Baumer's Summer Game - Darkelf #1, Grim22 #2, laguy03 #3..final words from baumer pg 95

[Mattrek]

Just for fun since we're getting close to the end:

Top 15:

1) Avengers 520m 15k -6k

2) Jurassic World 300m 15k -10k

3) Inside Out 290m 15k -5k

4) Ted 2 245m -10k -11k

5) Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation 235m 15k

6) Minions 215m 15k -9k

7) Pitch Perfect 2 170m 15k +10k

8) Terminator Genisys 160m 15k -6k

9) Fantastic Four 150m 15k

10) Antman 145m 15k +10k

11) Magic Mike 140m -10k -6k

12) San Andreas 125m 15k +5k

13) Trainwreck 120m 15k +10k

14) Paper Towns 110m -10k

15) Straight Outta Compton 105m

+at least 250k bonus = 367k so far

International Flair 1 (WW Top 10):

1) Avengers 1.6B +15k -20k

2) Jurassic World 1B +15k -20k

3) Minions 950m +15k

4) Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation 800m +15k

5) Inside Out 750m +15k

6) Ted 2 650m -15k -20k

7) Terminator Genisys 550m -15k -20k

8) Fantastic Four 475m

9) San Andreas 425m +15k +20k

10) Antman 400m +15k

= 35k so far

International Flair 2 (Top 5 WW Weekends):

1) Avengers 325m +25k

2) Jurassic World 275m +25k

3) Minions 200m +25k

4) Mission Impossible 175m +25k

5) Inside Out 150m +25k

+75k bonus = 200k bonus so far.

Lots still to tweak, but my top 15 and WW are absolutely atrocious.

[Chewy]

So how many of you had Pixels in your top 15? 

[4815162342]

So how many of you had Pixels in your top 15? 

 

I avoided that.

 

But I did have Tomorrowland, Terminator, and Ted 2 

 

And I have Fantastic 4 coming up 

 

There's also The Man From UNCLE coming up but I got faith. Looks baller.

Edited July 26, 2015 by 4815162342

[sakskidz]

i had pixels number 12 domestically and number 9 worldwide

[Mattrek]

So how many of you had Pixels in your top 15?

Only 6 users including myself did not have Pixels. Everyone else did.

[narniadis]

And yet another mistake on my game... I was just not with it this year.

[grim22]

Speculation time

 

This is what the top 15 looks like currently (more or less)

 

1. Jurassic World - $611,228,810
2. Avengers: Age of Ultron - $455,998,417
3. Inside Out - $306,247,046
4. Minions - $261,000,000
5. Pitch Perfect 2 - $183,436,380
6. San Andreas - $151,244,307
7. Mad Max: Fury Road - $150,986,661
8. Spy - $106,598,725
9. Ant-Man - 106,000,000

10. Tomorrowland - $91,755,697
11. Terminator: Genisys - $85,642,314
12. Ted 2 - $78,359,250

13. Trainwreck - $61,000,000

14. Magic Mike XXL - $60,584,009
15. Insidious Chapter 3 - $51,903,851

 

Contenders to get on to this list are Vacation, Rogue Nation, Fantastic Four, UNCLE, Compton. Don't think anything else in the rest of summer has a shot at grossing 50M or now. Ted 2 will almost surely miss out on the top 15 as Rogue Nation and Fantastic Four will most likely hit 80M. If Vacation pulls off a We Are The Millers, it will end up on the list as well. Compton will open well (maybe mid-30s), legs will be the question. UNCLE will open decently (maybe 30) and will rely on legs, both movies have little time though.

 

Right now, the top 15 prediction will be:

 

Locks:

Jurassic World

Avengers

Inside Out

Minions

PItch Perfect 2

San Andreas

Mad Max

Ant-Man

 

Almost locks:

Spy

Trainwreck

 

Fighting for the final 5 spots (as of today):

Tomorrowland

Genisys

Rogue Nation

Vacation

Fantastic Four

UNCLE

Compton

 

Extremely outside shot:

Ted 2 (if literally everything flops)

 

Despite their horrible underperformance, we may end up with both Tomorrowland and Genisys in the top 15 if 2 of the remaining 5 movies disappoint.

Edited July 26, 2015 by grim22

[BadAtGender]

Look at that spread between 4th and 5th. There could be a 150m gap. This summer really is feast or famine.

[Wrath]

Look at that spread between 4th and 5th. There could be a 150m gap. This summer really is feast or famine.

Yeah. If Minions or IO had disappointed a la Penguins of Madagascar, the 1+2 > 3 through 7 question actually might have happened which is pretty much unheard of.

[baumer]

This has to be one of the strangest summers for box office.

[MovieMan89]

Look at that spread between 4th and 5th. There could be a 150m gap. This summer really is feast or famine.

Terminator, Ted, and Tomorrowland are really the only "famine" ones. Everything else either went way above expectations or at least met expectations. Well, AoU was also below expectations, but still hard to really knock a movie that made 450m+.

Edited July 27, 2015 by MovieMan89

[#ED]

Missed both new SOTM. :/

[narniadis]

Would help is there were announcements in this thread, I forget to check the subforum half the time.

[BadAtGender]

Holy shit.

 

Bonus 3:  10.738  damienroc 10.665

 

I got a bonus!

I actually got a bonus!

[baumer]

This weeks questions are going to be up soon.

[Chewy]

I regret having Vacation in my top 15 and I regret having MI5 so high

 

But I have a lot of regrets in this year's game

[Ethan Hunt]

I regret having Vacation in my top 15 and I regret having MI5 so high

But I have a lot of regrets in this year's game

So does pretty much everyone else

[Mattrek]

I don't think Anyon will get any order bonus and I think the highest bonus for movies in the top 15 will be 11. This year has been awful for everyone.

[Dementeleus]

I'm actually going to get negative points for a film I correctly placed in the top 15. How absurd is that?

[Mattrek]

I'm actually going to get negative points for a film I correctly placed in the top 15. How absurd is that?

Pretty normal for this year actually. Pretty much everything except San Andreas and Ant-Man did way different then what most expected either by breaking out or flopping.