Sorry! That was the dog, that wasn’t Derby. | Week 4

[AndyLL]

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/AllPredictions.aspx

 

 

 

[Rolling Thunder]

@AndyLL, it doesn't look like we're able to enter predictions.  Says it's still closed.  Thanks.

[AndyLL]

2 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

@AndyLL, it doesn't look like we're able to enter predictions.  Says it's still closed.  Thanks.

 

Fixed

[Bates]

Player sheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YJorIavrNYxWPhevMpDgSM3TEB6gy10UP43-9fcF7_I/edit#gid=2086924915

[AndyLL]

Some gratuitous dog pictures as I worry I downgraded A dogs purpose to much because of the controversy.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[cannastop]

Man, if only I did literally any research on Gold...

[ChipDerby]

I'm gonna win

[cannastop]

5 hours ago, cannastop said:

Man, if only I did literally any research on Gold...

And I overlooked the La La Land expansion...

Edited January 27, 2017 by cannastop

[AndyLL]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

And I overlooked the La La Land expansion...

 

Have a puppy to make up for it:

 

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Someone needs to set up the chart as free for all; Deadline estimates are out

[Tower]

Here is the ranking based on the derby average and Deadline projections of Split:23, ADP:17.5, RE:15, HF:12.5, LLL:11.5, Gold:4

Rank	Name	Score
1	Tower	97.09
2	Bates	95.71
3	Boxx93	95.42
4	elcaballero	95.02
5	Jason	94.62
6	kayumanggi	94.45
7	darkelf	94.35
8	kswiston	93.01
9	Exxdee	92.97
10	PanaMovie	92.78
11	WrathOfHan	92.59
12	Keanu	91.94
13	Rolling Thunder	91.92
14	TalismanRing	91.89
15	Wrath	91.88
16	moviecriticguy	90.86
17	ChipMunky	90.72
18	8wombi7	90.59
19	POTUS	90.42
20	Padre	89.69
21	CJohn	89.49
22	harryHERTZ	88.66
23	bapi	88.57
24	Simionski	88.51
25	Eevin	88.29
26	Wildbill	87.61
27	MichiganJFrog	87.11
28	JMorphin	86.64
29	lilmac	85.51
30	AABATTERY	85.50
31	Matrix4You	85.19
32	luxneji	83.22
33	boxofficeth	82.73
34	Lights Camera Action	80.31
35	AndyLL	80.01
36	cannastop	78.00
37	Blankments	76.96

 

[AndyLL]

Well.... I'm not last

[Tower]

Based on the latest Deadline estimates:

Rank	Name	Score
1	TalismanRing	93.52
2	Rolling Thunder	90.16
3	CJohn	89.68
4	Eevin	89.13
5	POTUS	89.10
6	Bates	88.76
7	Exxdee	88.52
8	WrathOfHan	88.35
9	8wombi7	88.17
10	Tower	88.09
11	Boxx93	87.62
12	elcaballero	87.57
13	PanaMovie	87.19
14	darkelf	87.17
15	Simionski	87.14
16	Keanu	87.09
17	Padre	86.95
18	Wrath	86.23
19	kayumanggi	86.14
20	Jason	86.03
21	moviecriticguy	85.39
22	AABATTERY	85.13
23	bapi	85.09
24	Wildbill	84.99
25	Matrix4You	84.71
26	kswiston	84.63
27	JMorphin	82.95
28	ChipMunky	81.92
29	harryHERTZ	80.85
30	lilmac	79.40
31	MichiganJFrog	78.85
32	AndyLL	75.73
33	luxneji	75.55
34	boxofficeth	74.57
35	Lights Camera Action	74.45
36	Blankments	73.65
37	cannastop	71.04

[Tower]

Updated scores based on the studio estimates:

Rank	Name	Score
1	TalismanRing	92.27
2	CJohn	91.71
3	Eevin	91.23
4	Bates	90.82
5	WrathOfHan	90.52
6	Exxdee	90.47
7	Tower	90.29
8	Boxx93	90.19
9	elcaballero	90.00
10	Simionski	89.98
11	Rolling Thunder	89.90
12	POTUS	89.59
13	darkelf	88.90
14	Keanu	88.75
15	Wrath	88.63
16	kayumanggi	88.46
17	Jason	88.29
18	PanaMovie	88.28
19	8wombi7	88.19
20	AABATTERY	88.05
21	Matrix4You	87.34
22	Padre	86.45
23	kswiston	86.35
24	bapi	85.64
25	Wildbill	85.14
26	moviecriticguy	84.90
27	ChipMunky	84.10
28	harryHERTZ	83.33
29	JMorphin	81.97
30	lilmac	81.66
31	MichiganJFrog	81.48
32	AndyLL	77.60
33	luxneji	77.35
34	Blankments	77.01
35	boxofficeth	76.90
36	Lights Camera Action	75.90
37	cannastop	72.54

[Rolling Thunder]

Oh wow, @TalismanRing might win. My midweek scouting report had him tripping over the openers. 

[kswiston]

I simultaneously did poorly in the ranking but decent enough by percentage. 

 

I would jave yo look at the spreadheet, but I'm pretty sure XXX and Rogue One brought me down out of the holdovers. 

[WrathOfHan]

This is the first time in a long ass time I can say I had a legitimately great week  

[Tower]

21 minutes ago, kswiston said:

I simultaneously did poorly in the ranking but decent enough by percentage. 

 

I would jave yo look at the spreadheet, but I'm pretty sure XXX and Rogue One brought me down out of the holdovers. 

kswiston	Gold	4	3.47	84.73
kswiston	Resident Evil: The Final Chapter	14	13.85	98.92
kswiston	A Dog's Purpose	16	18.39	87.00
kswiston	Split	20.85	26.27	79.37
kswiston	xXx: The Return of Xander Cage	9.5	8.25	84.85
kswiston	Hidden Figures	12	14	85.71
kswiston	Sing	5.7	6.21	91.79
kswiston	La La Land	10.8	12.05	89.63
kswiston	Rogue One	3.9	5.12	76.17
kswiston	Monster Trucks	3.5	4.1	85.37

[Eevin]

Damn. My best week ever, I think. Great week all around, actually. Just wish Gold went a tad lower, it's the only one that I genuinely missed on. 

[TalismanRing]

@AndyLL

 

1	1	Split	Uni.	$25,655,440	-35.9%	3,199	+161	$8,020	$77,385,530	$9	2
2	N	A Dog's Purpose	Uni.	$18,222,810	-	3,059	-	$5,957	$18,222,810	$22	1
3	3	Hidden Figures	Fox	$14,003,275	-10.9%	3,351	-65	$4,179	$104,024,969	$25	6
4	N	Resident Evil: The Final Chapter	SGem	$13,601,682	-	3,104	-	$4,382	$13,601,682	$40	1
5	5	La La Land	LG/S	$12,233,928	+45.2%	3,136	+1,271	$3,901	$106,693,300	$30	8
6	2	xXx: The Return of Xander Cage	Par.	$8,601,858	-57.3%	3,651	-	$2,356	$33,839,608	$85	2
7	4	Sing	Uni.	$6,408,210	-28.8%	2,702	-491	$2,372	$257,599,585	$75	6
8	6	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	BV	$5,274,513	-26.8%	2,049	-554	$2,574	$520,200,086	$200	7
9	7	Monster Trucks	Par.	$4,177,101	-40.9%	2,496	-623	$1,674	$28,212,248	-	3
10	N	Gold	Wein.	$3,471,316	-	2,166	-	$1,603	$3,471,316	-	1