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Weekend Actuals: The Force Awakens - 90.2M !!!

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19 minutes ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said:

 

Fudging is different than over-estimating, though. With the latter, you're just over-estimating (either innocently or to snag the Sunday headlines). With fudging, you're actually reporting an actual that's technically inaccurate, and you play with the actual site over the next few days to cover. 

 

hence the reason I added the lines above the charts.

I think people got used to throw around the term fudge via The Incident ($100m) and repeatedly overestimation of OW

= too many seem to have the impression about the actuals fudging being something way more often happening than it seem to be (rarely).

 

13 minutes ago, Elessar said:

Titanic would have done at least 1200m today with inflation (incl. 3D, IMAX etc).

 

No way.

If you add one detail out of another time... you have to look into all differences between those times and add them too.

 

5 minutes ago, Kalo said:

... I'm still not sure it won't pass Avatar WW, it hasn't even opened in China yet. 

 

I don't think it will pass especially bcs I don't think it will earn there as much as some seem to think

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1 minute ago, ecstasy said:

Funny when JW beat Avengers nobody was ready for that. So factions for either side had no time to prepare.

Nothing much to say. JW defeated Avengers DOM and WW. Both were released just 3 years apart, so no inflation nonsense, and both had 3D and IMAX 3D. And even with Star Wars destroying both, both still had amazing runs. 

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1 minute ago, CJohn said:

Nothing much to say. JW defeated Avengers DOM and WW. Both were released just 3 years apart, so no inflation nonsense, and both had 3D and IMAX 3D. And even with Star Wars destroying both, both still had amazing runs. 

True.

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NORTH AMERICA: Early Weekend Estimates: 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens' Claims New Year's Record, Tops 'Titanic' & 'Jurassic World' for #2 All-Time w/ $686M Total; 'Daddy's Home' Adds Strong $29M Sophomore Frame; 'The Hateful Eight' Eyes Modest $16.7M

Please note that some studios remain closed for the holiday weekend and are only reporting estimates from the past week. Actuals will be reported on Monday, January 4.

Star Wars: The Force Awakens added another record to its files yesterday with $34.46 million, the best New Year's Day gross by any movie in history (besting Avatar's $25.3 million by 36 percent). That brings Force's domestic total up to $686.43 million in just 15 days, sending it past Jurassic World ($652.3 million) and Titanic ($658.7 million) to become the second highest grossing North American release of all-time.

Although the increase from Thursday to Friday was around 50 percent (compared to Avatar's 71.5 percent on the same New Year's Day Friday in 2010), matinee business could balance things out over the weekend before schools go back in session on Monday. With comparisons falling somewhere between those of Avatar and The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King, The Force Awakens seems to be forming its own daily pattern at this point. Its third weekend haul is targeting an incredible $95 million, which would best Avatar's third weekend record $68.5 million by a very wide margin.

The ultimate stateside hurdle for Star Wars to climb, of course, is Avatar's $760.5 million lifetime gross ($749.8 million of which came before a short re-release window at the end of its run) to become the highest grossing movie in domestic history. Based on a $95 million weekend, that means Awakens should be close to $747 million total by the end of Sunday. Barring an unexpectedly strong Saturday/Sunday combination, Star Wars will claim the all-time domestic crown early-to-mid next week.

.....

http://pro.boxoffice.com/latest-news/2016-01-02-north-america-early-weekend-estimates-star-wars-the-force-awakens-claims-new-years-record-tops-titanic-jurassic-world-for-2-all-time-w-686m-total-daddys-home-adds-strong-29m-sophomore-frame-the-hateful-eight-eyes-modest-167m

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The-Numbers Friday estimates

