The Panda Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I'm thinking the Martian could get in, its the kind of Sci-fi the Academy would like. This year could have a lot of 100m+ films nominated Inside Out The Martian The Hateful Eight Steve Jobs? The Revenant? Bridge of Spies? Joy? Mad Max Star Wars 7 The Good Dinosaur In the Heart of the Sea We could have a fairly populous year with all of those in contention. Obviously there are still films like Spotlight, Beasts of No Nation, Carol, Youth, Room, and such that have little chance at 100m+ So it could look like 1.Joy - 150m 2.Steve Jobs - 130m 3.The Revenant - 125m 4.Inside Out - 350m 5.The Martian - 200m 6.The Hateful Eight - 175m 7.Spotlight - 20m 8.Beasts of No Nation - 5m 9.Carol - 30m 10.Brooklyn - 25m 11.Star Wars - 650m 12.Mad Max - 150m 13.Room - 10m 14.In the Heart of the Sea - 115m 15.The Danish Girl - 25m Its looking like a competitive year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Joy, Revenant and H8ful eight can't all do THAT good. Even with staggered releases they're gonna compete for overlapping demos for their entire theatrical run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Joy, Revenant and H8ful eight can't all do THAT good. Even with staggered releases they're gonna compete for overlapping demos for their entire theatrical run. Hateful Eight is Tarantino so its not Oscar baity. Revenant has DiCaprio and Joy has JLaw. Oscar films did well in 2013 and 2012 and the movies look more commercially accessible this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Can't see H8ful outgrossing Django. Even IB is a stretch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 nominees: Steve Jobs Carol Joy The Revenant The Hateful Eight Room winner: Spotlight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 3, 2015 Author Share Posted October 3, 2015 The Martian was fantastic-would love to see it get nominated. Saw a trailer for Joy-it has a Fargo vibe for some reason-it looks like a dark comedy that will be nominated and will probably win screenplay, but not picture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 New predictions: 1. Steve Jobs 2. Joy 3. The Revenant 4. The Hateful Eight 5. Spotlight 6. Inside Out 7. Carol 8. The Martian 9. Room 10. Bridge of Spies Beasts of No Nation and The Danish Girl are #11 and #12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 (edited) the martian is locked for a nomination at least. 54m opening weekend and all round acclaim, on par with gravity. Edited October 3, 2015 by Halba 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 First predics 1. Spotlight 2. Joy 3. Bridge of Spies 4. Inside Out 5. The Danish Girl 6. The Revenant 7. Room 8. Brooklyn 9. Carol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 Hateful Eight is Tarantino so its not Oscar baity. Revenant has DiCaprio and Joy has JLaw. Oscar films did well in 2013 and 2012 and the movies look more commercially accessible this year. Many oscar films do well every year but that's not the point. Even in 2012 which had 8 of the 10 BP nominees grossing over 95m they were way more spread out in the season. Joy, Revenant and H8ful eight open wide almost one after the other so at least one of them will get the short end of the stick. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 (edited) Hateful Eight is Tarantino so its not Oscar baity. Revenant has DiCaprio and Joy has JLaw. Oscar films did well in 2013 and 2012 and the movies look more commercially accessible this year. inglorious basterds and django, his last 2 films, both at least got nominations for this category. but agree, not more than this possible. Edited October 4, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 the martian is locked for a nomination at least. 54m opening weekend and all round acclaim, on par with gravity. No. Gravity - 97%, 9/10 The Martian - 94%, 7.8/10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 First couple of reviews for Bridge of Spies leaked ahead of tonight's embargo. Apparently, it's quite good, nomination good, but not win good. Of course, that's a tiny sample size, but it seems like it could/should sneak in. And Rylance seems like the real deal contender here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 First couple of reviews for Bridge of Spies leaked ahead of tonight's embargo. Apparently, it's quite good, nomination good, but not win good. Of course, that's a tiny sample size, but it seems like it could/should sneak in. And Rylance seems like the real deal contender here. At leas it's quite good. I was getting worried based off what I've seen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 bridge of spies should get a nom at least. but no win, with rylance a nom. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 No. Gravity - 97%, 9/10 The Martian - 94%, 7.8/10 not much difference in the RT score, only 3%. but big difference in quality of movie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 It seems, so far, SPOTLIGHT stands the best chance at a BP win. I find it unconvincing (haven't seen it yet but it's a very small film..) but it may very well be our BP winner after all. I want JOY to win so bad. I hope it breaks the december CURSE.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 December curse? There are 20 films that have won opening in December. And that without counting recent films like The King Speech or The Artist, both of which could be almost counted as December films, due to their platform release in the last weekend of November... December is the month with the most wins! November has 14. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 It used to always be the best picture month but it has been over a decade since a proper december movie won. I think the fact that they moved the voting period up by a couple weeks probably hurts those movies a little. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Not really a problem. We have had 2/3/4 December films each year the last decade, and some are even questionable choices (EL&IC, War Horse). The problem came with the lack of a really strong contender. Last year it could have been Selma, but they failed to promote it well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
