Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)

[Dementeleus]

Okay, following up on my post from awhile go, there's now a thread to discuss college football. Take the game discussion there.

 

CFB can be discussed here, within the narrow context of how it directly affects the box office. So if you want to talk demographics, ratings, etc, that's fine. Anything else -- game analysis, team discussion, last year's games, commenting on live play once the games start, etc -- should go in the CFB thread. If it shows up here, we'll remove it.

[terrestrial]

Thank you!

 

 

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

JOY earned $2.62M on Wednesday. 6-day domestic total is $25.1M. #Joy

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS: THE ROAD CHIP earned $4.2M on Wednesday. Domestic total is now $52.4M. #AlvinAndTheChipmunks #TheRoadChip

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

DADDY'S HOME earned an estimated $6.7M on Wednesday. 6-day domestic total is $58.8M. #DaddysHome

 

 

 

[K1stpierre]

 

 

 

Soooooo yeah..........

 

[K1stpierre]

 

 

 

Joking aside, what numbers should we expect for today?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

17 minutes ago, Sagemode87 said:

Don't think it's them being conservative. The movie can't stay hot forever, has to lose steam at some point.

I think it's very conservative. They're predicting it pulls in the same amount as it did Mon-Wed. Last weekend was almost 30% over last Mon-Wed. Even if this weekend is only 10% higher that's still $98 million; $30 million over Avatar's 3rd weekend.

[POTUS 2020]

32 minutes ago, Caladbolg said:

 

BOM going more conservative this weekend, not predicting a $100m+  3rd wknd

BO.com under 100m too. Typical reaction to being over 10-20% last week and under the weekend before.

[75Live]

3 minutes ago, K1Rey said:

 

 

 

Joking aside, what numbers should we expect for today?

 

well to be very specific, not so good numbers  

[GiantCALBears]

6 minutes ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said:

Okay, following up on my post from awhile go, there's now a thread to discuss college football. Take the game discussion there.

 

CFB can be discussed here, within the narrow context of how it directly affects the box office. So if you want to talk demographics, ratings, etc, that's fine. Anything else -- game analysis, team discussion, last year's games, commenting on live play once the games start, etc -- should go in the CFB thread. If it shows up here, we'll remove it.

Thanks for the clarification. Sorry to the forum for my major contribution in that mess.

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

8 minutes ago, K1Rey said:

 

 

Joking aside, what numbers should we expect for today?

$20 million is the target I'd think

[Marek the Jedi]

27 minutes ago, Sagemode87 said:

Don't think it's them being conservative. The movie can't stay hot forever, has to lose steam at some point. 

 

they are very very very conservative, 89m is very LOW END what SW7 can do this weekend...

[terrestrial]

Paramount:
Daddy's Home           $6,680,000     -5%     3,271    --      $2,042    $58,802,000    
The Big Short            $1,944,000     -1%     1,585    0       $1,226    $21,887,000    

 

FOX:
Alvin ... Road Chip      $4,210,625     -9%     3,705    52    $1,136    $52,366,640    
Joy                            $2,619,598     -8%    2,896    --         $905    $25,096,460    
Brooklyn                       $282,452      4%      300    -243      $942    $19,230,233    
Peanuts                        $175,840      -1%      359    -261      $490    $128,096,758    
The Martian                  $131,168       1%      279    -150      $470    $225,230,402
The Revenant (2015)     $103,623      -1%          4    --      $25,906    $800,384        
Youth                             $69,609     -1%       149    88         $467    $1,210,513    
Maze Runner: ST               $7,892    10%        59    -51        $134    $81,625,246    

 

Weinstein:
The Hateful Eight         $3,533,121    256%    1,958    --    $1,804    $10,187,963    
Carol                             $241,278        6%       180   164  $1,340    $3,563,748    
Macbeth (2015)                $14,712      14%        30    -67    $490    $847,822    
Burnt                                   $175      35%         3    -7        $58    $13,594,566  

 

Lionsgate:
HG Mockingjay 2           $1,303,498      -4%    1,813    -840    $719    $268,547,959
Love the Coopers               $27,516     -7%       245    -348    $112    $26,025,018    
Sicario (2015)                    $11,590    12%        72    -62      $161    $46,763,689    
The Last Witch Hunter          $3,352     8%         30    -64      $112    $27,365,584    

 

[GiantCALBears]

Shouldn't we be getting an official estimate/actual soon, or does the holiday affect that? How long ago did rth/dhd post/change their estimates?