Daily Domestic Chart for Friday January 1st, 2016

     
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Star Wars VII Walt Disney $34,460,000 +50% 4,134 $8,336   $686,425,583 15
2 (2) Daddy’s Home Paramount Pictures $11,476,000 +95% 3,342 $3,434   $76,172,495 8
3 (5) Hateful Eight Weinstein Co. $6,429,000 +104% 2,474 $2,599   $19,766,963 8
4 (6) Sisters Universal $4,770,000 +109% 2,978 $1,602   $53,893,640 15
5 (4) Alvin and … 20th Century Fox $4,375,000 +36% 3,474 $1,259   $59,951,640 15
6 (3) Joy 20th Century Fox $4,000,000 +24% 2,924 $1,368   $32,321,460 8
7 (7) The Big Short Paramount Pictures $3,412,000 +63% 1,588 $2,149   $27,391,117 22
8 (8) Concussion Sony Pictures $3,075,000 +88% 2,841 $1,082   $20,445,000 8
9 (9) Point Break Warner Bros. $2,705,000 +120% 2,910 $930   $16,405,000 8
10 (11) HG Mockingja… Lionsgate $1,750,000 +67% 1,485 $1,178   $271,347,959 43
11 (12) Creed Warner Bros. $1,480,000 +85% 1,375 $1,076   $101,036,653 38
12 (10) Good Dinosaur Walt Disney $1,474,000 +22% 2,134 $691   $112,184,575 38
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1 minute ago, terrestrial said:

 

so we will have another 1.5 billion grosser after weekend right ? :)

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and again by The-Numbers, the updated chart including Friday only

 

 

