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Top ten films of 2016 predictions

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39 minutes ago, CelestialFairyIX said:

Just Disney alone I see around $3 billion domestically from them:

 

DISNEY:

 

1. Finding Dory, $167 / 500+ million --> WW, $1.2 - 1.4 billion

2. Rogue One, $155 / 425+ million --> WW $1 billion

3. Captain America: Civil War, $175 / 425+ million --> WW $1.2 - 1.6 billion

4. Zootopia, $74 / 280+ million --> WW $700 - 850 million

5. Moana, $67 - 80 / 280+ million --> WW $800 - 900 million

6. The Jungle Book, $100 / O/U 250 million --> WW $700 - 800 million

7. Alice Through the Looking Glass, $97 - 101 / 225 million --> WW $800 million - 1 billion

8. The BFG, $60 / 200+ million --> WW, $650 - 750 million

9. Doctor Strange, $50+ / 165+ million --> WW, 450 - 650 million

10. Pete's Dragon, $30+ / 120+ million --> WW, $250 - 350 million

11. The Finest Hours, $14 / 40+ million --> WW, $100 million

12 - 14. Born in China, The Queen of Katwe, and The Light Between Oceans, $100+ million altogether --> WW, $200 million 

 

~ around $3 billion domestic --> WW, $8 - 9.6 billion :D 

 

 

 

I know that location. :P

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11 minutes ago, DMan7 said:

 

Haven't seen that show in a looong time. I heard the new gen is pretty bad.

The anime got an upgrade, the games are pretty addicting, and the Pokemon are actually not piles of poop or gears so it's not that bad.  I mean, it's not reinvigorating like DPP but a strong offering nonetheless.  By the way, don't believe a word that comes out of IGN with their review for the Hoenn remakes.... 

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4 minutes ago, CelestialFairyIX said:

The anime got an upgrade, the games are pretty addicting, and the Pokemon are actually not piles of poop or gears so it's not that bad.  I mean, it's not reinvigorating like DPP but a strong offering nonetheless.  By the way, don't believe a word that comes out of IGN with their review for the Hoenn remakes.... 

 

What Hoenn remakes. The games?

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15 hours ago, dial999now said:

How the heck is that misogyny?!?!

 

I'm just judging by the overwhelming bad reaction to a reboot of Ghostbusters. I've never seen a reaction like it

 

Do you read internet comments? Much of the negative reaction has to do with them rebooting it with women. A Ghostbusters reboot has been in the cards for a long time (remember the idea of Murray and Ackroyd passing the torch to Paul Rudd and the like?) and not many had a problem with it until Paul Feig announced his all-female concept. At the very least there wasn't this level of vitriol. 

 

How many reboots have been successful? Batman Begins, Star Trek, Casino Royale, Rise of the Apes...nearly all of them. There's no logical reason to hate this movie before we've seen a single second of footage, especially with a proven director like Feig on board. If you think what I'm saying is mere conjecture just take a look around the interwebs and see...plenty of people hating on it for suspiciously bro-like reasons. 

Edited by tonytr87
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20 hours ago, Lizzy said:

 

Like I said most likely to low but my thinking is that Man of Steel ended sub 300M and I don't think it was so well received by fans. The fact that they're adding Batman feels a little to soon using the character again like when Sony rebooted the Spider-Man series, it's not bad but not very interesting. 
Thats still +70M on Winters Soldier which came of the well received Avengers, Captain America: Civil War is coming of AoU and that had dropped too. I don't think any comic book film is going to to better then say Avengers unless it's something that really feels different. 

 

 

Enter Suicide Squad. Not that I think it will do anywhere near TA, but I do think it is going to easily steal the spotlight from BvS and Civil War for CBM of the year. It is something really different for the genre. About as different as we've seen attempted. 

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4 hours ago, tonytr87 said:

 

Do you read internet comments? Much of the negative reaction has to do with them rebooting it with women. A Ghostbusters reboot has been in the cards for a long time (remember the idea of Murray and Ackroyd passing the torch to Paul Rudd and the like?) and not many had a problem with it until Paul Feig announced his all-female concept. At the very least there wasn't this level of vitriol. 

 

How many reboots have been successful? Batman Begins, Star Trek, Casino Royale, Rise of the Apes...nearly all of them. There's no logical reason to hate this movie before we've seen a single second of footage, especially with a proven director like Feig on board. If you think what I'm saying is mere conjecture just take a look around the interwebs and see...plenty of people hating on it for suspiciously bro-like reasons. 

 

Yes, you get the odd idiot woman-hater, but they are a vast minority

 

The main reason I dislike this reboot (other than a few cast choices) is the fact that it completely disregards the originals. It's ridiculous to call the movie Ghostbusters and just act like the movies never happened. Jurassic World, Star Wars, Star Trek etc, have all proved that continuity makes a difference.

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20 hours ago, Lizzy said:

 

Like I said most likely to low but my thinking is that Man of Steel ended sub 300M and I don't think it was so well received by fans. The fact that they're adding Batman feels a little to soon using the character again like when Sony rebooted the Spider-Man series, it's not bad but not very interesting. 

