Wknd Estimates: Nolan = 50M | BH6 = 56M+(pg 72) (who cares, our forum lives!)

[The Stingray]

The goal for IS should be TDK's OW.

 

Is it really that impossible for it to have a multiplier better than 3x? Why can't it have good legs? I'm asking out of curiosity here.

[Dementeleus]

Let's be Cops had a 4.8X.

 

Just saying.  

Sorry, should've said any blockbuster.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

I thought we already covered that Cameron is part of this discussion.  Cameron is Cameron.  

That why I was so disappointed with Avatar not up to his other work. Such a weak film. 

[druv10]

Yes, I know, but 150 mill for an original film from anyone not named Cameron should be considered a great number.  WW this still has a great chance at 600 mill.

 

If you look at the number in a vacuum they're good for original sci-fi but factor in Nolan's name including his last 4 movies than they're a little disappointing, at least domestically. 600M WW can never be disappointing. 

[kayumanggi]

I like Intersterllar but rooting for Big Hero 6 to win the weekend

 

How was INTERSTELLAR forg? Nakakaantok? Going to see it tomorrow.

[baumer]

Cameron hadn't been able to build off his own name before that film either. Titanic was a big hit via tremendous legs.

 

Whatever reasons there may have been to go soft on Interstellar, there were also plausible ones to go big on it, at least until one saw the actual film.

 

How can you say that True Lies and T2 weren't partly successful because of Cameron's name?

[Dementeleus]

Is it really that impossible for it to have a multiplier better than 3x? Why can't it have good legs? I'm asking out of curiosity here.

WOM seems fairly mixed. I just think people don't realize that a 3x means pretty good legs these days.

[Jandrew]

So the only box office gods seem to be Rth, Marvel and Cameron. 

Atleast we dont have to suffer through a bunch of shitty photoshops of Joss Whedons head on Jesus' body. Joke or not, its stupid.

[baumer]

Is it really that impossible for it to have a multiplier better than 3x? Why can't it have good legs? I'm asking out of curiosity here.

 

Better than 3?  Sure.  But 4?  That's hard.

[Dementeleus]

If you look at the number in a vacuum they're good for original sci-fi but factor in Nolan's name including his last 4 movies than they're a little disappointing, at least domestically. 600M WW can never be disappointing.

But it's not going to get 600m WW.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

WOM seems fairly mixed. I just think people don't realize that a 3x means pretty good legs these days.

I think it mixed to poor. I am thinking a 2.5-2.7 multiplier there just too much competition.  

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Atleast we dont have to suffer through a bunch of shitty photoshops of Joss Whedons head on Jesus' body. Joke or not, its stupid.

We will have to after the Avengers 2

[AniNate]

How can you say that True Lies and T2 weren't partly successful because of Cameron's name?

 

You could much more easily attribute those to Schwarzenegger's rising starpower. And in that era, starpower was everything.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

But it's not going to get 600m WW.

Not even getting 500m. It will be lucky to get 450m. 

[baumer]

You could much more easily attribute those to Schwarzenegger's rising starpower. And in that era, starpower was everything.

 

No doubt Arnold was the draw, but Cameron contributed as well.  

[druv10]

I don't think so, at this point.

 

China has 100M+ potential, 45-50M from UK, 40M+ from SK, 25M+ from Russia, Germany, France and Japan so 450M OS is definitely do able. 

[baumer]

Not even getting 500m. It will be lucky to get 450m. 

 

Curious why you say that?  Has it opened in a bunch of markets that have reported early numbers already?

[baumer]

China has 100M+ potential, 45-50M from UK, 40M+ from SK, 25M+ from Russia, Germany, France and Japan so 450M OS is definitely do able. 

 

Why does it have 100 mill potential in China?  This doesn't seem like the kind of film they would go nuts over.

[Heretic]

China has 100M+ potential, 45-50M from UK, 40M+ from SK, 25M+ from Russia, Germany, France and Japan so 450M OS is definitely do able. 

More like $30-40m for UK.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Curious why you say that?  Has it opened in a bunch of markets that have reported early numbers already?

It suppose to bad in the Brazil and Russia number looks bad. Only report I have seen it might do okay in the UK. I also don't think this appeal to OS audience. Too American for alot of them and there no star in the film that appeals overseas.