fmpro Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 1 hour ago, POTUS said: Anything over 100m/$15m OD is just gravy. That beats a lot of tentpoles.no need for a meltdown. Totally agree 25-26 mill for XXX today. Good number 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mockingjay Raphael Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Can someone please explain me how the hell RE6 is managing to explode in such a big way? I remember that the last movie disappointed there with a weak $17m, what happened in the past years to it make $30m in a single day?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 18 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said: Can someone please explain me how the hell RE6 is managing to explode in such a big way? I remember that the last movie disappointed there with a weak $17m, what happened in the past years to it make $30m in a single day?! Other than its 4-5 years ago and China has exploded since then no.. I have no clue Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 (edited) RE PS went up 50% yesterday to 19.5m. it's on pace for another 50% today to 29m. Me thinks 70m+ PS will happen. That will lead to 200m OD, 640m OW, 1.3B+ Total. Maybe reach $200m. Only a A dog's Purpose is scheduled for next Friday so far. AC pacing at 25% of RE. 50-60m OD. Edited February 21, 2017 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 10 hours ago, POTUS said: RE PS went up 50% yesterday to 19.5m. it's on pace for another 50% today to 29m. Me thinks 70m+ PS will happen. That will lead to 200m OD, 640m OW, 1.3B+ Total. Maybe reach $200m. Only a A dog's Purpose is scheduled for next Friday so far. AC pacing at 25% of RE. 50-60m OD. Seems like China is doing well start of this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StephenN18 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 I'm so surprised that RE is doing so well! So it could really gross $90 USD million over this weekend? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 1 hour ago, eXtacy said: Seems like China is doing well start of this year. First 3 weeks started the year off slow but has picked up since CNY. However, even with KFY XXX and RE overperforming, Jan-Feb will be up just a couple percent yuan. Down in dollars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 Still though, Hollywood looks to do much better this year.... As an American, I hate to say "Its all I care about" in the Chinese market but.... if we get some good sequels thanks to the Chinese well... Its all I care about, ha ha. Glad the Chinese have good taste in action faire. It may not be the most thought-provoking, but I still enjoy it.. Imagine a world without Chinese movie censors, and some of the new Hard-R fare in America.. It'd make me happy if the Chinese joined in on the enjoyment of stuff like Dredd, Wick, or Reacher. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 RE keeping slightly ahead of CA3. 200m OD still looking possible CA3 MN OD WC MN OD RE PS x PS x PS x multi multi multi multi CA3 m CA3 m WC m PS 1am MN PS MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN PS MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN PS MN Proj OD PS OD Proj OD Proj Th 0.8 22.6 2.4 75.42 1.6 32.3 23.0 10.91 Fr 1.2 15.1 3.6 50.28 2.0 25.0 27.0 9.30 Sa 1.8 10.1 6.2 29.19 2.5 20.0 31.5 7.97 6.0 175.2 47.8 Su 2.1 8.6 8.1 22.35 3.1 16.1 35.9 6.99 8.5 189.9 59.4 Mo 2.8 6.5 11.9 15.21 4.2 11.9 40.8 6.15 13.0 197.7 80.0 Tu 3.5 5.2 16.3 11.10 5.8 8.6 44.8 5.60 19.5 216.5 109.3 We 4.8 3.8 25.4 7.13 8.7 5.7 50.7 4.95 4.0 15.1 29.0 206.7 143.6 Th 6.4 2.8 37.9 4.78 14.3 3.5 64.8 3.87 5.8 16.4 41.2 196.8 159.6 Fr(OD) 65.8 2.75 94.0 2.67 MN 18 MN 50 MN 16 proj OD 181 OD 251 OD 197 proj OW 625 OW 819 OW 640 proj Gross 1245 Gross 1472 Gross 1280 proj OD/PS 2.75 OD/PS 2.67 OD/PS 2.75 proj OW/MN 34.53 OW/MN 16.38 OW/MN 39.02 proj OW/OD 3.45 OW/OD 3.26 OW/OD 3.25 proj Tot/OD 6.88 Tot/OD 5.86 Tot/OD 6.51 proj Tot/OW 1.99 Tot/OW 1.80 Tot/OW 2.00 proj 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted February 22, 2017 Share Posted February 22, 2017 I still think that its frontloaded as hell in presales and OD walkups will be weak.. But time will soon tell 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted February 23, 2017 Share Posted February 23, 2017 2 hours ago, fmpro said: I still think that its frontloaded as hell in presales and OD walkups will be weak.. But time will soon tell Agreed This is more of a fans-driven film. The multiplier will not be more than 3 imo. Will not beat xXx and Rogue One's presales-OD multiple. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted February 23, 2017 Share Posted February 23, 2017 It doesn't matter if it's frontloaded. It's still gonna kick some butts in China, regardless. The opening day might be higher than its entire domestic performance, which is still insane. Remember, this is the sixth movie of a game franchise. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted February 23, 2017 Author Share Posted February 23, 2017 Even with 150M OD, I doubt it crosses $100M inthe end, 3 wide Hollywood releases next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted February 23, 2017 Share Posted February 23, 2017 (edited) 2 hours ago, TigerPaw said: Agreed This is more of a fans-driven film. The multiplier will not be more than 3 imo. Will not beat xXx and Rogue One's presales-OD multiple. I assumed 2.75 x PS, where many films fall. Even WC had 2.67 and it was PS monster early on and holiday opens usually have a lower multiple. 