Thats still +70M on Winters Soldier which came of the well received Avengers, Captain America: Civil War is coming of AoU and that had dropped too. I don't think any comic book film is going to to better then say Avengers unless it's something that really feels different. 

 

 

Enter Suicide Squad. Not that I think it will do anywhere near TA, but I do think it is going to easily steal the spotlight from BvS and Civil War for CBM of the year. It is something really different for the genre. About as different as we've seen attempted. 

The concept is intetesting, but everything in the execution that I've seen so far looks crappy to me. I was excited about this until the teaser... It's probably just me, tought.

But you shouldn't think that because it's different it's necessarily going to bring in huge crowds. Doesn't seem like something to bring your kids to. It's cool though, that we're getting some very interesting new concepts for superhero movies next year:

BvS and CW with the inner battle, Deadpool with the R rating, Suicide Squad with the group of villains, Doctor Strange directed by a horror director, Gambit not really happening. All good stuff.

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Here's my final update

 

DOM

  1. Finding Dory - 510.4m
  2. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 500m
  3. Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice - 420.4m
  4. Captain America: Civil War - 408.3m
  5. Suicide Squad - 370.4m
  6. Moana - 320m
  7. Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them - 314.3m
  8. The Jungle Book - 242.4m
  9. The BFG - 230m
  10. Zootopia - 220.8m
  11. Doctor Strange - 216.4m
  12. The Secret Life of Pets - 216.2m
  13. Independence Day: Resurgence - 214.3m
  14. X-Men: Apocalypse - 195.1m
  15. Ghostbusters - 187.6m
  16. Deadpool - 174.6m
  17. Bourne 5 - 171.8m
  18. Kung Fu Panda 3 - 160.1m
  19. Star Trek Beyond - 152.7m
  20. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising - 146.8m
  21. Central Intelligence - 146.1m
  22. Alice Through the Looking Glass - 145.4m
  23. Passengers - 144.8m
  24. Sing! - 144.2m
  25. Bill Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 137.8m
  26. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - 137.2m
  27. Assassin's Creed - 131m
  28. The Magnificent Seven - 128m
  29. The Girl on the Train - 125.7m
  30. Jumanji (2016) - 122.1m
  31. The Boss - 121.4m
  32. Warcraft - 121.1m
  33. The Conjuring 2 - 111.4m
  34. Ice Age: Collision Course - 110.2m
  35. Miracles From Heaven - 109.2m
  36. The Divergent Series: Allegiant - 106.8m
  37. The Angry Birds Movie - 104m
  38. Let It Snow - 102.1m
  39. Inferno - 101m
  40. Ride Along 2 - 100m
  41. Storks - 97.5m
  42. Jack Reacher: Never Go Back - 96.1m
  43. The Great Wall - 95.2m
  44. Deepwater Horizon - 94.8m
  45. Trolls - 90.4m
  46. 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - 90m
  47. Pete's Dragon - 89.5m
  48. Ben-Hur - 81.4m
  49. Mother's Day - 75.2m
  50. The Witch - 74.4m
  51. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 71.2m
  52. God's Not Dead 2 - 69.6m
  53. Zoolander 2 - 68.6m
  54. The Purge 3 - 68.1m
  55. Now You See Me 2 - 66.4m
  56. Sausage Party - 66.2m
  57. The Finest Hours - 64.8m
  58. Risen - 60.5m

 

OWs

  1. Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice - 175.3m
  2. Captain America: Civil War - 168.7m
  3. Suicide Squad - 151.2m
  4. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 145.4m
  5. Finding Dory - 137.8m
  6. Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them - 125.7m
  7. Independence Day: Resurgence - 91.2m
  8. The Jungle Book - 78.2m
  9. X-Men: Apocalypse - 76.8m
  10. Doctor Strange - 75.4m
  11. Moana - 75.2m
  12. Deadpool - 74.3m
  13. Ghostbusters - 61.5m
  14. The Secret Life of Pets - 60.3m
  15. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising - 57.8m
  16. The BFG - 55.4m
  17. Zootopia - 54.5m
  18. Star Trek Beyond - 53.2m
  19. Alice Through the Looking Glass - 52.3m
  20. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - 51.8m
  21. The Conjuring 2 - 50.2m
  22. Bourne 5 - 48.9m
  23. Warcraft - 47.3m
  24. Kung Fu Panda 3 - 45.6m
  25. The Divergent Series: Allegiant - 42.7m
  26. The Magnificent 7 - 40.5m
  27. Ice Age: Collision Course - 36.5m 
  28. Central Intelligence - 35.8m 
  29. Jumanji (2016) - 35.4m
  30. The Boss - 35.2m
  31. Ride Along 2 - 34.7m
  32. Deepwater Horizon - 34.1m
  33. The Angry Birds Movie - 32.7m
  34. Assassin's Creed - 31.2m
  35. Sing! - 31m 
  36. Jack Reacher: Never Go Back - 30.5m
  37. 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - 29.5m
  38. The Great Wall - 29.3m 
  39. Trolls - 28.7m
  40. The Purge 3 - 28.5m
  41. Pete's Dragon - 27.8m
  42. Bill Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 27.5m
  43. The Girl on a Train - 27.2m 
  44. Let It Snow - 27m
  45. Inferno - 26.7m
  46. Ben-Hur - 26.5m
  47. Passengers - 26m
  48. Miracles From Heaven - 25.7m
  49. Storks - 25.2m
  50. Now You See Me 2 - 24.5m
  51. The Witch - 24.4m
  52. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 23.2m
  53. God's Not Dead 2 - 21.4m 
  54. Mother's Day - 20.5m 
  55. Risen - 20.1m
  56. Zoolander 2 - 18.7m
  57. Sausage Party - 17.8m
  58. The Finest Hours - 17.5m
Edited by The Panda
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Here are my predictions.