AvatarStar Wars Ep.VII: The ForceAwakensTitanicJurassic WorldThe AvengersThe Dark KnightStar Wars Ep. I:The PhantomMenaceThe Avengers:Age of UltronDaily Cumulative Domestic Box Office255075100$200.000.000$400.000.000$600.000.000
Day Avatar Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens Titanic Jurassic World The Avengers The Dark Knight Star Wars Ep. I: The Phantom Menace The Avengers: Age of Ultron
Day: 0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Day: 1 $26.752.099 $119.119.282 $8.658.814 $81.953.950 $80.813.985 $67.165.092 $28.542.349 $84.424.532
Day: 2 $52.281.135 $187.413.486 $19.330.827 $151.598.780 $150.371.975 $114.815.332 $40.850.267 $140.951.167
Day: 3 $77.025.481 $247.966.675 $28.638.131 $208.806.270 $207.438.708 $158.411.483 $59.317.780 $191.271.109
Day: 4 $93.411.301 $288.076.417 $34.216.343 $234.151.090 $226.337.707 $182.904.796 $83.731.903 $204.499.664
Day: 5 $109.497.762 $325.438.146 $40.219.462 $258.493.605 $244.014.897 $203.773.518 $105.661.237 $217.632.476
Day: 6 $125.943.053 $363.460.329 $43.790.807 $278.389.075 $257.627.807 $222.150.806 $116.542.509 $227.042.314
Day: 7 $137.094.051 $390.856.054 $52.969.336 $296.211.655 $270.019.373 $238.615.211 $124.723.784 $235.655.468
Day: 8 $160.189.097 $440.181.717 $65.091.634 $325.326.090 $299.242.890 $261.847.503 $132.475.660 $256.887.830
Day: 9 $188.463.503 $496.913.249 $77.558.089 $364.438.555 $342.148.409 $290.119.997 $140.005.822 $290.723.486
Day: 10 $212.711.184 $540.058.914 $88.425.009 $402.800.095 $373.071.647 $313.781.677 $153.537.561 $313.402.397
Day: 11 $232.129.323 $571.420.943 $96.367.529 $414.366.320 $380.995.436 $324.299.793 $172.868.341 $318.801.176
Day: 12 $250.419.951 $600.949.526 $104.380.438 $427.496.780 $389.473.290 $333.929.159 $191.405.863 $324.791.589
Day: 13 $268.886.074 $629.034.583 $112.594.173 $436.936.980 $395.813.047 $342.684.300 $207.099.058 $329.133.743
Day: 14 $283.624.210 $651.965.583 $124.152.693 $445.840.805 $402.021.415 $351.086.846 $212.558.695 $333.170.808
Day: 15 $308.898.218 $686.425.583 $135.851.554 $460.533.690 $417.257.461 $363.795.881 $217.854.543 $343.189.933
Day: 16 $334.733.769   $148.578.179 $483.013.980 $440.844.530 $380.987.031 $222.866.471 $360.394.291
Day: 17 $352.114.898   $157.467.971 $500.373.420 $457.665.517 $393.751.065 $231.211.000 $372.030.708
Day: 18 $360.209.452   $160.490.242 $506.899.800 $463.353.451 $400.038.494 $245.100.000 $375.466.255
Day: 19 $367.536.685   $163.535.064 $514.374.155 $468.271.215 $405.699.734 $255.758.124 $378.486.835
Day: 20 $374.445.852   $166.376.415 $520.362.305 $472.239.621 $410.777.101 $259.677.495 $380.816.733
Day: 21 $380.540.297   $169.165.503 $527.300.955 $476.684.788 $415.511.467 $263.679.744 $383.170.479
Day: 22 $393.820.950   $176.903.653 $539.128.560 $486.349.111 $423.088.829 $267.491.901 $388.526.903
Day: 23 $415.090.487   $189.661.771 $547.667.605 $500.415.495 $433.591.072 $271.332.050 $396.813.139
Day: 24 $430.846.514   $197.881.813 $556.542.980 $513.371.659 $441.628.497 $278.007.000 $404.862.176
Day: 25 $435.957.707   $200.051.959 $560.692.030 $523.907.202 $445.370.695 $288.532.000 $411.369.385
Day: 26 $441.024.441   $202.438.123 $565.531.445 $527.173.955 $448.886.084 $296.964.911 $413.318.567
Day: 27 $445.768.203   $204.533.905 $569.287.130 $529.688.996 $451.888.386 $299.990.176 $414.747.982
Day: 28 $450.467.005   $206.734.370 $572.538.320 $532.463.980 $454.702.857 $303.061.673 $416.150.025
Day: 29 $460.861.269   $214.152.755 $577.957.895 $538.105.622 $459.640.812 $306.030.682 $419.033.597
Day: 30 $478.115.377   $226.510.099 $585.390.455 $547.123.535 $466.349.645 $309.213.848 $423.951.452
Day: 31 $493.252.617   $236.745.003 $590.689.595 $552.950.398 $471.082.150 $314.019.000 $427.551.427
Day: 32 $504.868.451   $242.748.914 $592.840.220 $554.992.773 $473.194.356 $321.399.000 $428.633.715
Day: 33 $509.059.398   $245.071.248 $595.627.430 $557.214.486 $475.342.688 $328.072.869 $429.894.783
Day: 34 $512.852.205   $247.148.224 $597.829.670 $559.076.546 $477.148.000 $330.443.466 $430.868.667
