RichWS Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 I could give you dozens of movies who had weak BO and made tons of Oscars.This argument is moot, tired,wrong and cliché.Get your facts straight please.Moot, tired, wrong AND cliche? I guess I'll give you tired cause I'm a nice guy. If you think SLP can top out at $30-40M and have a legitimate shot against Argo, Lincoln or Les Mis in February, then I say God bless and good luck to you. You're gonna need a shit ton of blessings and luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted November 21, 2012 Author Share Posted November 21, 2012 Current:ArgoFlightLes M.Life of PiLincolnMoonrise (Just a feeling that this will be this years MIP)Silver LiningThat is a whole lot of L's! You know depending on the number of nominees-it is possible we see a film nominated for director without a pic nom... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 There are movies that can make little money at the Box Office and still compete at the Oscars and there are movies that can't. Lincoln could have made $15 million and still be able to compete because of the story and people invloved. A movie like Cloud Atlas can't, Life Of Pi can't and even a movie like SLP can't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted November 22, 2012 Author Share Posted November 22, 2012 A friends status mentoined how he enjoyed Flight and hope it wins BP. Then today he goes "I saw Lincoln now I'm torn"This guy actually works on some small filmshttp://www.facebook.com/?ref=logo#!/daniel.lusko Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted November 22, 2012 Author Share Posted November 22, 2012 Currently I think Lincoln will win:PictureDirectorEditingCostumesand maybe 1 or 2 other tech wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 SLP should get great WOM to land as a 'frontrunner'. My audience loved it, and it seems others are as well. Really hope this film can ride momentum to Oscar night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Travod Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Not sure I would enjoy SLP winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 My personal pick: Cloud Atlas wins Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Makeup, Film Editing, Cinematography, and Score....and that will never happen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 SLP should get great WOM to land as a 'frontrunner'. My audience loved it, and it seems others are as well. Really hope this film can ride momentum to Oscar night.I take it you're on Team SLP 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I take it you're on Team SLP Hell yes. It totally blew me away. I'm all for it, at least until I see how ZDT turns out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Let me say that I by no means think it will win best picture, but should be in consideration at least. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 (edited) It's the most wonderful time of the year! (read that like the Christmas song). Edited November 22, 2012 by RichWS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I have a feeling this will be like 2010 where I really love a lot of the films and wouldn't mind any of them winning. SLP is this year's Fighter for me. The Master is Black Swan, Argo is TSN (I really didn't love it until after the Oscars), Lincoln will probably The King's Speech. Ok, I'm gonna stop now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I loved Argo and Lincoln, and I'd be cool with either one winning. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I try not to attach myself to who wins/doesn't win Oscars but SLP winning seems like such a waste to me in the same year as so many instant classics. It's a smart rom-com but not BP-worthy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Argo's peaked. I think that being still about 4.5 months out that Lincoln could possibly peak too early along with SLP. I'm thinking Zero Dark Thirty, Life of Pi, Django, and Les Miserables are in a much better position time wise than Lincoln.I don't like Les Mis' chances as much as before. Django really has no chance at BP. ZDT is probably in barring disaster. Ang Lee is in from reviews and film.Bigelow is head of directors branch at AMPAS. Everybody loves AffleckRussell has crowdpleaser and takes risks in a genre known for safety.And Spielberg is Speilberg with an zeitgeist film.If Les Mis misses director, it will be dangerous to it's Oscar chances and a sweep is out of the question. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 SLP should get great WOM to land as a 'frontrunner'. My audience loved it, and it seems others are as well. Really hope this film can ride momentum to Oscar night.It depends on rollout. It could easily become frontrunner in Dec if it catches fire this weekend. But right now, realistically, it is lagging behind Lincoln and Argo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I hate to keep repeating it: It's all about box office now. If SLP wants to be one of the serious players, it needs to make bank. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 It depends on rollout. It could easily become frontrunner in Dec if it catches fire this weekend. But right now, realistically, it is lagging behind Lincoln and Argo. I hate to keep repeating it: It's all about box office now. If SLP wants to be one of the serious players, it needs to make bank.All true. Weinstein needs to buck up and expand this mother quickly. Expand while you have WOM on your side. I'd say next weekend or the weekend after. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I try not to attach myself to who wins/doesn't win Oscars but SLP winning seems like such a waste to me in the same year as so many instant classics. It's a smart rom-com but not BP-worthy.The only instant classic I've seen this year is The Master. Argo didn't do it for me. Technically The Master is the best film of the year, but SLP had more heart and I 'enjoyed' it more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
