CJohn Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Guys, I am revealing my top 10 of 2015 now here: Only 3 movies to go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 3 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: If there is one thing I've learned from following the BO, its that records you think are unbeatable or out of reach (non adjusted) seem to fall a lot quicker than expected. For a long time people thought Titanic wouldn't be beat for decades & it only took 12 years. True but what SW7 is doing is pretty unprecedented. It's going to sell 100M+ tickets nobody has been close since Titanic and I'm not sure when the next movie will do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Lol 9pm and not even faux estimates lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Just now, Lordmandeep said: Lol 9pm and not even faux estimates lol Everyone is still hungover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Just now, Darth Rallax said: Only 12 years? That's a long-ass time. Doesn't seem so long when we are discussing the entire history of movies & the BO. Who saw ET beating ANH as quickly as it did? Same w/ Avatar over Titanic? No one & thats my point despite both of those films having significant leads over the #2 all time domestic holders. Records are made to be broken when inflation is involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 (edited) 3 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: Doesn't seem so long when we are discussing the entire history of movies & the BO. Who saw ET beating ANH as quickly as it did? Same w/ Avatar over Titanic? No one & thats my point despite both of those films having significant leads over the #2 all time domestic holders. Records are made to be broken when inflation is involved. "We all thought TFA's DOM was invincible but just look at the Avatar sequels all beat it within 5 years of TFA's release " - FutureCalBears Edited January 2, 2016 by IronJimbo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 JW did 75m-80m tickets & thats after JP3 almost killed the franchise. You never know where/when the next monster is going to come from. Except for TFA which even had some wall st analysts before the release predicting $1b domestic. 12 minutes ago, druv10 Maul said: True but what SW7 is doing is pretty unprecedented. It's going to sell 100M+ tickets nobody has been close since Titanic and I'm not sure when the next movie will do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 While we wait for estimates follow my top 3 reveal now. Jurassic World hasn't show up. Is the movie even in my top 10 at all? Find out soon. NUMBER 3 IS COMING OUT IN JUST A FEW SECONDS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said: JW did 75m-80m tickets & thats after JP3 almost killed the franchise. You never know where/when the next monster is going to come from. Except for TFA which even had some wall st analysts before the release predicting $1b domestic. Erm I'm pretty sure I know :> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 2, 2016 Author Share Posted January 2, 2016 I don't think we will be getting any estimates tonight. I'm not going to be audacious enough to text our Asgardian deity tonight. And he did not come on last night so I wouldn't be surprised if we don't get anything until late late tonight or tomorrow....or ask Tele to ask him 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 4 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: JW did 75m-80m tickets & thats after JP3 almost killed the franchise. You never know where/when the next monster is going to come from. Except for TFA which even had some wall st analysts before the release predicting $1b domestic. JW's below the TA1/TDK/SM1/Shrek2 and Avatar in admissions. Also, 75M admissions isn't close to 100-105M admissions SW7 will have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I am going with 37-38 mil friday. Thats about a 65% rise. TFA has been exceeding expectations all along on weekdays (maybe with the only except of Wed dec 30) however its weekends have fallen a little under what we expected after the thursday previews. While logically the weekend increase should take it a little over 40, I think it stays a little lower than that. I think we see a slight bump saturday to maybe 39.5, then a hardish fall sunday to about 28mil. That would be able a 105 mil weekend and a 30% drop from last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 minute ago, Baumer Fett said: I don't think we will be getting any estimates tonight. I'm not going to be audacious enough to text our Asgardian deity tonight. And he did not come on last night so I wouldn't be surprised if we don't get anything until late late tonight or tomorrow....or ask Tele to ask him He's been spotted lurking around man, good chance we get a number & if not TEXT THE MAN! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasanahmad Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 2 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I don't think we will be getting any estimates tonight. I'm not going to be audacious enough to text our Asgardian deity tonight. And he did not come on last night so I wouldn't be surprised if we don't get anything until late late tonight or tomorrow....or ask Tele to ask him rth was online 30 minutes ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 11 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: Doesn't seem so long when we are discussing the entire history of movies & the BO. Who saw ET beating ANH as quickly as it did? Same w/ Avatar over Titanic? No one & thats my point despite both of those films having significant leads over the #2 all time domestic holders. Records are made to be broken when inflation is involved. Apart from Gone with the Winds reign at #1, Titanic's 12 years is longer than any other movie. Titanic beat ANH's re-released total by about 30% in it's initial run. TFA will beat Avatar by about the same margin. I think TFA might have a 15-20 year reign on the domestic crown if it beat's Avatar by, let's say, $400 million (which would be the very top end of estimates, more likely is closer to $300 million). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 minute ago, druv10 Maul said: JW's below the TA1/TDK/SM1/Shrek2 and Avatar in admissions. Also, 75M admissions isn't close to 100-105M admissions SW7 will have. No one at the beginning of 2015 expected JW to get even halfway to TFA (that maybe generous) that's my counter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 NUMBER 3 IS HERE http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/20846-cjohns-top-10-best-of-2015-the-os-edition/?page=5#comment-2336106 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 4 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: Apart from Gone with the Winds reign at #1, Titanic's 12 years is longer than any other movie. Titanic beat ANH's re-released total by about 30% in it's initial run. TFA will beat Avatar by about the same margin. I think TFA might have a 15-20 year reign on the domestic crown if it beat's Avatar by, let's say, $400 million (which would be the very top end of estimates, more likely is closer to $300 million). You could absolutely be correct, this discussion started because someone mentioned it would take 30 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 3 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: No one at the beginning of 2015 expected JW to get even halfway to TFA (that maybe generous) that's my counter. True but very few thought SW7 could beat Avatar much less beat it by 30M+ admissions. Inflation might help someone beat SW7's domestic gross but the 100M+ admissions isn't going to be easy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 1 hour ago, Amadeus said: The sad thing is that this will be the biggest thing ever domestic. Nothing can possibly overtake this after it crosses the $920+ mark. At least not for another 30 years of inflation. I hope I'm wrong and that cameron will prove me wrong, making a fantastic movie with avatar 2. I'm perfectly fine with a competently made SW film being #1 that long. I'd certainly take it over JW and Avatar. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
