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AndyLL

You can fire your arrows from the Tower of Babel, but you can never strike Derby! | Week 25

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Prediction average adjustment.

The average reflects 50 people but one of them did not complete in time.  That means they will get all zeros.  

I am adjusting it for the average for 49.

 

Central Intelligence = 32.85 x 50 = 1642.5.    (1642.5)/49 = 33.52

Finding Dory = 124.35(50) = 6217.5.   (6217.5)/49 = 126.89

The Conjuring 2 = 19.54(50) = 977.   (977)/49 = 19.94

Warcraft = 8.60(50) = 430.   (430)/49 = 8.78

Now You See Me 2 = 12.01(50) = 600.5.   (600.5)/49 = 12.26

TMNT2 = 6.97(50) = 348.5.    (348.5)/49 = 7.11

X-Men: A = 5.03(50) = 251.5.   (251.5)/49 = 5.13

Me Before You = 4.89(50) = 244.5.   (244.5)/49 = 4.99

Angry Birds = 3.08(50) = 154.0.   (154.0)/49 = 3.14

Alice 2 = 2.71(50) = 135.5.   (135.5)/49 = 2.77

 

Edited by Matrix4You

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5 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

Prediction average adjustment.

The average reflects 50 people but one of them did not complete in time.  That means they will get all zeros.  

I am adjusting it for the average for 49.

 

 

 

The prediction average should be removing those that did not pick all 10 movies now.

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I lowballed Dory at first and forgot to change it before the deadline :sadben:

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Deadline is low on the holdovers this week. Last week they were high 10% or more on most, now I think it will be 10% low on most due fathers day multi. Alice isn't on the list, I doubt it can be much worse than AB. I put 2.2m

I went with FD 134, CI 32, C2 16.5, NYSM2 10.5, WC 7.4,  TMNT2 6.5,   XMA 5.6, MBY 4.5, AB 2.3, A2 2.2

 

Al time leaders and a few wannabes....:bagoverhead:

@JMorphin         93.2  Whats gotten into you? A goingtobe! Back to back? Nice:bravo:

No Prisoners        88.6

@Rolling Thunder 87.7

@8wombi7          86.6

@Matrix4You       85.5

@WrathOfHan     84.2  AB and A2 gave you the one two punch screw :bash:otherwise you were looking good

@TalismanRing    93.5

@JohnnY            81.7

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19tCezlrhK5YNUNBdt8IDC8vy3Bsp4HXaRFxqJSNtfNw/edit?usp=sharing

Google sheet to check your score against the leaderboard

Matrix will do a full chart Sat am EST

Edited by No Prisoners
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Just now, Matrix4You said:

I am going to wait for Alice updates and another complete update.  Conjuring should go higher than 15???

I think so. you have the OD impact of FD and fathers day screwing with the Fri multi. others higher too except MBY and NYSM2

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I put the top 10 like this:  Central-32, Dory-132.5, Conjuring-15.5, Warcraft-7.2, NYSM2-10.45, TMNT2-6.4, X-Men:A-5.45, Meb4U-4.25, AB-2.2, A2-2.2

49 members participated, 81.328 avg

ERROR ALERT

Jmorphin 91.732
No Prisoners 88.600
Dipper 87.752
Rolling Thunder 87.748
Iraf 86.735
Matrix4You 86.070
nelmsey 85.850
8wombi7 85.822
bapi 85.753
boxofficeth 85.713
Horror Wizard 85.404
moviecriticguy 85.390
AndyLL 85.279
RandomJC 85.247
WrathofHan 84.746
Exxdee 84.742
Simionski 84.706
TalismanRing 84.655
e1828 83.886
Viceversa 83.544
Johnny 82.692
Wildbill 82.516
Spaghetti 82.249
Bates 81.234
Wonka 81.197
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16 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

I am going to wait for Alice updates and another complete update.  Conjuring should go higher than 15???

do you pull all the picks into a spreadsheet? I tried importing a few weeks ago, it didn't work

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Just now, JMorphin said:

I'm just trying to be a wannabe :D

Nah, you're already there. You're in top ten for accuracy on the year at 83.5% and soon to be 84%. Be sure not to miss more than 3 games to qualify for Annual accuracy champ/ Must play 40 of 52 derbies

 

I mite be second for a fourth time. Im like the 90s Bills and the 70s Vikings

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34 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

i handpick them and enter them into excel.  It takes alot of time.  i wish there was an easier way

yup, that's why I just do the leaderboard early and wait for your full chart. I am not that tenacious

@AndyLL can you make it so that the import includes the picks instead of just the top line?

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13 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

yup, that's why I just do the leaderboard early and wait for your full chart. I am not that tenacious

@AndyLL can you make it so that the import includes the picks instead of just the top line?

 

Import?  Or do you mean export?

 

Might be easier if I just create a specific export file for those of you that want to estimate the scores

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14 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

 

Import?  Or do you mean export?

 

Might be easier if I just create a specific export file for those of you that want to estimate the scores

yes I guess I want to export so that I can import(download?) :D

ill take it as well as @Matrix4You

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hm, I export the files every week without a problem, I just need to add actual numbers and ta-da, i get the scores for everyone

 

btw kinda shit score for me, i hope those numbers change, i overestimated everything

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4 hours ago, JohnnY said:

hm, I export the files every week without a problem, I just need to add actual numbers and ta-da, i get the scores for everyone

 

btw kinda shit score for me, i hope those numbers change, i overestimated everything

really, which format?

scores got a lot worse for everyone. 5points or more

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1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:

really, which format?

scores got a lot worse for everyone. 5points or more

 

I go to weekly scores, then I select "all weekly scores", I order by movie title and I export to excel. 

 

This is from last week 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KWljiU9OosDRVc45FBhDdrewxyWWMbgZMtPgUpkWSNU/edit?usp=sharing

 

You just need to copy and paste the actuals for each movie once, since entries are ordered by title. 

And then you calculate the accuracy for one of the players (usually AndyLL because he's always the first player for every movie) and you replicate the formula to the rest, which i did in the last column.

 

Edited by JohnnY
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