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Weekend Prediction thread 6/28-6/30 Play the Derby

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  1. MI5: $46 million 
  2. Vacation: $32 million ($45 million)
  3. Minions: $15 million ($291 million)
  4. Ant-Man: $14 million ($133 million)
  5. Pixels: $12.5 million ($48 million) 
  6. Trainwreck: $10 million ($80 million)
  7. Southpaw: $9 million ($35 million)
  8. Paper Towns: $6 million ($24 million)
  9. Inside Out: $6 million ($331 million) 
  10. Jurassic World: $4.5 million ($633 million) 

8/7-8/9

  1. Fantastic Four: $39 million 
  2. MI5: $25 million ($95 million) 
  3. Vacation: $22 million ($87 million) 
  4. Ricki and the Flash: $18.5 million 
  5. Shaun the Sheep Movie: $13 million 
  6. Trainwreck: $8 million ($95 million) 
  7. Ant-Man: $7.5 million ($147 million) 
  8. Minions: $7 million ($304 million) 
  9. Pixels: $6.5 million ($60 million)
  10. Southpaw: $5 million ($44 million) 

8/14-8/16

  1. Straight Outta Compton: $45 million 
  2. The Man From UNCLE: $18 million 
  3. The Fantastic Four: $17.5 million ($70 million) 
  4. Vacation: $15 million ($114 million) 
  5. MI5: $13 million ($118 million)
  6. Ricki and the Flash: $10 million ($36 million)
  7. Shaun the Sheep Movie: $8 million ($25 million)
  8. Trainwreck: $6.5 million ($106 million) 
  9. Underdogs: $5 million 
  10. Ant-Man: $4.5 million ($154 million) 

8/21-8/23

  1. Straight Outta Compton: $20 million ($78 million) 
  2. The Fantastic Four: $11 million ($87 million) 
  3. The Man From UNCLE: $10.5 million ($34 million) 
  4. Vacation: $10 million ($129 million) 
  5. Hitman - Agent 47: $8 million 
  6. MI5: $7 million ($129 million) 
  7. Ricki and the Flash: $6.5 million ($46 million) 
  8. Shaun the Sheep: $6 million ($33 million) 
  9. American Ultra: $5.5 million 
  10. Trainwreck: $4.5 million ($113 million) 

8/28-8/30

  1. We Are Your Friends: $17 million 
  2. Sinister 2: $12 million 
  3. Straight Outta Compton: $10 million ($94 million)
  4. Regression: $8.5 million 
  5. The Fantastic Four: $8 million ($99 million) 
  6. Vacation: $7.5 million ($140 million) 
  7. The Man From UNCLE: $6.5 million ($44 million) 
  8. MI5: $4.5 million ($136 million) 
  9. Shaun the Sheep Movie: $4.5 million ($39 million)
  10. Ricki and the Flash: $4 million ($52 million)
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Most likely. 

 

The Martian and MI5 are the only two until then with a semi-plausible shot at the mark. 

 

I wish MI5 got to $200M mark. I love the fact that people push their limits to entertain the masses like Cruise & his team.

And The Martian looks to gross  at Prometheus level, $120M+, at least. 

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Going to number drop here. I normally predict on my own spreadsheet and update the totals after actual opening weekend on top, erasing my prediction. So, might as well leave it somewhere so I can gloat a little when I get things right. The predictions range from months in advance (first trailer) to the week of release but before preview numbers.

Snapshot of numbers hit: Southpaw $16m, Pixels $32m, Trainwreck $29m, Ant Man $58m, Minions $90m, Terminator Genisys (5-day) $38m, Inside Out $85m

Snapshot of numbers miss: Paper Towns $24m, Magic Mike XXL (5-day) $38m, Ted 2 $52m, Jurassic World $121m

The rest I updated with actuals and don't know what I predicted anymore. I think most were after trailer or months before release except IO and JW, and even then, I missed massively on JW, lol. I think my Pixels and Minions numbers might actually be misses with % wise, not bothered to calculate.

