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Episode IV:A NEW MOUSE | DISNEY | IT IS DONE

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1 hour ago, Barnack said:

The burn out risk would be if a large amount of them (and a lot of bad one) come out I imagine.

 

Disney buying those properties back will help them control to flow even more to make the windows larger.

 

Has long as DC/Marvel has an oligopoly on the major releases, they should be able to keep it alive more easily than an no one control the IP's free genre a la western or young adults dystopia.

 

With that in mind and with Disney momemtum of less and less movies and being ok with months without a release and just make 10 movies a year I could see for the short term:

 

An average year under the main Disney brand:

3-4 SH movie a year (including X-men, specially if they get their own X-men tv series on their streaming platform)

2 Classic live action adaptation

3 Animation (mix of pixar/disney animation)

1 nature type documentary

1 star wars

1 indiana jones or Pirates

 

Already have their around 10-11 movie like they seem to be going for right there.

 

I didn't see this before I replied, but this is exactly it. Getting FF and X-Men back will allow Disney to control the flow of superhero films to make sure there is no superhero fatigue.

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Here is my hope for the deal (assuming it actually does happen because it could still fall through):

 

1) Disney to get the 20th Century Fox brand name in the deal and use it to release R-rated films. 20th Century Fox is already a known name and can be used to replace Touchstone. This is the perfect chance for Disney to be able to  make adult films without damaging its family brand.

 

2) Run Fox Searchlight like they ran Miramax. Without the shenanigans that Harvey Weinstein was pulling with Miramax, which was costing Disney money, Miramax would have done much better.

 

3) Move the X-Men and FF into the MCU and let Kevin Feige do his thing. This is pretty much guaranteed, and the only place where there is resistance to this idea is on this board.

 

4) Don't reduce the release schedule by much. Just because there will now be R-rated films from Fox doesn't mean Disney has to reduce its release schedule. There is room to release more than 12 films a year.

 

5) Re-brand the Regional Sports Networks as being affiliated with ESPN.

Edited by Walt Disney
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2 hours ago, dudalb said:

Sooner or later, the General Audience will tire of the CBMs. The more come out, with less time between  them, the quicker it will happen.

Later could be next year or 20 years from now.

 

Every year we hear superhero fatigue is around the corner.

 

Been hearing about it annually since Jessica Alba was playing Invisible Woman.

 

If the genre was on its last legs it wouldn't have generated 4.8 billion in revenue this year.

 

No other genre can do that. Obvious audiences are still plenty hungry for funny book movies.

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10 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Later could be next year or 20 years from now.

 

Every year we hear superhero fatigue is around the corner.

 

Been hearing about it annually since Jessica Alba was playing Invisible Woman.

 

I thought superhero fatigue kicked in after Green Lantern...

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3 hours ago, AJG said:


"Both companies have set teams of bankers on the case to work out the fine print."

I'd be pretty surprised if it doesn't happen at this point. Not really seeing any other reports that would make me believe otherwise.

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10 hours ago, Walt Disney said:

4) Don't reduce the release schedule by much. Just because there will now be R-rated films from Fox doesn't mean Disney has to reduce its release schedule. There is room to release more than 12 films a year.

They don't need to reduce, Disney should just re-schedule the movies along the year so they don't disturb each others. 

 

Fox's been releasing 15-20 films/year, and Disney 10-14 films/year, with a global market share around 25-30%. I don't think Disney is gonna remove from the board 15-20 films a year, (more than 10% of market share) unless they are certain that audience will go straight to their 10-14 Disney films. So releasing 25-30 movies/year under its different brands (Walt Disney, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, WDA, BlueSky, Fox, Searchlight) seems feasible. 

 

2007

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2007
Movies**
3 Buena Vista 14.0% $1,350.2 21 13
6 20th Century Fox 10.5% $1,017.7 24 16

 

2008

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2008
Movies**
5 20th Century Fox 10.5% $1,014.3 24 20
6 Buena Vista 10.5% $1,011.7 18 13

 

2009

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2009
Movies**
4 20th Century Fox 13.1% $1,394.5 21 16
5 Buena Vista 11.5% $1,228.8 24 18

 

2010

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2010
Movies**
3 20th Century Fox 13.9% $1,482.2 20 17
4 Buena Vista 13.6% $1,456.4 17 14

 

2011

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2011
Movies**
4 Buena Vista 12.2% $1,240.7 17 14
6 20th Century Fox 9.6% $977.9 19 15

 

2012

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2012
Movies**
3 Buena Vista 13.9% $1,551.4 18 13
6 20th Century Fox 9.2% $1,025.4 19 15

 

2013

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2013
Movies**
2 Buena Vista 14.9% $1,711.0 17 10
6 20th Century Fox 9.2% $1,064.2 19 14

 

2014

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2014
Movies**
1 20th Century Fox 16.5% $1,790.5 22 17
2 Buena Vista 14.9% $1,617.5 17 13

 

2015

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2015
Movies**
2 Buena Vista 19.8% $2,280.2 15 11
4 20th Century Fox 11.3% $1,302.9 24 17

 

2016

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2016
Movies**
1 Buena Vista 26.3% $3,000.9 16 13
3 20th Century Fox 12.9% $1,468.9 22 16

 

2017

Rank Distributor Market
Share
Total
Gross*
Movies
Tracked
2017
Movies**
2 Buena Vista 18.3% $1,803.9 11 7
4 20th Century Fox 12.2% $1,205.1 16 11
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19 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Not when general audiences have been seriously burned by three really shitty films already.

 

Third recast? No thanks.

SM3, TASM, and TASM2 were all somewhat poorly reccieved.

 

SMH, love it or hate it, came very close to becoming the biggest Spider-man movie WW.

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50 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

So Disney will probably make Hulu at least partially their main streaming site?

 

This should add a huge amount of film and tv choices to the Hulu library, right?

 

Or will Disney try to milk people with two individual streaming sites?

It's very unclear at this point, which is probably because Disney doesn't know yet. I am sure internal discussions are taking place about this issue. Once someone with knowledge of the talks leaks it, then we'll have a better idea.

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