TStechnij Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 mine updated in order of rank only revenant unseen. rest are all seen e.g. joy had incredible reception in test screenings, as did hateful eight recently. 1. the revenant (only one unseen) 2. joy 3. spotlight 4. carol 5. brooklyn 6. inside out 7. bridge of spies 8. the hateful eight 9. son of saul 10. beasts of no nation alts - room You forgot Steve Jobs. And technically The Revenant is seen. It tested too. But you can't call The Revenant, Joy or The Hateful Eight as actually being seen. They were test screenings and they might not reflect the final product. Let's take them all to AFI!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 You forgot Steve Jobs. And technically The Revenant is seen. It tested too. But you can't call The Revenant, Joy or The Hateful Eight as actually being seen. They were test screenings and they might not reflect the final product. Let's take them all to AFI!! agree yep steve jobs i forgot. reupdated: 1. the revenant 2. joy 3. spotlight 4. steve jobs 5. carol 6. brooklyn 7. inside out 8. the hateful eight 9. son of saul 10. beasts of no nation other: room, in the heart of the sea. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 Fun fact: Mad Max has started screening for guild and they definitely are pushing it for best picture. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 Fun fact: Mad Max has started screening for guild and they definitely are pushing it for best picture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 Fun fact: Mad Max has started screening for guild and they definitely are pushing it for best picture. I can see Miller getting a DGA nomination and potentially PGA, but I'm still not convinced this is the Academy's cup of tea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 (edited) in the heart of the sea - early screenings got excellent reviews so it has a shot at a nom esp if the box office is healthy enough. brooklyn looks vulnerable as box office will be shit. Edited October 13, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Why the lack of confidence for Room? I think it is the kind of little movie that will get a lot of #1 votes. It won at TIFF, it has a lot of raves and it surely will be widely seen during the critics awards. 1. Revenant 2. Joy 3. Spotlight 4. Carol 5. Room 6. Steve Jobs 7. Brooklyn 8. Inside Out 9. Bridge of Spies 10. Hateful Eight Still in the run 11. Danish girl 12. Son of Saul 13. The martian 14. Mad Max 15. Beasts of no nation Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 14, 2015 Author Share Posted October 14, 2015 Sadly Heart of the Sea will probably not do that well as it could at the box office-given what comes out one week later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
solaris Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 (edited) The Revenant Steve Jobs Bridge of Spies Carol Joy Spotlight Inside Out Youth Possible big blockbusting gatecrasher - The Martian (alt. Mad Max) That brings it to 8 (possibly 9)... I'm sure there'll be something unexpected that surprises us all at the last minute. The Revenant is still largely unknown, and whilst it looks the part it could very well be a messy disaster. Pretty sure the Leo factor will help either way though. Edited October 14, 2015 by solaris Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 agree bridge of spies is now locked into a best picture nom. box office will be solid at around 60-65M dom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Mid-October pre-AFI picks: 1. Joy 2. Spotlight 3. Steve Jobs 4. Carol 5. The Revenant 6. Brooklyn 7. Inside Out 8. Bridge of Spies 9. The Danish Girl 10. The Hateful Eight 11. Room 12. Mad Max: Fury Rod 13. Son of Saul 14. The Martian 15. Youth 16. Beasts of No Nation Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Bridge of Spies Carol Inside Out Joy Mad Max: Fury Road The Revenant Room Son of Saul Spotlight Steve Jobs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 in the heart of the sea - early screenings got excellent reviews so it has a shot at a nom esp if the box office is healthy enough. brooklyn looks vulnerable as box office will be shit. Where didyou see the excellent reviews for itHotS? Brooklyn's BO remains to be unveiled, but I think it will surprise many and be a hit, grossing over 30M). Anyways, Brooklyn is the type of film that can get traction with Oscars even with poor BO. Every year we have 1-3 films nominated despite grossing less than 20M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 revenant, hateful eight and joy need to be released too long before first reviews come. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Last March I predicted the sum of the BO gross of all nominees this year will let the average gross to be over 100M before the nominations are even announced. I am now more confident with this statement Inside Out 355M before nominations Hateful eight 130M Joy 120M Bridge of Spies 100M Steve Jobs 95M Revenant 85M Spotlight 55M Carol 35M Brooklyn 15M Room 10M Room, Revenant and Brooklyn can easily go higher Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 All of those except Inside Out, Brooklyn and Room (and maybe Steve Jobs) look like overpredictions to me. Hateful Eight and The Revenant will only have 1 week in wide release before the nominations, I don't think either will even break 40m at that point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Damn it! I read somewhere that nominations would be anounced 21st of January! New predictions to succeed with my bold statement! Martian in instead of Hateful 8 Inside Out 355M The Martian 200M Joy 105M Bridge of Spies 100M Steve Jobs 90M Revenant 45M Spotlight 45M Carol 35M Brooklyn 15M Room 10M There you go! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 My prediction for the overall total of nominations for some movies: The Revenant: 10 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) The Martian: 9 (Picture, Director, Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) The Hateful Eight: 8 (Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Score, Sound Editing) Mad Max: 8 (Cinematography, Editing, Costume Design, Production Design, Score, Makeup, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) Joy: 7 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing) Carol: 6 (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Costume Design) Inside Out: 5 (Picture, Original Screenplay, Animated Feature, Score, Sound Editing) Steve Jobs: 5 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay) Star Wars: 4 (Production Design, Score, Visual Effects, Sound Mixing) Bridge of Spies: 3 (Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay) Spotlight: 3 (Picture, Original Screenplay, Editing) I'm this close to putting Mad Max in for Picture and Director, but I still don't know if the bigger branches will go for it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 15, 2015 Author Share Posted October 15, 2015 Nice list-though I think Spies might also pick up editing and director for noms. Another film I could see getting 3 noms is Cinderella-production design, costumes and makeup. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Nice list-though I think Spies might also pick up editing and director for noms. Another film I could see getting 3 noms is Cinderella-production design, costumes and makeup. Editing is stacked this year, I don't know if it could get in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpeg.38f3d06407baa7da779f2df565471d88.jpeg)