My OW Predictions as of 28.07.2015

Vacation $32m (5-Day)

Mission Impossible 5 $57m

Fantastic Four $54m

The Gift $14m

Ricki and the Flash $14m

Shaun the Sheep $6.8m

The Man from UNCLE $23.7m

Straight Outta Compton $27.8m

Underdogs $4.1m

American Ultra $6.7m

Hitman: Agent 47 $7.1m

Regression $3.4m

Sinister 2 $8.3m (haven't seen trailer)

We Are Your Friends $6.8m

War Room $3.4m

No Escape $5.6m (not taking into account 5 Day)

The Transporter Refueled $7.1m

The Perfect Guy $11.6m

The Visit $18.1m

Black Mass $24.5m

Captive $11.1m

The Scorch Trials $42.4m

Everest $23.4m (not taking into account IMAX opening)

Sicario $16.3m (not taking into account limited release)

The Green Inferno $6.3m

Hotel Transylvania 2 $42m

The Intern $14.8m

The Walk $19.8m (not taking into account IMAX opening)

The Martian $38.6m

Legend $4.1m (not taking into account limited release)

Masterminds $8.6m

Pan $24.8m

Steve Jobs $23.8m

Bridge of Spies $26.7m

Crimson Peak $25.6m

Goosebumps $23.1m

Jem and the Holograms $6.8m

The Last Witch Hunter $8.3m

Rock the Kasbah $5.1m

The Secret in Their Eyes $6.8m

The Peanuts Movie $58m

Spectre $85m

Mockingjay Part 2 $143m

Creed $26.3m (not taking into account TG 5 Day)

The Good Dinosaur $85.3m (not taking into account TG 5 Day)

In the Heart of the Sea $16.4m

Sisters $18.7m

Star Wars: The Force Awakens $118m

Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 $16.1m

Joy $14.1m

The Revenant $16.7m

Haven't seen the trailer

Adam Jones

Paranormal Activity

Suffragette

Autobahn

Scouts Vs Zombies

Spotlight

The 33

By the Sea

Rings

Midnight Special

Victor Frankenstein

Xmas

Krampus

Carol

Concussion

Daddy's Home

Point Break

Snowden

The Hateful Eight

Total predicts

Woman in black 2 37m

Taken 3 70m

Blackhat 43m

Paddington 88m

Wedding Ringer 73m

Mortdecai 18m

Project Almanac 36m

Jupiter Ascending 63m

Seventh Son 24m

Spongebob 2 120m

Fifty Shades 135m

Kingsman 126m

Hot Tub Time Machine 2 18m

Focus 42m

Chappie 88m

Cinderella 155m

Run All Night 53m

Insurgent 165m

Get Hard 83m

Home 89m

Furious 7 275m

Monkey Kingdom 32m

Paul Blart 63m

Age of Adaline 18m

Age of Ultron 625m

MadMax 65m

Pitch Perfect 2 175m

Tomorrowland 225m

San Andreas 165m

Spy 115m

Jurassic World 235m

Inside Out 280m

Ted 2 125m

Terminator Genisys 95m

Minions 265m

Ant Man 145m

Rogue Nation 185m

Fantastic Four 145m

Man from Uncle 67m

Straight Outta Compton 135m

Edited by BK007
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  1. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - 66.2M
  2. Vacation - 22.3M
  3. Minions - 12.8M
  4. Pixels - 12.5M
  5. Ant-Man - 12.0M
  6. Trainwreck - 10.7M
  7. Southpaw - 9.9M
  8. Inside Out - 5.5M
  9. Jurassic World - 5.2M
  10. Paper Towns - 4.6M
  11. Mr. Holmes - 2.6M
  12. Terminator: Genisys - 1.3M
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Well, I hope it doesn't, because this thread has *LONG* history and it tracks kinda different stuff than my thread.  Plus, I do gather numbers from here so even for my parochial purposes its still valuable.  I am considering expanding the window in which I take predicts from here from Monday back to Saturday.  At that point everyone will have a pretty decent idea of how things went the previous weekend when working up their predictions.  Plus, I notice a few folks seem to post predicts over the weekend and I'd like to include them.

 

So, yeah, I think I will.

Edited by Wrath
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Self/Less and Spy are gone. Drive-in is Pixels and Minions.

 
Ant-Man - 22/13/6 (2D/3D/IMAX 3D) total 41 (down 7)

Max is gone. Drive-in is Ant-Man and Pixels.

 

Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - 24/4/5 (2D/2D with D-BOX/IMAX) total 33 (debut))
Ant-Man - 21/10 (2D/3D) total 31 (down 10)
Pixels - 14/8 (2D/3D) total 22 (down 6)
Vacation - 21 (debut)
Minions - 12/7 (2D/3D) total 19 (down 15)
Trainwreck - 16 (no change)
Paper Towns - 15 (down 1)
Southpaw - 15 (down 1)
Mr. Holmes - 10 (no change)
Inside Out - 9 (down 6)
Jurassic World - 9 (down 7)
The Gallows - 5 (down 1)
Terminator Genisys - 5 (down 2)
Magic Mike XXL - 1 (down 3)
Ted 2 - 1 (down 4)
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