking Glass: $60 million ($75 million 4-day)

[johnboy3434]

Based on weekend actuals:

 

Captain America: Civil War - $38.3M (-47.3%)

Money Monster - $7.25M (-51%)

The Darkness - $2.71M (-45.2%)

Edited May 17, 2016 by johnboy3434

[WrathOfHan]

11 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said:

Based on weekend actuals:

 

Captain America: Civil War - $40.2M (-44.6%)

Money Monster - $7.25M (-51%)

The Darkness - $2.71M (-45.2%)

The Darkness isn't having a sub 50 drop.

[Truckasaurus]

1) Angry Birds: The Movie

$41.9M

 

2) Captain America: Civil War
$37M (-49%)

 

3) Neighbors 2
$34.7M

 

4) The Nice Guys
$15.5M

5) The Jungle Book
$10.9M (-36%)

[Blankments]

1. The Angry Birds Movie - 44.7M
2. Captain America: Civil War - 36.3M
3. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising - 22.1M
4. The Nice Guys - 16.4M
5. The Jungle Book - 11.1M
6. Money Monsters - 8.7M
7. Zootopia - 2.2M
8. The Darkness - 2.1M
9. The Huntsman: Winter's War - 1.6M
10. Keanu - 0.9M
11. Barbershop: The Next Cut - 0.8M
12. Mother's Day - 0.7M

[Maxmoser3]

The Nice Guys has potential of breaking out. WB usually does fine in the month of May(besides Hot Pursuit, and Dark Shadows).

[Blankments]

On 5/10/2016 at 5:47 PM, Blank Panther said:

Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice and Criminal are gone. Drive-in is Captain America: Civil War and Star Wars: The Force Awakens.

Keanu, The Boss, Green Room, Barbershop: The Next Cut and Star Wars: The Force Awakens are gone. Drive-in is The Jungle Book and Captain America: Civil War.

 

The Angry Birds Movie - 24/4/10/2 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX) total 40 (debut)

Captain America: Civil War - 25/11/1/3 (2D/3D/IMAX/IMAX 3D) total 40 (down 27)
Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising - 37 (debut)

The Darkness - 17 (no change)

The Jungle Book - 15/2 (2D/3D) total 17 (down 2)
Money Monster - 16 (down 5)

The Nice Guys - 16 (debut)

The Huntsman: Winter's War - 7 (down 3)

Mother's Day - 7 (down 8)

Ratchet and Clank -  6 (down 2)

The Meddler - 5 (debut)
Zootopia - 5 (up 2)
A Hologram for the King - 2 (down 4)

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - 2 (down 7)

[AniNate]

Hoping for one more expansion for Sing Street. Green Room's last week gives me optimism

[lilmac]

Angry Birds - 39

Cap3 - 36.3

Neighbors 2 - 25

Nice Guys - 17.8

Jungle Book - 10.4

Money Monster - 8.2 (maybe a bit higher)

Zootopia  - 2.11

Huntsman 2 - 1.5

Darkness - 1.5

Mothers Day - 1.31

[johnboy3434]

My final weekend predictions...

 

The Angry Birds Movie

Opening Day: $10.9M

Saturday: $15.8M (+44%)

Sunday: $13.1M (-17%)

OPENING WEEKEND TOTAL: $39.8M

 

Captain America: Civil War

Friday: $10M (+168%)

Saturday: $15M (+49.7%)

Sunday: $9.61M (-35.9%)

THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $34.6M (-52.4%)

 

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising

Opening Day: $12.8M

Saturday: $11.1M (-9.05%)

Sunday: $7.6M (-34.5%)

OPENING WEEKEND TOTAL: $32M

 

The Nice Guys

Opening Day: $4.53M

Saturday: $5.76M (+27.2%)

Sunday: $4.51M (-21.6%)

OPENING WEEKEND TOTAL: $14.8M

 

Money Monster

Friday: $2.76M (+180%)

Saturday: $3.26M (+18%)

Sunday: $2.03M (-37.9%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $8.05M (-45.5%)

 

The Darkness

Friday: $525k (+138%)

Saturday: $672k (+28.2%)

Sunday: $452k (-32.7%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $1.65M (-66.7%)

[Impact]

Seems like Disney is advertising the heck out of Alice.

[department store basement]

31 minutes ago, Impact said:

Seems like Disney is advertising the heck out of Alice.

 

Where? I haven't seen any in ages. It's all Cap, Cap, Cap now.

[Impact]

2 hours ago, department store basement said:

 

Where? I haven't seen any in ages. It's all Cap, Cap, Cap now.

Seen quite a few on TV and elsewhere, not as much as Cap yes, but still they are doing it finally, though a couple months ago there was not much.

[Maxmoser3]

Fuck. Hopefully no more underperformers but these two movies look stupid but anyway. X-Men:Apocylpse:86 million 3-day(101 million 4-day), Alice 2: 52 million 3-day(65 million 4-day).