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CAYOM YEAR 2 - INFINITY ACTUALS PART 1 (Of 1)

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October 5-7:

 

'Cats' Rule, 'Blank' Beats 'Demons'

 

  1. Samurai Pizza Cats - $22,769,134
  2. Blank - $11,450,232 (-33.9%)
  3. Little Demons - 10,065,129
  4. Crash Bandicoot - $8,177,484 (-42.7%)
  5. Chaperones - $5,556,232 (-44.7%)
  6. The Terrible Plight of Freddy Zapper - $5,177,245 (-38.3%)
  7. Penny Press - $4,736,782 (-39.4%)
  8. Flower Eyes and Needle Teeth - $2,335,679 (-41.8%)
  9. Ta2ed Teenage Alien Fighters from Beverly Hills - $2,117,055 (-45.5%)
  10. War of the Gods - $1,868,249 (-35.1%)

Closed Domain - $498,323

 

Top 10 gross: $74,253,221 (-2.2%)

 

 

October 12-14:

 

'Isolation' Enlivens Box Office, 'Domain' Loses Vote but Takes Second Place

 

  1. Isolation - $33,196,247
  2. Closed Domain - $17,539,104 (+3,419.6%)
  3. Samurai Pizza Cats - $14,665,102 (-35.6%)
  4. Blank - $8,033,991 (-29.8%)
  5. Crash Bandicoot - $6,099,175 (-25.4%)
  6. The Terrible Plight of Freddy Zapper - $3,375,183 (-34.8%)
  7. Chaperones - $3,321,232 (-40.2%)
  8. Little Demons - $3,296,245 (-67.2%)
  9. Penny Press - $2,948,136 (-37.7%)
  10. Flower Eyes and Needle Teeth - $1,200,793 (-48.6%)

Top 10 gross: $93,665,208 (+26.1%)

 

 

October 19-21:

 

'Amityville' Haunts the Box Office, 'Midnight' Conjures Troops in Second

 

  1. The Amityville Nightmare - $50,179,506
  2. Midnight in the Afghan Valley - $22,664,193
  3. Isolation - $16,778,137 (-49.4%)
  4. Samurai Pizza Cats - $10,165,074 (-30.6%)
  5. Closed Domain - $9,702,286 (-44.7%)
  6. Blank - $5,112,509 (-36.7%)
  7. Crash Bandicoot - $4,894,065 (-19.8%)
  8. The Terrible Plight of Freddy Zapper - $2,401,685 (-28.8%)
  9. Chaperones - $2,035,782 (-38.7%)
  10. Penny Press - $1,793,266 (-39.2%)

Top 10 gross: $125,726,503 (+34.2%)

 

 

October 26-28:

 

'Blood and Fur' Cause a Mess During Busy Weekend

 

  1. Blood and Fur 2: Maul-Ma Mater - $43,768,112
  2. The Amityville Nightmare - $20,011,785 (-60.1%)
  3. Midnight in the Afghan Valley - $16,772,191 (-26.0%)
  4. Lenny Lipton and the Super Scary Sleepover - $13,142,183
  5. Isolation - $11,133,681 (-33.7%)
  6. Samurai Pizza Cats - $7,955,722 (-21.7%)
  7. Closed Domain - $6,004,792 (-38.1%)
  8. Crash Bandicoot - $3,877,306 (-20.8%)
  9. Blank - $3,803,552 (-25.6%)
  10. The Terrible Plight of Freddy Zapper - $1,465,194 (-39.0%)

Top 10 gross: $127,934,518 (+1.8%)

 

 

November actuals will have to wait until I wake up.

 

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Great openings for Blood and Fur 2, Amityville and Afghan Village. Blood and Fur 2 should end at around $105M-$110M. Amityville is heading for $120M-$130M. Afghan should IMO reach $100M domestic. Bandicoot having them strong legs, should end at around $125M, maybe $130M. Pizza Cats is following Goosebumps closely and should end at around $80M-$85M. Demons had a decent opening but died quickly.

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9 hours ago, Xillix said:

Amityville made more than double its budget opening weekend. Everything else is just gravy :) 

I'm basing its run on 

Paranormal Activity 2.

 

No November until tonight since I'm seeing Jumanji in a few hours.

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Top 10 Y2 OW so far

 

1.) Pokémon: The Journey Begins - $123,406,792

2.) War of the Gods - $105,772,349 / $110,570,253

3.) The Odyssey: The Spoils of War - $103,476,195

4.) The Towering Inferno - $83,141,878

5.) The Road to El Dorado - $81,095,682

6.) The Human Revolution: $75,410,175

7.) Bounty Hamster - $67,163,774

8.) Our City - $65,153,581

9.) The Knight - $52,691,442

10.) To the Moon - $50,693,176

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Voltron should make the list but I’m wondering where. I’m pretty sure it’ll open to $100M+ for Fri-Sun, but will it top Pokémon? I’m thinking $150M five day should happen. Treasure Planet (solid reviews and the first 4-quad movie since Pokémon), Storm Hunters (pretty fun and could surprise) and Sitting Ducks (first big family film since Bandicoot) should all have great chances to get on the list.

