JackO Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 20 Weeks of Oscar, 20 Weeks to Go If you want a “The Year Of…” tag, here it is. This is the Year Of The Close Fight. http://moviecitynews.com/2012/10/20-weeks-to-oscar-20-weeks-to-go-2/ That is true. This is a great year for high quality movies. There are definitely gonna be some angry snubs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 SLP is a lock for top 8-9. It isn`t a lock for Top 5 (means BP + BD).SLP is top 3 right now. Bigelow only threat right now and no one has seen her film. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 12, 2012 Author Share Posted October 12, 2012 Meh sorry this year is boring to me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 SLP is a lock for top 8-9. It isn`t a lock for Top 5 (means BP + BD).This statement is simply not true. There have been many, many years back in the 5 BP days where one film got a BP nom and no BD nom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 I still think it's going to be Argo. Les Mis will walk away with the most awards though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 12, 2012 Author Share Posted October 12, 2012 This statement is simply not true. There have been many, many years back in the 5 BP days where one film got a BP nom and no BD nom.Exactly I have said that many times.Before 2009 the last times it happened where all 5 matched:200820051981 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 Meh sorry this year is boring to me I find this year way more interesting. The movies are way more appealing to me than last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 1. Les Miserables2. Argo3. Lincoln4. Silver Linings Playbook5. Life of Pi6. Amour7. Zero Dark Thirty8. The Master9. The Sessions10. Beasts of the Southern Wild11. Django Unchained12. Flight13. Moonrise Kingdom14. The Impossible15. Anna Karenina16. Hitchcock17. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey18. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel19. Promised Land20. The Intouchables21. The Grey ( it's too good for the academy anyway!) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 I'll go with Les Miserables, Argo, Silver Linings Playbook, The Master, Life of Pi and Lincoln as locks / near-locks for now. Other possibilities are The Hobbit if it's good enough to fill the blockbuster void, Django if it's an IB-like certain success, Amour if the academy loves it and doesn't get turned off by the unfliching harshness of the material, Flight if it fulfills its promise as Zemeckis' live-action comeback, Moonrise Kingdom as the summer indie hit which will remain one of the most critically acclaimed of the year no matter what, and The Sessions as a script and performance-driven, small but strong all-around The Kids Are All Right sort of film. At this point I'd be really surprised if some other movie I haven't mentioned here ultimately got in, unless ZDT and Promised Land are surprisingly great. So that should mean a minimum of 6 BP nominees with a very potentially hard choice of directors (I think Hooper, Affleck, Russell, PTA, Spielberg and Lee all have similarly strong chances right now, and what if QT and/or Haneke manage to muscle in as well?) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 (edited) Locks Argo Silver Linings Playbook Life of Pi The Master Likely Les Miserables Beasts of the Southern Wild Lincoln Django Unchained Moonrise Kingdom Zero Dark Thirty Edited October 13, 2012 by Don Niam The Stingray Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 12, 2012 Author Share Posted October 12, 2012 When should I start the thread for what will have the most nominations? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 When should I start the thread for what will have the most nominations?I don't see how it is possible for Les Mis to get anything less than the most noms. Musicials tend to get a lot of noms to begin with and this is like the mother of all musicals to have come out in some time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 13, 2012 Author Share Posted October 13, 2012 Yes I do agree-then again everyone was most certain Avatar would have a lot more nominations then Hurt Locker.Still should I start the poll?So far I have:Les MisLincolnHobbitLife of PiWhat else be good choices? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 13, 2012 Author Share Posted October 13, 2012 Yes I do agree-then again everyone was most certain Avatar would have a lot more nominations then Hurt Locker.Still should I start the poll?So far I have:Les MisLincolnHobbitLife of PiWhat else be good choices?Possibly Argo. (Though I don't see it getting that many tech noms outside of editing and possibly cinematography) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 Possibly Argo. (Though I don't see it getting that many tech noms outside of editing and possibly cinematography)Definitely no, even if it gets a shit load of techs there's no way it'll get the most noms with only one and possibly no acting noms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 13, 2012 Author Share Posted October 13, 2012 Yeah I can't see it having the most-then again as I said nobody predicted Hurt Locker to be tied with Avatar.So what else could I add? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 Yes I do agree-then again everyone was most certain Avatar would have a lot more nominations then Hurt Locker.Still should I start the poll?So far I have:Les MisLincolnHobbitLife of PiWhat else be good choices?The Master, though may not be for long as it's stock keeps dropping. 3 acting noms, screenplay, prod design, editing, cinematography, editing and score. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 The Master, though may not be for long as it's stock keeps dropping. 3 acting noms, screenplay, prod design, editing, cinematography, editing and score.That would give it about 11 noms, quite amazing for a PTA movie. Though, I am loosing faith in Amy Adams, Picture, and some of the techs. I've already kicked PTA out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 At this point, I'm really rooting for les mis and SLP. Since the master is pretty much out of the race (unfortunately) and I don't think Argo is a Bp winner, these two films are my only hopes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted October 13, 2012 Share Posted October 13, 2012 Oh, and ZDT. That looks incredible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