01. Batman Vs. Superman

$175m, $500m

02. Rogue One

$144m, $475m

03. Captain America: Civil War

$151m, $445m

04. Finding Dory

$130m, $430m

05. Suicide Squad

$84m, $355m

06. Fantastic Beasts 

$118m, $337m

07. X Men: Apocalypse 

$100m, $333m

08. Alice Through The Looking Glass 

$77m, $318m

09. Moana

$81m, $308m

10. Zootopia

$71m, $252m

11. Star Trek: Beyond

$68m, $242m

12. Doctor Stange

$63m, $238m

13. Ghostbusters

$65m, $234m

14. Secret Life Of Pets

$70m, $233m

15. Independence Day 2

$83m, $232m

16. The Jungle Book

$51m, $218m

17. Warcraft 

$56m, $214m

18. Angry Birds Movie

$48m, $193m

19. Kung Fu Panda 3

$55m, $188m

20. Ride Along 2

$61m, $182m

21. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2

$50m, $174m

22. Deadpool

$64m, $173m

23. Passengers

$48m, $161m

24. Bourne 5

$47m, $151m

25. Assassin's Creed

$40m, $151m

 

The Batman and Superman movie will probably end up being the highest grosser of 2016, as Captain America will probably burn off a little bit faster, as most Marvel films do. Finding Dory will be the biggest animated hit of the year, and Disney overall will have all three of its animated flicks as the Top 3 highest grossing animations of the year, while Illumination's Secret Life Of Pets won't be very far behind. Rogue One will of course be a champion of December, but it's almost impossible for it to have a record breaking rampage like Force Awakens has. In fact, no movie this year will do that well. Billion dollar movies will be: Batman Vs Superman, Captain America, Finding Dory, Rogue One, and potentially Fantastic Beasts. 

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4 hours ago, The Panda said:

Alice Through the Looking Glass - 145.4m


I don't agree with your entire list (though most of it seems on point) but this doesn't make much sense to me. The first one made $335 million, you really think this one will drop almost 60%? I think it has to do at least $100 million more than that. 

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1. Rogue One ------------------------------ $163 million / $529 million


2. Finding Dory ---------------------------- $139 million / $466 million

 

3. Captain America: Civil War ----------- $165 million / $421 million


4. Batman v Superman ------------------- $159 million / $408 million


5. Fantastic Beasts ------------------------ $122 million / $328 million

 
6. Suicide Squad ----------------------------$104 million / $290 million


7. Moana ------------------------------------ $85 million / $276 million

 
8. ID: Resurgence ------------------------- $96 million / $274 million


9. The Jungle Book ------------------------ $75 million / $261 million


10. Doctor Strange ------------------------ $78 million / $253 million
 

Edited by VenomXXR
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1 hour ago, VenomXXR said:

I don't agree with your entire list (though most of it seems on point) but this doesn't make much sense to me. The first one made $335 million, you really think this one will drop almost 60%? I think it has to do at least $100 million more than that. 

 

Not out of the question. See Ted 2 dropping 63% from Ted 1.

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On 29/12/2015 at 8:17 AM, dial999now said:

I'm just judging by the overwhelming bad reaction to a reboot of Ghostbusters. I've never seen a reaction like it

 I have. That's what online internet trolls do: dump on everything.

The funniest part is that they actually convince themselves that their "overwhelmingly bad reaction" is the reaction of general audiences. That's why they continue believing things like, "OMG...I have never seen people react to a movie like this!" ("people" being a very vocal internet minority that does not reflect the GA.)

 

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5 hours ago, VenomXXR said:


I don't agree with your entire list (though most of it seems on point) but this doesn't make much sense to me. The first one made $335 million, you really think this one will drop almost 60%? I think it has to do at least $100 million more than that. 

 

It's been a while, it's opening against Apocalypse, it's a sequel nobody wanted, and much of Alice's original success was due to being the first film to hop on board the 3D craze post-Avatar and being the first blockbuster post-Avatar.

 

Maybe I'll be wrong, but a massive drop seems incoming.

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