[Chaz]

1 hour ago, Baumer Fett said:

Sisters is going to one of those 75-80 million dollar hits that we look back on in 5 years and have no recollection of it but somehow it put up good numbers.

I loved it tbh

[terrestrial]

As not all might remember the details of BO.com's forecast

reasons given...

here to find

http://pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2015-12-weekend-forecast-star-wars-the-force-awakens-the-hateful-eight-daddys-home

re-post:

 

Star Wars: The Force Awakens	Dec 18, 2015	Disney	$98,000,000	$751,000,000
The Hateful Eight	Dec 25, 2015	Weinstein Company	$25,000,000	$42,700,000
Daddy's Home	Dec 25, 2015	Paramount	$23,000,000	$87,500,000
Sisters	Dec 18, 2015	Universal	$12,700,000	$63,000,000
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip	Dec 18, 2015	Fox	$12,000,000	$67,300,000
Joy	Dec 25, 2015	Fox	$10,300,000	$38,300,000
The Big Short	Dec 11, 2015	Paramount	$8,300,000	$32,300,000
Concussion (2015)	Dec 25, 2015	Sony / Columbia	$6,500,000	$24,000,000
Point Break (2015)	Dec 25, 2015	Warner Bros.	$5,000,000	$20,800,000
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2	Nov 20, 2015	Lionsgate	$4,200,000	$273,700,000
Creed	Nov 25, 2015	Warner Bros. / New Line	$3,300,000	$102,800,000
The Good Dinosaur	Nov 25, 2015	Disney	$3,200,000	$113,500,000

[POTUS 2020]

The biggest demo for the games will be 17-35 mostly males which is the biggest for NYE parties(and women). Not a good day for the games. 

SW7 skews above 25 with a good portion of the fan base above 35. With women and older men and I assume most fan boys not interested the games, I see a vast majority of the fan base not interested in the game. The drop for NYE is already accounted for since we have an overlap. Yall are over righting the ship for the AOU boondoggle.

Anyone up for an o/u -25% $10 donation

I will take less than 25% drop.

Edited December 31, 2015 by No Prisoners

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

8 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

Shouldn't we be getting an official estimate/actual soon, or does the holiday affect that? How long ago did rth/dhd post/change their estimates?

Disney is reporting $28.1 million, that's on Deadline's website in their last update. Not sure when BOM and other's will add it to their totals.

[terrestrial]

11 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

Shouldn't we be getting an official estimate/actual soon, or does the holiday affect that? How long ago did rth/dhd post/change their estimates?

You might have missed it (in so many OT posts... not only about sport = not to bitch, but to point out that those also are often the reason to 'loose' infos...)

Baumer, me and... posted in severel per day threads already: some studios give details during the holidays (~), some not at all, some adjusted estimates early on....

As far as I know / understood the formulations latest at 4 January all the real actuals will be released, as far as studios even release those. Not all of them do it daily or....

= doesn't mean all of them are estimates.

And the adjusted estimates seem pretty near to the finals, as far as we got them to compare to later released ones

 

The Numbers is the only one who has SW 7 up (since quite some time, btw, see the graphic charts I posted some pages back), but it's in green color = estimate And the only number they have updated already.

All the ones beside that are from BO.com, who are usually the earliest to give them incl percentages.

Edited December 31, 2015 by terrestrial

[terrestrial]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS officially earned $28.09M on Wednesday. Domestic total is $629.04M. #StarWars #TheForceAwakens

[terrestrial]

Disney:
Star Wars 7                        $28,085,057    -5%    4,134        0    $6,794    $629,034,583    
The Good Dinosaur               $1,408,738    -4%    2,134    -621      $660    $109,498,575    

 

[#ED]

Over 28M. That's actually good.