Edited by YourMother the Edgelord
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39 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Voltron should make the list but I’m wondering where. I’m pretty sure it’ll open to $100M+ for Fri-Sun, but will it top Pokémon? I’m thinking $150M five day should happen. Treasure Planet (solid reviews and the first 4-quad movie since Pokémon), Storm Hunters (pretty fun and could surprise) and Sitting Ducks (first big family film since Bandicoot) should all have great chances to get on the list.

 

My thoughts on November opening weekends.

 

Treasure Planet and Sitting Ducks I see running neck to neck in the mid to upper 60's. Both have a lot going for them. Treasure Planet is visually beautiful, has well known source material, and is the first 4-quad movie since Pokemon. Sitting Ducks is the first family film in a while, has basically zero competition in the weeks ahead (including Thanksgiving weekend), has a strong voice cast, short running time, and has a light "Saturday morning cartoon" vibe that is easy for families to enjoy. 

Storm Hunters- I see this surprising in the mid 50's

The Island - High 30's or low 40's 

Deathsgiving- I'm mean seriously, this is a traditional tent pole weekend for November. This film is only in 2,400 theaters roughly. I see it performing decent with 12-13M, but honest this is gonna be the weekend where Treasure Planet, Sitting Ducks, Storm Hunters, and The Island see way better drops than normal. I don't see any movie falling harder than 50%.

 

Thanksgiving is in the same boat. No opening film tops 3,000 theaters. Theaters will not give up showings for the above mentioned films. They are gonna rely on these films to bring in cash over Thanksgiving. Now, these films will start to get gutted mid-December. They have been in theaters a long time by now and Spryo is gonna hit Sitting Ducks hard. Voltron will basically eliminate the rest of the competition with easy. I agree with you, Voltron I am feeling a powerful opening weekend. 140M easily over the 5-day weekend. 

 

At the end of the day, from a box office perspective: Treasure Island, Sitting Ducks, Storm Hunters, and The Island are in a position most films would be extremely jealous of. The basically stand unrivaled for a month and a half. 

 

 

Just to add: Where do I see the film's ending?

 

Treasure Island- 245-250M

Sitting Ducks- 260-265M

Storm Hunters- 185-190M

The Island- 120-125M

 

Edited by Hiccup23
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5 minutes ago, Hiccup23 said:

 

My thoughts on November opening weekends.

 

Treasure Planet and Sitting Ducks I see running neck to neck in the mid to upper 60's. Both have a lot going for them. Treasure Planet is visually beautiful, has well known source material, and is the first 4-quad movie since Pokemon. Sitting Ducks is the first family film in a while, has basically zero competition in the weeks ahead (including Thanksgiving weekend), has a strong voice cast, short running time, and has a light "Saturday morning cartoon" vibe that is easy for families to enjoy. 

Storm Hunters- I see this surprising in the mid 50's

The Island - High 30's or low 40's 

Deathsgiving- I'm mean seriously, this is a traditional tent pole weekend for November. This film is only in 2,400 theaters roughly. I see it performing decent with 12-13M, but honest this is gonna be the weekend where Treasure Planet, Sitting Ducks, Storm Hunters, and The Island see way better drops than normal. I don't see any movie falling harder than 50%.

 

Thanksgiving is in the same boat. No opening film tops 3,000 theaters. Theaters will not give up showings for the above mentioned films. They are gonna rely on these films to bring in cash over Thanksgiving. Now, these films will start to get gutted mid-December. They have been in theaters a long time by now and Spryo is gonna hit Sitting Ducks hard. Voltron will basically eliminate the rest of the competition with easy. I agree with you, Voltron I am feeling a powerful opening weekend. 140M easily over the 5-day weekend. 

 

At the end of the day, from a box office perspective: Treasure Island, Sitting Ducks, Storm Hunters, and The Island are in a position most films would be extremely jealous of. The basically stand unrivaled for a month and a half. 

Thinking around $50M-$55M for both Planet and Ducks, being conservative for both but $60M-$70M for either or both wouldn’t surprise me. Storm Hunters I’m thinking around $53M. Island should do solid.

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tbh, sorry @Hiccup23, but I stand by my low projection for The Island...

 

I know my pessimism is a running joke but the reviews are more A Cure for Wellness than Shutter Island, Guillermo's thrillers haven't got a good history at the NA box office (looking at you Crimson Peak), and if Antoine Fuqua, Guy Ritchie, and hell, even the damn Transformers are any indication audiences aren't super into the whole King Arthur thing.

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I just hope that Parvelli can manage a $100k PTA on its opening weekend. It’s the kind of movie that NY/LA eats up.

 

Mainstream audiences won’t be as kind, but it should stick around theaters long enough to give audiences a different option over the holidays, and its relatively short runtime may allow more screenings of it.

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24 minutes ago, Xillix said:

tbh, sorry @Hiccup23, but I stand by my low projection for The Island...

 

I know my pessimism is a running joke but the reviews are more A Cure for Wellness than Shutter Island, Guillermo's thrillers haven't got a good history at the NA box office (looking at you Crimson Peak), and if Antoine Fuqua, Guy Ritchie, and hell, even the damn Transformers are any indication audiences aren't super into the whole King Arthur thing.

Haha you are very very pessimistic lol it's kind of entertaining 

 

But I see your point. Hoping to buck the trend. ;)

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2 minutes ago, Xillix said:

Get ready for the worst Thanksgiving in modern box office history :D 

True. No new openers on that weekend will go over $20M OW/$30M five day. On the bright side great for holdovers.

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