Impact Posted September 5, 2012 Author Share Posted September 5, 2012 Dang this is a best picture winner if I've ever heard of one:http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=robotandfrank.htm:lol:Yeah that poster made me laugh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Okay:2005-BP winner was under 100M2006-Over 100M2007-Under 100M2008-Over 100M2009-(way) under 100M2010-Over 100M2011-(Quite a bit) under 100MSo 2012 should be over ;)The every 3 years thing has been gone since Hurt Locker won (Where the highest grossing BP nominatioin wins BP)Stats are made to be broken. But going by this, we can probably rule of The Master (There's no way this gets to 100M), Argo (It could make it to 100M, but I don't see it), Beasts, Zero Dark Thirty, Django Unchained (Might reach 100M, might, very slim chance), and just about every other possible contender. Leaving the ones that have at least decent chance of 100M: Les Mis(I'll say over for now, but I honestly have no idea what this is going to do), Life of Pi(Benefit of the doubt), Hobbit (If it gets nominated, which is in and out of itself doubtful), and LIncoln. Not a very exciting field of possible winners. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 5, 2012 Author Share Posted September 5, 2012 (edited) Well when someone brought that up in 2010 someone mentioned that outside of True Grit, Inception, TS3 and a couple of other films that were not nominated it seemed unlikely. Edited September 5, 2012 by Impact Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 5, 2012 Author Share Posted September 5, 2012 Well when someone brought that up in 2010 someone mentioned that outside of True Grit, Inception, TS3 and a couple of other films that were not nominated it seemed unlikely.Yeah they did say True Grit even if it did not have a major chance at the time.TKS was not considered a 100M film though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Yeah they did say True Grit even if it did not have a major chance at the time.TKS was not considered a 100M film though.I always thought that TKS was gonna get close to if not over 100M a la Slumdog 2 years before that. It was British, well received, feel good, it practically had the exact same things going for it that Slumdog did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 5, 2012 Author Share Posted September 5, 2012 In October 2010 it was not exactly being considered for 100M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 The Master Lincoln Les Miserable Argo Life of Pi Zero Dark Thirty Beasts of Southern Wild Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Sorry. Couldn't resist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Funny thing out of Venice today: The jury gave The Master the Golden Lion (best film), Best Director and a joint Best Actor (PSH/Phoenix) prize, but festival organizers thought that was overkill (because no movie has ever swept Venice like that) and gave Best Film to Pieta (runner-up). http://www.hitfix.com/in-contention/venice-awards-on-the-way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 1. The Master2. Les Miserables3. Django Unchained4. Argo5. Lincoln6. Life Of Pi7. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey8. Zero Dark Thirty9. Beasts Of The Southern Wild10. Moonrise Kingdom Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Only 1 film in history has won the Golden Lion and best picture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 The Master will be number 2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 The other one was Hamlet, so yeah tough luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 The Master didn't win the Gold Lion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Wait it said so in the post...wait I'm confused it says the jury gave it to it and then the runner up??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 The jury wanted to give it the Gold Lion, but there's a rule that says films at the Venice fest can't win more than 2 awards so they gave it to the runner-up instead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Okay that is odd.Anyway-way too soon to count our chickens ;)I think if it wins any major awards it will be actor.And for Amy Adams though it would be for 2 films for her. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Well ya shouldn't count it out because y'know... Weinsteins.Also Phillip Seymour Hoffman looks like a very strong contender as well since he tied Venice's Best Actor award with Pheonix. And he'll probably get pushed to supporting. Wouldn't be surprised to see the movie win for both performances. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Well ya shouldn't count it out because y'know... Weinsteins.Also Phillip Seymour Hoffman looks like a very strong contender as well since he tied Venice's Best Actor award with Pheonix. And he'll probably get pushed to supporting. Wouldn't be surprised to see the movie win for both performances.I agree with Hoffman being pushed supporting, because:A) It's Harvey, he's not stupid enough to put 2 performances against each other in lead. It's not happened in Actor since 1984 for Amadeus, and for any lead category it's been since 1991 for Thelma and Louise. And, both those fiilms were a lot more accessible than The Master (Well, Thelma and Louise is debatable ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 9, 2012 Author Share Posted September 9, 2012 I would not be surprised by a pic/director split. It has been a while.Considering outside of The Master, it seems like all of the major contenders this year are directed by a Oscar winner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
