5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[Jonwo]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

OS it'll be fine of course since they release it early but the July 12th spot might not be too good either and possibly face a big drop, The Lion King, if done right can open to $200M+.

 

It's going to drop from the first either way. They won't release it a week after Toy Story 4 either so they might have to suck it up and either release against Spider-Man or moving it to July 12th.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

8 minutes ago, Blankments said:

i'm not a fan of DM but comparing it to a PG-13 Michael Bay franchise seems really dumb to me. Maybe Shrek or Ice Age sure, but not Transformers

 

I'm not comparing the movies, I'm comparing their performances, and they've been pretty similar so far.

Edited July 2, 2017 by Mockingjay Raphael

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

 

It's going to drop from the first either way. They won't release it a week after Toy Story 4 either so they might have to suck it up and either release against Spider-Man or moving it to July 12th.

Or I can see them booting whatever SPA has planned on 7/26/19 or Spongebob 3 on 8/2/19. Opening against Spider-Man 2 will hurt both of them. Another scenario is they push a DWA film to back thinking Dragon 3 to Everest's spot and Everest goes to 2020.

Edited July 2, 2017 by YourMother

[MikeQ]

Wonder Woman continues to shine in the legs department: the 4th best fifth weekend of all time for live action comic book films, and notably this is the first weekend that Wonder Woman has bested/outgrossed Spider-Man (2002).

 

Wonder Woman, with estimates, has already hit a 3.35 multiplier, and has nearly cracked the top 10 grossing comic book films of all time. It will pass Deadpool and Spider-Man 2 soon enough to sit at #9 of all time. And it remains to be seen if it can have great late legs to further pass GOTG Vol. 2 or to crack the $400 million mark. With 'Spider-Man: Homecoming' around the corner, I don't foresee this happening, however I know not to underestimate Wonder Woman! And this is a phenomenal run no matter what happens from here on out.

 

Best 5th Weekends for Live Action Comic Book Movies

 

Title (Year) — Fifth Weekend Gross (Drop from Fourth Weekend)

1. Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 20.5 million (-44.2%)
2. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 17.1 million (-0.7%)^
3. The Dark Knight (2008) — 16.4 million (-37.3%)
4. Wonder Woman (2017) — 16.1 million (-35.4%)
5. Spider-Man (2002) — 14.3 million (-49.8%)
6. Iron Man (2008) — 13.5 million (-33.8%)
7. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 11.4 million (-47.4%)
8. Batman (1989) — 11.2 million (-26.1%)
9. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 11.0 million (-42.0%)
10. Deadpool (2016) — 10.9 million (-34.6%)
11. Suicide Squad (2016) — 9.9 million (-19.1%)^
12. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 9.8 million (-52.9%)
13. Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 8.6 million (-42.6%)
14. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 8.4 million (-56.3%)
15. 300 (2007) — 8.4 million (-26.8%)
16. Men in Black (1997) — 8.0 million (-35.1%)
17. Iron Man 2 (2010) — 7.9 million (-51.9%)
18. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 7.8 million (-49.1%)
19. Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 7.8 million (-52.1%)
20. Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 7.6 million (-47.1%)

^Labour Day Weekend (Canada/U.S.)

 

Highest Grossing Comic Book Films

1. Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 623.4 million
2. The Dark Knight (2008) — 534.9 million
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 459.0 million
4. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 448.1 million
5. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 409.0 million
6. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 408.1 million
7. Spider-Man (2002) — 403.7 million
8. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 383.3 million^
9. Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 373.6 million
10. Deadpool (2016)— 363.1 million
11. Wonder Woman (2017) — 346.6 million^
12. Spider-Man 3 (2007)— 336.5 million
13. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 333.2 million
14. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 330.4 million
15. Suicide Squad (2016) — 325.1 million
16. Iron Man (2008) — 318.4 million 
17. Iron Man 2 (2010) — 312.4 million 
18. Man of Steel (2013) — 291.0 million
19. The Amazing Spider-Man (2012) — 262.0 million
20. Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 259.8 million
21. Batman (1989) — 251.2 million
22. Men in Black (1997) — 250.7 million
23. X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 234.4 millon
24. X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 233.9 million
25. Doctor Strange (2016) — 232.6 million

^As of Sunday July 2nd (estimates)

 

Peace,

Mike

[Jonwo]

2 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Or I can see them booting whatever SPA has planned on 7/26/19 or Spongebob 3 on 8/2/19. Opening against Spider-Man 2 will hurt both of them.

 

July 26th could work although a little late for an Illumination summer film. 

 

I think SPA's summer 2019 film isn't happening so I could see that date being snapped up

Edited July 2, 2017 by Jonwo

[Water Bottle]

8 minutes ago, CalifoBoy said:

Wow why are u predicting such an harsh drop for WW?! I hope it has a 6th weekend with $10 mllion rank.

 

He thinks suddenly everybody will agree with him that the movie isn't that good. He's been more wrong about WW every single day than Tele was about Michael Mann movies in China. 

[Kingp0va]

5 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Secret Life of Pets.