36 minutes ago, Olive said: Even with 150M OD, I doubt it crosses $100M inthe end, 3 wide Hollywood releases next week. That would only be 4.5x OD. I assume it will be 4x OD by thursday. Your calling for a 90% drop next weekend? I just see A dogs Purpose next friday with very little PS. what are the other two? Im thinking at least this MN 16m Fr 180 similar to WC multi 2.67 SA 200 just a 10% bump if its fan frontloaded. Most are 30%+, even BVS had 20% and it wasnt liked SU 150 -25% 546m OW Mo 45 -70% Tu 38 -15% We 32 -15% Th 27 -15% Fr 25 Sa 50 Su 40 800m thru next Sunday 900m total is my worst case 1.64x OW(BVS 1.66,WC 1.8) 5x OD (BVS 5.15, WC 5.86) WC was a holiday wed open but its first 3 days were like a weekend. Edited February 23, 2017 by POTUS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiangsen Posted February 23, 2017 Share Posted February 23, 2017 32 minutes ago, POTUS said: I assumed 2.75 x PS, where many films fall. Even WC had 2.67 and it was PS monster early on and holiday opens usually have a lower multiple. That would only be 4.5x OD. I assume it will be 4x OD by thursday. Your calling for a 90% drop next weekend? I just see A dogs Purpose next friday with very little PS. what are the other two? Logan and Lego Batman Movie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted February 23, 2017 Author Share Posted February 23, 2017 50 minutes ago, POTUS said: I assumed 2.75 x PS, where many films fall. Even WC had 2.67 and it was PS monster early on and holiday opens usually have a lower multiple. That would only be 4.5x OD. I assume it will be 4x OD by thursday. Your calling for a 90% drop next weekend? I just see A dogs Purpose next friday with very little PS. what are the other two? Im thinking at least this MN 16m Fr 180 similar to WC multi 2.67 SA 200 just a 10% bump if its fan frontloaded. Most are 30%+, even BVS had 20% and it wasnt liked SU 150 -25% 546m OW Mo 45 -70% Tu 38 -15% We 32 -15% Th 27 -15% Fr 25 Sa 50 Su 40 800m thru next Sunday 900m total is my worst case 1.64x OW(BVS 1.66,WC 1.8) 5x OD (BVS 5.15, WC 5.86) WC was a holiday wed open but its first 3 days were like a weekend. Won't increase on Sat, and bigger drop on Sun. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted February 23, 2017 Share Posted February 23, 2017 (edited) 3 hours ago, Olive said: Won't increase on Sat, and bigger drop on Sun. Really? I know WC's second day was a holiday but I think played like a Sat since it wasnt a GA film getting the extra holiday audience, and it bumped 20%. PS for Sat are at 16m and i think will get into the 40s and be at 5x bringing in low 200's The previous projection was a minimum. I think it could do MN 16 Fr 200 Sa 230 15% Su 160 going with larger sun drop 606m OW with next weeks releases being small it then comes close to 2x OW. 1.2B total I will go with that as my prediction. If the Maoyan rating is low then it will fall off quicker AC continues to track at 25% of RE. Could have a higher PS multi and likely to have a higher Fri multi and come in at 30% of RE for the weekend. Edited February 23, 2017 by POTUS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted February 23, 2017 Author Share Posted February 23, 2017 On 2016/5/5 at 0:12 AM, Olive said: Captain America: Civil War presales update 24h to go Mid-night 6.44m Friday 37.9m At the same point: ep7: 4.3m+27m(15.8M+196M) BVS:3.78m+32.75m(8.9m+121m)BVS had very bad multiplier and SW7 opened on Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted February 23, 2017 Share Posted February 23, 2017 57 minutes ago, POTUS said: Really? I know WC's second day was a holiday but I think played like a Sat since it wasnt a GA film getting the extra holiday audience, and it bumped 20%. PS for Sat are at 16m and i think will get into the 40s and be at 5x bringing in low 200's The previous projection was a minimum. I think it could do MN 16 Fr 200 Sa 230 15% Su 160 going with larger sun drop 606m OW with next weeks releases being small it then comes close to 2x OW. 1.2B total I will go with that as my prediction. If the Maoyan rating is low then it will fall off quicker AC continues to track at 25% of RE. Could have a higher PS multi and likely to have a higher Fri multi and come in at 30% of RE for the weekend. I ilke a dude who stays true to his believes and predictions we will find out very soon and gloating are allowed 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted February 23, 2017 Share Posted February 23, 2017 4 hours ago, POTUS said: Really? I know WC's second day was a holiday but I think played like a Sat since it wasnt a GA film getting the extra holiday audience, and it bumped 20%. PS for Sat are at 16m and i think will get into the 40s and be at 5x bringing in low 200's The previous projection was a minimum. I think it could do MN 16 Fr 200 Sa 230 15% Su 160 going with larger sun drop 606m OW with next weeks releases being small it then comes close to 2x OW. 1.2B total I will go with that as my prediction. If the Maoyan rating is low then it will fall off quicker AC continues to track at 25% of RE. Could have a higher PS multi and likely to have a higher Fri multi and come in at 30% of RE for the weekend. Midnights really needs to pop to reach 16 mill with only a few hours left.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
