POTUS 2020 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 (edited) Last night finished at 82.4m just short of my projection. Something was amiss at Maoyan last night. It only added 10k in sales from 1am to 10am. It's on a roll now with 2-3m per hour. Looking for 110m tonight. It might reach 115m up 40%. 20k shows added yesterday to 115k. At 76% 118.7k now. 82% of evening shows. Local releases will take 15%. GITS dailies are crashing. It will lose 90% of its shows. I'm still looking for 62% of shows. 180k total. 180-200m PS is where the end total will fall 1am Fri +66-75% from tonight total. I think 2.75 will be the multi. 495-550m. 1.6-1.75B OW. $232- 254m OW If it's close enough to fudge they will do it for the international headline. I'm going with a $248.5m OW as a prediction Throw out your predictions people. You have the chart in an earlier post to do you're own extrapolation. Let's see what the consensus is. The derby average is usually very good, we blow away the anal ysts in this business. ? Edited April 12, 2017 by POTUS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 Going with 250 mill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 $200-220m OW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: $200-220m OW So potentially second biggest weekend of all time, only behind Star Wars. Though given the much cheaper ticket price biggest admissions ever? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, eXtacy said: So potentially second biggest weekend of all time, only behind Star Wars. Though given the much cheaper ticket price biggest admissions ever? Yes. The Mermaid's total admission is 90m+. That is close to TFA did in DOM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 I also think that something strange happens on Maoyan, or there was a slowdown in OD FF8 Now increments are around 0.8 M / hour worse than yesterday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 11 minutes ago, abra said: I also think that something strange happens on Maoyan, or there was a slowdown in OD FF8 Now increments are around 0.8 M / hour worse than yesterday Perhaps sellout issues. Check Saturday increases. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 (edited) 27 minutes ago, eXtacy said: Perhaps sellout issues. Check Saturday increases. Exactly the increase on Saturday is over what was yesterday Now look that growth in the OD has accelerated Edited April 12, 2017 by abra Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 Wow I thought the first movie that will top TFA's opening record would be a Chinese movie, a movie nobody would care or would ever see in the western world! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 Maoyan always auto-coreect its systerm bugs, maybe yesterdays' numbers are over-loaded. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 FF8 MN PS will get to 25m. Kong, CA3 and others were 2.8 -3x. Up to 75m is possible with that multi. However FF7 made 50m with 11000 shows. Is that right? That would be 120 per show. FF8 has 12500. I'm not sure how many it'll finish with. It would need 20k shows at 100 per to breach 70m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 49 minutes ago, POTUS said: FF8 MN PS will get to 25m. Kong, CA3 and others were 2.8 -3x. Up to 75m is possible with that multi. However FF7 made 50m with 11000 shows. Is that right? That would be 120 per show. FF8 has 12500. I'm not sure how many it'll finish with. It would need 20k shows at 100 per to breach 70m. Midnights is already over 12k showtimes now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 (edited) [1 days+5 hours] Fast and Furious 8 midnights - 24.18m - 12447 showtimes OD - 95.64m - 126608 Sat - 47.7m - 98934 Sun - 18.12m- 84777 The English title is Fast and Furious 8 in China Edited April 12, 2017 by Olive 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrstickball Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 Presales for Fri-Sun sit at 188 million yuan... 10% more than FF7 had in its entire PS run. I'm going to go with $230m OW. Not enough to take the official OW crown from TFA, but if you factor in the fact that TFA's OW crown includes 2 countries and an additional US territory... Would put the record in doubt (US+CA+PR). Friday increased about 1.8 million in the past hour, 600-700k for Sat, and about 400k for MN. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 Another weak day of presales. Dont know how the weekend is going to play. Its just an unprecedented situation. Based on Olive's review and the schedule ahead, its going to have a good run till guardians 2 opens(and even that wont be uber BB in china). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 (edited) 7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Another weak day of presales. Dont know how the weekend is going to play. Its just an unprecedented situation. Based on Olive's review and the schedule ahead, its going to have a good run till guardians 2 opens(and even that wont be uber BB in china). 3rd weekend has several local movies but May Day holiday will soften the drop. Midnight ticket price is 37.2 yuan 37.2*15000 showtimes*100~110 per-show-attendance=55.8~ 61.4M midnights. Edited April 12, 2017 by Olive 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 30 minutes ago, Olive said: 3rd weekend has several local movies but May Day holiday will soften the drop. Midnight ticket price is 37.2 yuan 37.2*15000 showtimes*100~110 per-show-attendance=55.8~ 61.4M midnights. how many showtimes F8 will get for its OD. Do you think 180k is possible like @POTUS thinks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 12, 2017 Author Share Posted April 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: how many showtimes F8 will get for its OD. Do you think 180k is possible like @POTUS thinks. currently 130k already, 160K easily locked 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 Also another BO site https://piaofang.wepiao.com/?dateStart=2017-04-14&dateEnd=2017-04-14&scheduleState=day seem to show more BO and showtimes for F8 already. Is maoyan still the most reliable site. How are the online tickets distributed across different sites(equivalent to Fandango/MT in domestic). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted April 12, 2017 Share Posted April 12, 2017 23 hours ago, abra said: [2 days+ 0 hours] The Fate of the Furious Midnight: 20.99m - (+22.4%) Fri: 81.95m - (+31.9%) Sat: 38.83m - (+36.5%) [1 days+ 0 hours] The Fate of the Furious Midnight: 26.57m - (+26.6%) Fri: 103.99m - (+26.9%) Sat: 52.12m - (+34.2%) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
