AndyLL Posted September 21, 2016 Share Posted September 21, 2016 http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted September 23, 2016 Share Posted September 23, 2016 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bvHBktkvF7OEsiRKSDracMLinyHO-GbhVBEg2OovNkA/edit?usp=sharing down to 29 players. we were holding 45+ for months, I thought we would have started increasing at some point The wild life could be a Derby killer for some if it drops 70%+ like Norm did, another poorly received movie that held well its second weekend but got crushed when panda came out. AB also drop 70% when it went up against FD. Otherwise there shouldn't be any other surprises this weekend should see some scores back in the 90s. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChipDerby Posted September 23, 2016 Share Posted September 23, 2016 And I forgot to predict Damnit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rolling Thunder Posted September 23, 2016 Share Posted September 23, 2016 Where have our players gone? Pretty soon there will only be 20 of us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted September 23, 2016 Share Posted September 23, 2016 Storks has ruined everything. Screw you WB Animation. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted September 24, 2016 Share Posted September 24, 2016 (edited) 13 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said: Where have our players gone? Pretty soon there will only be 20 of us. Maybe to see Joe dimaggio Didn't BOM have 100 players weekly? Deadlines fri multies were off when compared to last year and last week. I adjusted. They came out early, safe to assume Friday estimates are off as well. No est for TWL. I put in 1m, 10% lower than Kubo, I think it'll be lower though. I punched in various numbers as possiblities and @moviecriticguy always stays on top. The rest shifts a bit. Good luck for battle of second. moviecriticguy 92.72 Rolling Thunder 88.84 Matrix4You 87.64 No Prisoners 87 TalismanRing 86.13 Fanboy 85.77 Horror Wizard 85.75 Wildbill 85.55 8wombi7 85.22 darkelf 84.68 Wonka 84.59 Simionski 83.95 Bates 83.6 Lights Camera Action 83.33 Exxdee 83.09 boxofficeth 82.72 JMorphin 82.3 nelmsey 81.48 luxneji 81.26 Tower 81.24 WrathOfHan 80.69 PanaMovie 79.58 Boxx93 78.26 AABATTERY 78.25 Viceversa 78.06 Padre 77.56 ChD 71.38 Blankments 70.87 RandomJC 70.2 Edited September 24, 2016 by No Prisoners 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted September 24, 2016 Share Posted September 24, 2016 (edited) The wild life delivered as the derby killer. Worse than I thought, will only make 500k~ down 80+% 1 Wildbill 84.53 2 moviecriticguy 81.36 3 No Prisoners 81.19 4 Fanboy 80.17 5 Rolling Thunder 79.15 6 Wonka 79.12 7 luxneji 78.94 8 Lights Camera Action 77.99 9 Horror Wizard 77.65 10 TalismanRing 77.48 11 Padre 77.2 12 Matrix4You 77.04 13 8wombi7 75.84 14 Tower 75.59 15 darkelf 75.31 16 Bates 75.25 17 Exxdee 75.19 18 WrathOfHan 74.89 19 AABATTERY 74.71 20 PanaMovie 74.69 21 Simionski 73.99 22 boxofficeth 73.07 23 nelmsey 72.85 24 Blankments 72.14 25 ChD 72.1 26 RandomJC 71.35 27 JMorphin 70.82 28 Viceversa 70.75 29 Boxx93 69.51 Edited September 24, 2016 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rolling Thunder Posted September 24, 2016 Share Posted September 24, 2016 Wow, The Wild Life was obliterated! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fanboy Posted September 24, 2016 Share Posted September 24, 2016 A 17% drop to an 80% drop. Never seen that happen before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnY Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 I keep missing the deadline... Btw, the lack of players is making the game less appealing. I don't get it, we are in a box office forum, why aren't users interested in predicting box office? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChD Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 (edited) God damn Storks ruined my first week of this game. Any reason why in the weekly standing I don't show up at all for this week? Edit: How in the seven hells did The Wild Life drop 80 god damn percent? Edited September 27, 2016 by ChD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 1 hour ago, ChD said: God damn Storks ruined my first week of this game. Any reason why in the weekly standing I don't show up at all for this week? Edit: How in the seven hells did The Wild Life drop 80 god damn percent? This week hasn't been updated yet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyLL Posted September 27, 2016 Author Share Posted September 27, 2016 Another interesting week. Congrats @Wildbill Rank Player Total Score New Release Score Holdover Score Difference from Avg. Score Total Points Predicted Movies 1 Wildbill 80.487% 68.763% 83.418% 5.518% 29 10 2 luxneji 80.253% 66.099% 83.791% 5.284% 28 10 3 moviecriticguy 79.911% 76.304% 80.813% 4.942% 27 10 4 Rolling Thunder 78.969% 74.735% 80.028% 4.000% 26 10 5 Lights Camera Action 78.935% 67.676% 81.749% 3.966% 25 10 6 Fanboy 78.777% 80.171% 78.428% 3.808% 24 10 7 Wonka 78.656% 97.721% 73.890% 3.687% 23 10 8 Tower 76.855% 55.919% 82.089% 1.887% 22 10 9 No Prisoners 76.550% 57.998% 81.189% 1.582% 21 10 10 TalismanRing 76.522% 66.745% 78.966% 1.553% 20 10 11 AABATTERY 76.134% 56.455% 81.054% 1.165% 19 10 12 8wombi7 75.381% 64.338% 78.142% 0.413% 18 10 13 ChD 75.013% 62.477% 78.147% 0.044% 17 10 14 Exxdee 74.981% 61.589% 78.328% 0.012% 16 10 15 WrathOfHan 74.626% 53.037% 80.023% -0.343% 15 10 16 PanaMovie 74.336% 69.326% 75.588% -0.634% 14 10 17 Matrix4You 74.293% 61.147% 77.580% -0.676% 13 10 18 Horror Wizard 74.016% 69.755% 75.081% -0.953% 12 10 19 darkelf 73.601% 62.588% 76.354% -1.368% 11 10 20 boxofficeth 73.348% 45.401% 80.335% -1.620% 10 10 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 On 9/25/2016 at 4:53 AM, JohnnY said: I keep missing the deadline... Btw, the lack of players is making the game less appealing. I don't get it, we are in a box office forum, why aren't users interested in predicting box office? Maybe they're interested but just keep missing the deadline. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyLL Posted September 27, 2016 Author Share Posted September 27, 2016 19 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: Maybe they're interested but just keep missing the deadline. I've missed it the last 2 weeks and I run the game. However I have tried to think of ways to get more people involved. One of the problems is that you guys are too damn good and it's hard to win a week/month/season/year. I'm open to ideas on how to make the game more enjoyable week to week for the casual players. I was hoping the tournaments would bring in people but I'm not sure that's worked out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 22 minutes ago, AndyLL said: I've missed it the last 2 weeks and I run the game. However I have tried to think of ways to get more people involved. One of the problems is that you guys are too damn good and it's hard to win a week/month/season/year. I'm open to ideas on how to make the game more enjoyable week to week for the casual players. I was hoping the tournaments would bring in people but I'm not sure that's worked out. I could see where it would be daunting just to jump in though this last month has shown how unpredictable it can be (and awful some of the top players can be. ahem.). Maybe a prize (a week free membership) for newbie players - the best results for first time players or those who've played less than say 5 or 10 times? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rolling Thunder Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 (edited) From a general observation, it seems BOT has a large number (many hundreds?) of users that have never played the Derby. I'd have to figure a percentage of them would be up for giving it a shot, so is it a question of visibility/awareness? Discussing box office and predicting it goes hand-in-hand for many; I think we could expand the pool of players to a solid number if we can get the word out here on BOT. Not sure what would be too intrusive - a banner at the top of the home page, a pop-up for any user signing in, etc. I know the Derby started off very promising and, unless countless dozens became immediately discouraged, there has to be a reason for the steady decline. How did BOM maintain consistent participation? If memory serves, they always had 100-200 players during non-peak months and 400-500 during the summer/holidays (or when a major event film was opening). Edited September 27, 2016 by Rolling Thunder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 7 minutes ago, Rolling Thunder said: From a general observation, it seems BOT has a large number (many hundreds?) of users that have never played the Derby. I'd have to figure a percentage of them would be up for giving it a shot, so is it a question of visibility/awareness? Discussing box office and predicting it goes hand-in-hand for many; I think we could expand the pool of players to a solid number if we can get the word out here on BOT. Not sure what would be too intrusive - a banner at the top of the home page, a pop-up for any user signing in, etc. I know the Derby started off very promising and, unless countless dozens became immediately discouraged, there has to be a reason for the steady decline. How did BOM maintain consistent participation? If memory serves, they always had 100-200 players during non-peak months and 400-500 during the summer/holidays (or when a major event film was opening). I never played them but didn't BOM have a link to the Derby on their main site page so anyone checking for numbers would have seen it? This doesn't have the same kind of front page so a banner could help as well as reminders/prompts in the Daily or W/E Number threads. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rolling Thunder Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 (edited) 7 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: I never played them but didn't BOM have a link to the Derby on their main site page so anyone checking for numbers would have seen it? This doesn't have the same kind of front page so a banner could help as well as reminders/prompts in the Daily or W/E Number threads. Yes, BOM had a visible "Derby" link on the left side of the homepage - hard to miss. I was sad when BOM threw in the towel, thrilled to see it resurrected here, and believe we'll see participation grow. Perhaps we'lost some players when school started again though it doesn't take but a few minutes to at least toss up some predictions. Edited September 27, 2016 by Rolling Thunder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8wombi7 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 another ugly week. for Wild Life i was thinking 'ah, it loses a bunch of theaters but there is no direct competition...'. it was until saturday when i realized 'dammit, Storks IS direct competition!' but i wouldn't have predicted a 85% drop, so it doesn't matter much congrats @Wildbill! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...