Thanks. I thought that movie was pretty bad, but then again the only animal movies i enjoy are the madagascar ones

[Mockingjay Raphael]

Does anyone here watched The Beguiled? I'm really curious to watch it, but it seems to be getting a cold response from audiences. 

[YM!]

Just now, Jonwo said:

 

July 26th could work although a little late for an Illumination summer film. 

 

I think SPA's summer 2019 film isn't happening so I could see that date being snapped up

Homecoming 2 can also move to August 2. Another scenario is they decide to be bold and plan on Disney moving IX to December and take that Memorial Day weekend spot. Or they push back Dragon 3 to September and Pets 2 goes to March.

[Claire of Themyscira]

6 hours ago, Taylor said:

4MD is on The Numbers.

 

7

(4)

47 Meters Down

Entertainment Studi…

$4,682,000

-34%

2,250

$2,081

$32,591,454

17

Then which one estimated a $5M weekend?

 

Not Kween causing them to be blind and not see the numbers right!

[Claire of Themyscira]

3 minutes ago, Water Bottle said:

He thinks suddenly everybody will agree with him that the movie isn't that good. He's been more wrong about WW every single day than Tele was about Michael Mann movies in China. 

[Jonwo]

Just now, YourMother said:

Homecoming 2 can also move to August 2. Another scenario is they decide to be bold and plan on Disney moving IX to December and take that Memorial Day weekend spot. Or they push back Dragon 3 to September and Pets 2 goes to March.

 

I don't see Sony moving Spider-Man, I reckon Mulan will get the Memorial Day 2019 slot if Disney moves Star Wars to December.

 

 

[YM!]

Just now, Jonwo said:

 

I don't see Sony moving Spider-Man, I reckon Mulan will get the Memorial Day 2019 slot if Disney moves Star Wars to December.

 

 

Mulan could easily go to that March 2019 spot. I can see Sony or Universal move SMHC2 or Pets 2 soon.

[Zakiyyah6]

2 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

 

I don't see Sony moving Spider-Man, I reckon Mulan will get the Memorial Day 2019 slot if Disney moves Star Wars to December.

 

 

That would mean that Disney doesn't care about Mulan. That date is only a winner for Disney when a Pirates movie is being released.

[Jonwo]

3 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Mulan could easily go to that March 2019 spot. I can see Sony or Universal move SMHC2 or Pets 2 soon.

 

Disney already has Captain Marvel for March 8th 2019 so it's unlikely. 

[YM!]

1 minute ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

That would mean that Disney doesn't care about Mulan. That date is only a winner for Disney when a Pirates movie is being released.

Disney also has the spot in March 2019 too.

[YM!]

Just now, Jonwo said:

 

Disney already has Captain Marvel for March 8th 2019 so it's unlikely. 

It's March 29th 2019 which is only three weeks and the two could coexist.

[Water Bottle]

11 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

Does anyone here watched The Beguiled? I'm really curious to watch it, but it seems to be getting a cold response from audiences. 

 

I liked it but I'm no casual.

[Blankments]

Did we ever get a weekend # for Rough Night? Lol

[MikeQ]

RT Watch Update: It's a bit of a toss up right now between 'Baby Driver' and 'War for the Planet of the apes' for being the best reviewed film of the summer thus far. The new Spider-Man is also one of the best reviewed films of the summer thus far, and it remains to be seen how films like Dunkirk and Valerian will do with critics. They could both add to what could prove to be overall a very strong July for critical reception.

 

Despicable Me 3 is the worst reviewed film of the trilogy, and perhaps surprisingly sits somewhat worse than Cars 3 in terms of critical reception.

 

The House is one of the worst reviewed films of the summer, essentially on par with Transformers when it comes to having a terrible average rating.

 

2017 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August)

1. Baby Driver — 97% — 8.2 rating
2. War for the Planet of the Apes — 96% — 8.3 rating
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming — 92% — 7.6 rating
4. Wonder Woman — 92% —  7.5 rating
5. It Comes At Night — 86% — 7.4 rating
6. Captain Underpants — 85% — 6.8 rating
7. Megan Leavey — 82% — 6.7 rating
8. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 — 81% — 7.1 rating
9. Alien: Covenant — 71% — 6.4 rating
10. Cars 3 — 67% — 6.1 rating
11. Despicable Me 3 — 63% — 5.7 rating
12. 47 Meters Down — 53% — 5.5 rating
13. The Dinner — 51% — 5.6 rating
14. Rough Night — 48% — 5.5 rating
15. Everything, Everything — 48% — 5.5 rating
16. Snatched — 36% — 5.1 rating
17. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales — 29% — 4.7 rating
18. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword — 28% — 4.6 rating
19. Baywatch — 20% — 4.0 rating
20. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul — 19% — 4.2 rating
21. All Eyez on Me — 17% — 4.3 rating
22. The House — 16% — 3.4 rating
23. The Mummy — 15% — 4.2 rating
24. Transformers: The Last Knight — 15% — 3.3 rating

(Last summer half of the 42 wide-release films tracked were “rotten” on RT, and only 10 of the films had an 80+%.)

 

Peace,

Mike

Edited July 2, 2017 by MikeQ