Day: 35 $516.797.418   $249.361.166 $599.773.835 $561.050.725 $478.874.461 $332.861.798 $431.813.896
Day: 36 $525.825.912   $256.392.349 $603.031.100 $564.387.649 $481.865.527 $335.088.273 $433.656.556
Day: 37 $542.151.962   $268.867.286 $607.940.375 $568.934.514 $486.339.697 $337.557.762 $436.312.967
Day: 38 $551.741.499   $274.599.886 $611.228.810 $572.300.463 $489.416.885 $341.328.000 $438.153.559
Day: 39 $554.981.691   $276.501.108 $612.601.315 $573.685.968 $490.600.141 $347.103.000 $438.901.113
Day: 40 $558.179.737   $278.423.536 $614.331.250 $575.233.764 $491.702.478 $351.669.681 $439.752.678
Day: 41 $561.317.325   $280.231.706 $615.640.390 $576.583.182 $492.688.931 $353.780.085 $440.471.543
Day: 42 $564.472.387   $282.193.031 $616.902.775 $577.888.904 $493.671.047 $356.021.057 $441.102.218
Day: 43 $571.911.813   $288.845.862 $618.965.875 $580.095.059 $495.812.401 $357.760.813 $442.166.874
Day: 44 $585.695.694   $300.809.839 $621.941.500 $583.388.044 $499.058.870 $359.875.311 $443.689.327
Day: 45 $595.752.416   $308.100.203 $624.083.950 $586.794.371 $502.293.926 $362.775.000 $444.777.275
Day: 46 $598.453.037   $309.605.750 $625.009.700 $587.927.710 $504.798.337 $366.595.000 $445.228.711
Day: 47 $601.141.551   $311.342.603 $626.094.150 $589.091.616 $505.417.800 $373.166.970 $445.730.903
Day: 48 $603.789.348   $312.791.354 $626.920.500 $590.193.264 $505.954.123 $373.166.970 $446.173.457
Day: 49 $606.493.323   $314.327.828 $627.699.630 $591.247.781 $506.482.539 $374.889.918 $446.599.953
Day: 50 $612.653.642   $320.040.276 $628.770.350 $593.460.187 $507.947.315 $376.272.871 $447.334.280
Day: 51 $624.193.440   $330.858.806 $630.386.910 $596.501.976 $510.683.335 $377.692.976 $448.375.514
Day: 52 $629.344.204   $337.355.666 $631.601.030 $598.425.442 $511.997.658 $379.718.000 $449.447.357
Day: 53 $631.595.771   $338.710.764 $632.193.750 $599.387.534 $512.374.922 $382.793.000 $449.772.697
Day: 54 $633.621.035   $340.217.288 $632.834.270 $600.377.080 $512.829.031 $385.184.373 $450.162.782
Day: 55 $635.470.349   $341.677.727 $633.318.770 $601.215.735 $513.238.453 $386.249.482 $450.479.161
Day: 56 $637.605.653   $343.394.297 $633.726.780 $602.083.073 $513.664.611 $387.465.405 $450.785.255
Day: 57 $642.146.324   $349.124.777 $634.280.685 $603.388.594 $514.780.719 $388.525.146 $451.267.668
Day: 58 $651.346.762   $362.173.488 $635.114.340 $605.205.241 $516.732.450 $389.553.609 $451.970.769
Day: 59 $661.217.278   $376.270.721 $635.673.840 $606.504.744 $517.792.764 $390.979.000 $452.474.193
Day: 60 $666.388.502   $376.270.721 $635.936.805 $607.219.521 $518.070.111 $393.354.000 $452.722.320
Day: 61 $668.224.829   $378.144.577 $636.272.505 $607.764.276 $518.376.320 $395.201.250 $452.963.254
Day: 62 $669.935.879   $379.772.544 $636.513.090 $608.482.552 $518.668.741 $396.049.197 $453.126.252
Day: 63 $671.721.154   $381.525.538 $636.731.640 $608.959.760 $518.974.853 $396.935.225 $453.345.278
Day: 64 $675.615.172   $386.765.500 $637.067.430 $609.640.578 $519.777.880 $397.748.777 $453.708.861
Day: 65 $683.071.751   $396.691.039 $637.613.550 $610.558.801 $521.169.518 $398.573.626 $453.978.249
Day: 66 $687.962.011   $402.561.881 $637.971.480 $611.127.884 $521.890.027 $399.614.000 $454.231.430
Day: 67 $689.237.048   $403.739.570 $638.126.505 $611.389.326 $522.106.180 $401.344.000 $454.371.768
Day: 68 $690.499.726   $405.030.767 $638.322.290 $611.701.097 $522.341.786 $402.770.726 $454.526.886
Day: 69 $691.701.910   $406.083.994 $638.473.570 $611.973.433 $522.573.036 $403.357.141 $454.662.989
Day: 70 $692.904.794   $407.350.832 $638.620.980 $612.261.732 $522.810.263 $404.005.833 $454.783.083
Day: 71 $695.981.544   $412.090.075 $638.887.990 $612.657.166 $523.237.138 $404.573.895 $454.911.384
Day: 72 $702.621.374   $421.465.040 $639.307.200 $613.244.349 $524.058.474 $405.176.312 $455.097.079
Day: 73 $706.560.068   $426.983.888 $639.568.530 $613.660.486 $524.474.684 $406.086.000 $455.238.847
Day: 74 $707.818.745   $428.046.153 $639.663.325 $613.849.210 $524.599.547 $407.551.000 $455.308.688
Day: 75 $709.304.322   $429.334.497 $639.778.350 $614.070.615 $524.740.642 $408.597.032 $455.392.002
Day: 76 $710.842.764   $430.387.008 $639.872.800 $614.265.453 $524.874.072 $409.084.394 $455.466.547
Day: 77 $712.489.342   $431.551.546 $639.967.785 $614.438.014 $525.003.174 $409.590.536 $455.530.368
Day: 78 $714.463.378   $435.915.654 $640.760.745 $614.628.102 $525.234.268 $410.076.929 $455.998.418
Day: 79 $718.126.396   $444.274.533 $642.136.035 $614.883.015 $525.625.565 $410.551.953  
Day: 80 $720.607.444   $449.157.395 $642.978.555 $615.058.425 $525.831.387 $411.147.000 $455.998.418
Day: 81 $721.425.412   $450.213.078 $643.269.755 $615.156.789 $525.904.670 $412.032.000  
Day: 82 $722.207.106   $451.454.765 $643.579.580 $615.280.156 $525.983.815 $412.775.151  
Day: 83 $722.954.237   $452.570.393 $643.839.335 $615.373.694 $526.068.474 $413.078.199  
Day: 84 $723.744.022   $453.867.325 $644.043.640 $615.483.851 $526.162.586 $413.454.282 $456.282.829
Day: 85 $725.429.879   $458.212.534 $644.632.765   $526.314.081 $413.789.230  
Day: 86 $728.329.714   $466.382.088 $645.669.625   $526.549.462 $414.126.705  
Day: 87 $730.270.443   $471.446.140 $646.737.905 $615.996.809 $526.690.914 $414.542.000 $456.612.713
Day: 88 $730.942.185   $472.768.103 $647.374.160   $526.783.113 $415.182.000  
Day: 89 $731.621.183   $474.244.924 $647.516.055   $526.831.522 $415.645.312  
Day: 90 $732.229.805   $475.716.582 $647.626.080   $526.880.947 $415.859.856  
Day: 91 $732.880.952   $477.349.092 $647.728.195 $616.351.422 $526.944.204 $416.112.048 $456.774.045
Day: 92 $733.938.158   $481.668.037 $648.026.290   $527.074.478 $416.349.911  
Day: 93 $735.684.163   $489.671.898 $648.622.480   $527.259.976 $416.579.492  
Day: 94 $736.907.957   $494.514.331 $648.908.885 $616.768.487 $527.356.352   $456.942.728
Day: 95 $737.266.471   $495.573.044 $648.990.715   $527.394.547    
Day: 96 $737.627.370   $497.178.479 $649.084.725   $527.441.809 $417.800.897  
Day: 97 $737.976.702   $498.610.790 $649.160.275   $527.482.905 $417.969.425  
Day: 98 $738.393.054   $500.049.030 $649.224.035 $616.768.487 $527.526.286 $418.165.536 $457.055.976
Day: 99 $738.919.556   $504.255.040 $649.397.365   $527.615.985 $418.337.535  
Day: 100 $739.798.846   $511.584.597 $649.709.675   $527.750.249 $418.513.721  
Day: 101 $740.440.529   $515.262.530 $649.860.515 $617.039.310 $527.822.235 $418.765.000 $457.177.917
Day: 102 $740.684.275   $516.040.845 $649.905.695   $527.847.433 $419.147.000  
Day: 103 $740.916.066   $517.059.359 $649.958.405   $527.878.017 $419.423.967  
Day: 104 $741.140.003   $517.947.471 $650.010.785   $527.909.624 $419.526.792  
Day: 105 $741.352.439   $518.873.058 $650.052.290 $617.446.423 $527.942.811 $419.647.257 $457.252.317
Day: 106 $741.699.502   $521.904.623 $650.163.170   $527.992.020 $419.746.342  
Day: 107 $742.076.465   $527.679.833 $650.359.290   $528.133.068 $419.846.896  
Day: 108 $742.332.678   $530.406.538 $650.442.740 $617.595.391 $528.213.279 $420.072.000 $457.358.116
Day: 109 $742.497.942   $531.180.656 $650.465.295   $528.241.353    
Day: 110 $742.605.267   $532.113.277 $650.493.055   $528.268.585 $421.381.756  
Day: 111 $742.721.098   $533.002.196 $650.518.930   $528.291.602 $421.381.756  
Day: 112 $742.844.322   $534.295.450 $650.539.750 $617.685.111 $528.315.892 $421.464.015 $457.413.387
Day: 113 $743.083.175   $537.565.583 $650.621.115   $528.376.324 $421.534.777  
Day: 114 $743.448.904   $541.058.281 $650.760.850   $528.476.214 $421.599.674  
Day: 115 $743.688.973   $542.853.691 $650.831.970 $617.800.446 $528.535.317 $421.758.000 $457.494.254
Day: 116 $743.767.458   $543.867.439 $650.852.290   $528.567.824 $422.063.000  
Day: 117 $743.853.911   $544.879.356 $650.875.150   $528.607.482 $422.252.998  
Day: 118 $743.935.257   $545.767.712 $650.896.740   $528.622.949 $422.303.394  
Day: 119 $744.020.453   $546.659.214 $650.917.060 $617.849.893 $528.640.736 $422.363.649 $457.529.323
Day: 120 $744.275.947   $548.811.012 $650.976.600 $618.233.009 $528.781.111 $422.422.693  
 
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